Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONNI'S STORM Apr29         (ballard frank)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 ★    
2  VICTORY DIVISION Mar22 Jan26 Jan04     (gorham ro)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  DREAM PRIZES         (yoder lor)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  DYNAMITE CLOUD Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Mar02 Feb01 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  ELLADA PINOT Apr15 Apr04 Mar14 Mar08 Feb01 (langley josh)HALDAR J 121 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASILY INFLUENCED         (coyle d)OUZTS W 123 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  KING T'CHALLA Apr28 Apr14 Mar26 Mar05 Feb19 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 ★    
3  GRAN ROJO         (jordan rick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 6.00 ★    
4  RAULITO Apr28 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb12 (adams nancy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
5  SIROCCO Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 Jan16 Jan02 (butcher malcolm)MCKEE J 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  TRATO May04 Mar09 Feb25     (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 2.00    
 
BTP-3   05/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANTPAYTHETOLL Mar04 Feb10       (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 4.50 ★    
2  ARARECO LAKE Mar31 Feb26 Jan08     (gorostieta c)HALDAR J 123 4.00 ★    
3  BIG TRUCK         (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  J W RUCKUS         (green troy)MOJICA JR 123 3.50 ★    
5  BLESS THE KITTEN Apr27 Apr01 Mar05 Jan02   (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
BTP-4   05/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC KAT Mar25 Feb25       (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
2  CANDY CURL Apr29 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 Jan01 (spicer )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE May04 Apr04 Mar17 Feb23   (garcia amal)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Mar25 Mar10       (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50    
5  KEEN ON YOU May03 Feb24 Feb11     (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 119 5.00 ★    
6  RICKI TORNADO May03 Apr07 Mar25 Mar09 Jan01 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 114 8.00    
7  KICK ROCKS KID Apr29         (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 7% 13.10    
8  MAJOR LLOYD Mar17         (west m)REYES R 119 12.00    
 
BTP-5   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLBOOTENGOTTY Apr28 Jan01       (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 ★    
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Feb25 Jan04       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
3  EL PIQUIN Apr20 Mar19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan16 (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  OVER IT Apr04 Feb19 Jan16     (hamm timothy)REYES R 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  UNCLEJACKOMO Mar26 Feb13 Jan22     (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 4.50 13% 6.40    
 
BTP-6   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETER THAN HONEY Apr13         (kerr rand)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.50 8% 11.50    
2  BACOPA BAY         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 59% 0.70    
3  SPUN PRETTY Apr28 Feb14 Jan24     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 12% 7.50    
4  SHADY BABY Apr28         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 3.50 ★    
5  BEAUTIFUL LASS Apr28         (thomas mark)MCKEE J 119 5.00 ★    
6  ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE         (townley steve)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
 
BTP-7   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEBRA CAKE Apr28         (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.80 21% 3.80    
2  ETELKA         (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  TOP HAT INVASION Apr28 Feb24 Feb12 Jan29 Jan08 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 ★    
4  ROYAL ATHENA Apr27 Mar13 Feb18 Feb06 Jan30 (cahill steven )REYES R 121 4.00 ★    
5  UNWANTED INPUT Mar26 Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 Jan14 (manning joh)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  RUNNING ROSADO Feb22 Jan25 Jan08     (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00    
 
BTP-8   05/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO PERKY GO Mar11 Feb10       (reed r)MCKEE J 119 4.00    
1A  GO BIXBY BABES Mar11 Feb18       (reed r)MCKEE J 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  SAFRANO ROSE Apr28 Mar31       (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 8.00 ★    
3  WICKED VALENTINE Apr28 Apr09 Mar26 Mar10   (langley josh)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
4  STORMY CUT Apr08 Mar24       (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 20.00    
5  TIZ PENNEY         (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00 23% 3.30    
6  SHOULDAKNOWNBETTER Mar11 Feb23 Jan27     (beck rowena)MACHADO LUAN 125 5.00    
7  KICK OUT THE JAMS Apr28 Apr01 Mar19 Jan09   (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  ARTUME Mar31 Mar08       (west m)REYES R 119 3.50    
9  SMART BUCK         (green troy)MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
10  BACKYARD HEN Apr29 Apr21 Mar19 Feb26 Feb14 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.