Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TICKED LADY May02         (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 2.00    
1A  SMOKIN ZIVA Apr25         (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
NIKKI'S DREAM         (d'alessandro r)COA J 124 6.00    
YES YOUR HONOR         (clarke d)DAVIS A 124 3.50 8% 12.10    
MIZZYS IMAGE         (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 8% 11.90    
STARSHIP PRANKSTER Apr25         (babcock edw)ROHENA WILFREDO 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  PAZZION May02 Mar06 Feb21 Feb12 Jan22 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50    
 
FL-2   05/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACI'S GIRL Apr26 Apr06       (sparling way)BERRIOS C 122 15.00 14% 6.10    
SHE'S SO GOLDEN Apr26         (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
TIJUANA FLAIR         (gutterson k)CAMILO D 122 8.00    
KATIES COURAGE Apr26 Mar20       (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
SUPER TWENTY SEVEN Mar27         (acquilano j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50    
SAICHIMANA         (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
VIRGINIA DOZE Apr26         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
FL-3   05/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME ALTERING Mar02 Feb02 Jan12     (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 117 15.00    
AFTER ALPHA Apr26 Mar25 Mar09     (huertas )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 117 12.00    
EMPIRE TROLLEY         (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
PALS ALLY Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 Jan14   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 117 0.50 42% 1.40    
ALARRA Mar18 Feb26 Feb04     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 117 5.00    
 
FL-4   05/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP SEVENTYFOUR Mar13         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
MISS GOLD MEDALIST Apr25         (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
VITANZA Apr25         (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
DISCO PARTY Apr25 Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 Feb09 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
HELMERS RUN         (sells rachel)COA J 124 15.00    
CALL ME CARMELITA Apr26         (lopez rober)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 8.00    
SALOON GIRL Apr25         (sabine michae)DAVILA R 124 2.00 18% 4.60    
GRASSMISS Apr25         (ubbink step)ROHENA WILFREDO 124 10.00    
 
FL-5   05/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL ANNIE Mar13 Jan28 Jan02     (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 2.00    
THE NEW MIAMI         (vasquez ramon)FRET STEVEN 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
BEYONDELLE         (sells rache)ROHENA WILFREDO 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
FUNNY PURSUIT Apr25         (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  INVESTMENT GRADE Apr25 Mar26 Mar13 Mar04 Feb24 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 1.60    
 
FL-6   05/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROCKMONINOFF Apr08 Mar20 Feb03 Jan09   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
INVALUABLE WILL         (breed a)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
A HUGE CHECKPOINT         (sells ra)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
IRON LAD (IRE)         (lecesse michae)COA J 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
THE REVENGER Mar27         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.40    
 
FL-7   05/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALARMING MISSION Apr16 Mar18       (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50    
HE IS BONAFIDE Feb02 Jan13       (garza he)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  PRICE OF ADMISSION         (progno christophe)PEREZ E 122 10.00    
PERSISTENT DANGER Apr25         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
BUMBLE MONSTER Apr25 Apr07 Mar16 Feb15   (iorio sa)DAVIS A 122 1.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  DRAGON BALLET Apr25 Feb16 Feb01     (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 8.00    
 
FL-8   05/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMBASALLTROUBLE Apr25         (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00    
STRAIGHT EIGHT Apr26         (clarke d)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
UNFLAPPABLE MAX         (ferraro anth)COA J 122 4.00    
FLYING EMPEROR         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
DR. LLOYD Apr25         (domingue)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
NOBLE ENDEAVOR Apr26         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
SON OF DARKNESS Apr26         (breed j)ALVARADO R 122 3.50    
SCR  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 122 15.00    
 
FL-9   05/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK IRISH Apr26 Mar30 Mar05 Feb19 Jan09 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
SCR  FIFTY CENTS Apr26 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan22 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
DUTCHMEN FOREVER Jan08         (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
FAR AWAY LOOK Apr26 Mar11 Feb11 Feb03   (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
MIAMI CHROME Apr23 Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 Feb13 (huertas )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 4.00 7% 13.50    
WICKED DUDE Feb28         (rohena jo)ROHENA M 124 20.00    
HAVE A HEART Apr26         (englehart jeff)COA J 124 3.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  BLAME IT ON BRUTUS Apr01 Feb19 Jan27     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
STRONG DESIRE         (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.