Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Apr16 Apr06       (jackson ang)RAMGEET R 122 8.00    
MOIRAINE Apr29 Apr08 Mar03     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.20 44% 1.30    
SCR  OFFICER SLEW Apr16 Mar10 Feb10 Jan14   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00    
ROO         (mcclure l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
TIMETOGETUP Apr16 Apr08 Mar03     (casey a)LARROSA G 122 4.50    
MISS LAUREN Apr21         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
CT-2   05/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KNOT ANYMORE Apr22 Mar26 Feb18 Jan20   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
TARGE Apr09 Mar18 Feb12 Jan28   (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
GRAY FASHION Jan15         (ewell s)THORPE DARIUS 116 15.00    
MISS AMERICANA (PER) Mar10 Jan28 Jan13     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 17% 5.10    
DEEMED ESSENTIAL Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Jan14   (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50    
TIMEISGOLDEN Apr13 Mar18 Feb18 Jan14   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 5.00    
 
CT-3   05/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGOTTEN MISSION Apr15 Mar05 Feb03 Jan09   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 4.50    
PARISHIONER Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
PERTH AMBOY Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 Mar04 Feb10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50    
THE BIG K Apr21 Mar03 Feb19 Jan20   (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
HELLO CARLO Apr15 Mar17 Feb24 Feb10 Feb02 (viands sta)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
JUST GETS BETTER Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan13 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
COMMITTEEMAN Apr21 Mar23 Feb10     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
CT-4   05/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUND OFF         (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
DONTMESAWITHME Apr26 Mar19 Feb16 Feb01   (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00    
SPEIGHTSFORD         (perkins be)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50    
HUNTER JOE Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 Jan23   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
NO CHANGE Apr23 Feb26 Jan27 Jan12   (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
KADRI Apr29 Mar31 Mar21 Feb28 Feb11 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
CT-5   05/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMAL DESTINY Apr01 Feb18       (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.00 16% 5.40    
LITTLE BOLD BANDIT Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 Jan02 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO Apr01 Feb18 Jan27     (hanagan lela)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
TO THE FRONT Apr22 Apr01 Mar13 Feb18 Feb03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
ZAINO BOYZ Apr22 Feb18 Feb02 Jan12   (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00    
IMPETUOUS Apr22 Mar23 Feb18 Feb03 Jan12 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
RULING Apr22 Apr01       (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50    
 
CT-6   05/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANTANKEROUS BOBBY May01 Jan19 Jan12     (alamo a)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
SO COURAGEOUS May01 Mar02 Feb17     (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 3.50    
FROGGY THE GREMLIN Apr20 Mar24 Feb17     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
WARRIOR'S ESTATE Apr27 Feb26 Feb05     (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
RIVER WARRIOR RVF Mar24 Feb26 Feb05     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50 12% 7.50    
ROLL DEM BONES Apr06 Mar04 Feb17 Jan26   (figgins ol)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 5.00    
NOCASHREFUNDS         (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
 
CT-7   05/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E J'S REVENGE Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Feb01 Jan19 (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
COMMANDING GENERAL Apr16 Apr10 Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00 13% 7.00    
MR HOOVER Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
GRECIAN ADMIRAL Apr14 Mar24 Feb10 Jan26   (greaves verno)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
PAINT MUSIC FOR ME Apr08 Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 Jan21 (carson lau)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
NASHVEGAS Apr21 Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Jan20 (magee kieron)ALVELO C 119 0.60 28% 2.50    
SCR  SUNMAN Apr22 Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Feb12 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 120 20.00 12% 7.10    
SCOTTY SILVER         (jackson ang)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   05/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT REGRET Apr21 Mar09 Feb17     (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00    
SWEET ASHLEY May07 Jan27 Jan14     (austin steve)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 15.00    
GOLDEN GLOW May06 Apr22 Apr09 Mar10 Feb18 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 30.00    
CHESAPEAKE STORM         (kolb l)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00    
SCR  TALENTED CORINNA Apr20 Apr01 Mar09     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.50 34% 2.00    
LADY CINCO DE MAYO Apr01 Mar11 Feb12     (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
BELLA BETTINA Apr16         (boniface k)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50    
DR. CALKINS Apr20         (schoenthal phi)ARAUJO DENIS 116 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  DIAMONDCRY         (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.