Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE POINT KUZ         (fernandez ke)HALDAR J 119 5.00 ★    
2  CORDOBEZA         (wilson d)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 ★    
3  DEVILISH TRUTH Apr22 Mar03 Feb19 Jan09   (lyster s)MCKEE J 125 1.60 51% 1.00    
4  MISS HATTIE May03 Mar10 Jan11     (thompson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 3.50 ★    
5  BORDEAUX LEGACY Apr28 Feb18 Jan16     (stephen anthon)REYES R 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
BTP-2   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT FROST         (caramori edu)ROMERO GREGORY 121 6.00 ★    
2  PERCENTAGE Apr29 Mar10 Feb11 Jan23   (antonuik jerry)REYES R 121 3.50 ★    
3  K W CAPTAIN HOOK May04 Mar31 Feb23 Jan31   (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  ARBA Feb23 Jan26       (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
5  MIGHTY ANGEL         (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 121 1.60 49% 1.00    
 
BTP-3   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSIONATE LUCK Apr29 Apr04 Mar23 Mar09 Jan22 (platt noah)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 6.00 ★    
2  FLAT FUN         (kendall elis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.50 28% 2.50    
3  MAHAL KITA Apr19 Apr02 Mar17     (livers charlie)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 11% 7.90    
4  VAMOS ANTONIO         (fernandez ke)HALDAR J 119 3.50 ★    
5  NICE KAZ Apr29         (hester haley)DE AZAEL 125 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
BTP-4   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT J J Apr20 Apr11 Mar19 Mar09 Feb10 (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 117 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  GONE ROGUE Apr01 Mar19 Feb23 Jan15   (wilson )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
3  SILENCE Apr15         (hamm timothy)REYES R 117 3.00 ★    
4  SIMON PETER Mar17 Feb23       (bergin tom)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 2.00 12% 7.40    
5  MUNDO MIX Apr11 Mar21 Mar10     (caramori )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 4.00 49% 1.10    
 
BTP-5   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARAGON (GB) Apr28 Mar19 Feb25 Jan27   (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 6.00    
2  CALL TONY Feb19 Jan26       (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 3.50 ★    
3  CANARY Apr29 Mar24       (danner kels)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 2.00 ★    
4  SUMMER STORE Apr28 Mar10 Feb01     (thompson)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 5.00 17% 4.70    
5  CENTRAL PARKING Apr29 Mar31 Mar10     (werre danny)MCKEE J 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  FUR BIZ         (johnston reb)HALDAR J 119 12.00 17% 4.70    
 
BTP-6   05/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAREST KITTEN Apr15 Mar24 Mar02     (cline robert)HALDAR J 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  PIPA PAN Mar12 Feb10       (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  RAGTIME DOLLY Mar24 Mar05       (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 14% 6.40    
4  LIVE IT UP Apr01 Feb24       (shifflett chery)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
5  NARROWS BRIDGE Mar24 Mar09 Feb12 Jan14   (jarvis kathy)REYES R 119 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-7   05/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNIOR BUG May03 Mar17 Feb18 Jan09   (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  UNCLE EARL Apr09 Mar10 Feb19     (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  WILD WEEKEND         (fontenot da)JIMENEZ J 121 6.00    
4  RAF Mar02 Feb18 Jan22     (jarvis kathy)REYES R 121 8.00 ★    
5  STRONG YEN May01 Feb18 Jan23     (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.50 ★    
6  SAMURAI SAINT Mar31 Mar02 Jan14     (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-8   05/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Apr29 Apr19 Feb11 Jan09   (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.00 ★    
2  SEVEN IRON         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
3  HERE'S CARLOS May03 Mar31 Mar09     (spicer t)REYES R 125 4.50 ★    
4  NOT AGAIN JACKIE Apr29         (coyle d)MCKEE J 125 5.00 ★    
5  PRINCE JERSEY TOWN         (kahles )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 125 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Apr13 Feb11 Jan09     (cannon steve)OUZTS W 125 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  DANZO Apr29 Mar18       (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.