Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($48.3K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AT THE LYRIC         (carey juli)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 1.40 30% 2.40    
PRINCESS SOLITAIRE         (dix)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
SILENTANDDISCREET         (buttigieg paul )MORAN DAVID 118 12.00    
DIXIEWISH Apr30         (tharrenos willia)SALLES LEO 118 3.50 10% 9.20    
FLIPPIN         (krczmar zelko)SINGH S 118 8.00    
CLINK CHEERS         (dixon patric)CARROLL DECLAN 118 6.00    
 
WO-2   05/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAZEEN         (eshelm)ALDERSON IAN 119 8.00    
DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Apr30         (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
TALLY ROAD Apr16         (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 114 4.00    
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Apr30 Mar06 Feb02     (siddo barringto)HOYTE JASON 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
VERMONT HOLIDAY         (holder renald)CHERNETZ SKYE 119 6.00 6% 16.10    
SCR  VENENOSA Apr24         (squires nathan)SALLES LEO 119 3.00    
YOU THRILL ME         (mohab)DOUGLAS K 123 12.00    
 
WO-3   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER CLASSY Apr24         (depaulo mich)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
CELEBRATORY Apr24         (dixon patric)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Apr17         (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 2.50    
MAAKWA Apr24         (lopez shana)BOULANGER G 122 2.00 41% 1.50    
ROCKCREST         (burke nigel )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
 
WO-4   05/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHISIMA Mar03 Feb19 Jan29 Jan15   (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
LIL'S TURN         (simms c)CRAWFORD J 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
ANITA GRIGIO Apr24         (thompson ran)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 8.00    
APPOINTED Apr24 Mar25 Jan22     (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
ONEZY'S DREAM         (mcdonald michae)HOYTE JASON 123 20.00    
FLECK Apr30         (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 20.00    
SCR  TIZ MY RIGHT Apr24         (armata vito)SALLES LEO 122 12.00    
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) Apr22 Mar18 Feb13     (armata vito)HERNANDEZ K null   27% 2.70    
 
WO-5   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S HAVE FUN Apr23         (patton-casse ka)MUNOZ LARRY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
TWOCANKEEPASECRET         (buttigieg paul )HOYTE JASON 122 8.00    
DREAMINOFPASSION Apr23         (holder renaldo)JORDAN COREY 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
ROYAL CITY REIGN Apr23         (kierans renee )CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.50    
MI TORMENTA Apr16         (armata ross)JADOO STEVE 125 2.00    
CORA Apr23         (depaulo mich)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
WO-6   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60.3K) 3 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST B Apr16         (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.50 11% 8.00    
THATSITTHATSALL         (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00    
J M R GEMMA Apr16 Mar11 Feb18 Jan25   (chirco)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
SNEAKY REBEL Apr23         (dixon patrick)STEIN JUSTIN 118 10.00    
SILENT GHOST         (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00 8% 10.90    
SOUPER FLASHY         (attard k)GALLARDO A 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
SMART BIRD         (mcknight nor)BRIDGMOHAN X 121 6.00    
 
WO-7   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE COMPANY Apr30         (huarte frank)FLORES ESWAN 124 1.20 28% 2.60    
SHISHKA Apr23         (pottin)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
SPEEDY FIRE Apr23 Jan30       (mitchell m)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
FLAWLESS PINK Apr23         (cole-s)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
PALIO SIENA Apr23 Mar05       (burke nigel )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 6.00    
I AM I SAID         (russiani carrie)JADOO STEVE 122 12.00    
 
WO-8   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($49.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLAR APPEAL Apr23         (ritchie sarah)FLORES ESWAN 122 8.00 5% 17.20    
LOADED QUESTION         (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 12.00    
GORMLEY GIRL Apr23         (buttigieg pa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 5.00    
JOLENE JOLENE         (ladauceur ha)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 10.00    
PRACTICAL GIZMO         (paterson m)ANDERSON JODEIEN 123 20.00    
ALPHA MIA Apr24         (wilcox warren)STEIN JUSTIN 123 8.00    
DIAMOND CRUSH Apr16         (lopez shana)MUNOZ LARRY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
HENRY'S GAMBLE         (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 3.50 69% 0.40    
KERICS BEAUTY Apr23 Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan25 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 123 3.00    
10  ALLPAIDUP Apr23         (griffi)ALDERSON IAN 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.