Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   05/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTAKE PRESENT Apr23 Apr09       (white dale)MORALES ROBERTO 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
1A  LEMNISCATE         (white dale)STOKES J 120 2.00    
LUNAR LIGHT Feb26 Feb04 Jan07     (cox l)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 18% 4.40    
I'LL RAISE YOU Apr09 Feb18 Feb10 Jan15   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 1.80 9% 10.00    
MAINTAINANCE MATT         (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
STICK Feb24 Jan20       (broussard )ALBERT S 115 20.00    
WARRIORS GEM Apr09 Feb20 Jan21 Jan06   (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
 
EVD-2   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOSIVELY HOT Apr23 Mar20 Mar03 Feb17 Jan03 (ney john)STOKES J 117 4.50    
SCR  MONEY WELL SPENT Mar20 Feb14 Jan07     (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 117 2.00    
MI LIA Mar27 Mar09 Jan27     (david b)FUSILIER C 117 6.00    
HAVINFUNYET Mar13 Feb20 Jan09     (richards cor)MAGNON H 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
ALLIACEOUS Mar20 Jan07       (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 3.00 11% 8.00    
ISOLATION Apr14 Feb17 Feb05 Jan13   (white dale)STOKES A 117 15.00    
 
EVD-3   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITARZAN Apr07 Feb26 Jan07     (white dale)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 10.00 12% 7.00    
SWEEPING EDGE Apr23 Feb18 Jan15     (holden mark)ATEMPA LIANDRO 118 8.00 14% 6.00    
GREELEY WENT WEST Apr13 Mar23 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (ramirez eduardo)BARNES JOSE 115 12.00 9% 9.60    
MEDITATE (IRE) Feb26 Feb05 Jan07     (lara jorge)MELANCON G null      
SCR  FREE INDEED Apr13 Mar03 Feb19     (pomier chase)MAGNON H 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
TURN ON THE MAGIC Apr16 Apr07 Mar05 Feb12 Jan14 (mojica a)THORNTON G 118 4.50    
QUESTION AUTHORITY Apr13 Feb25 Jan26 Jan12   (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00    
 
EVD-4   05/07/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANDY'S PARADE Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 Jan30   (harrison cortla)BARNES JOSE 118 2.50    
KIND WAYS Apr21 Mar16 Mar02 Feb04 Jan13 (mojica a)MELANCON G 118 4.50    
FLURRY OF FEATHERS Feb17 Jan27       (latour nicholas)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ANGEL OF VERDUN Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 Jan07   (schwandt em)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 1.80 25% 3.00    
AMELIA MADELYN         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO Apr13 Feb17 Feb04 Jan06   (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
BURNING DESIRE Apr09 Mar05 Feb06     (harrison cortla)BARNES JOSE 118 15.00    
 
EVD-5   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RONNIE'S REASONING Apr22         (romero lynn)DAVID J 120 12.00    
HESACALENDARBOY Apr14 Feb19 Feb03     (gelner scott)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00    
SONNY GETS BLUE         (west henry)BOURQUE J 123 20.00    
VERDUNVILLE Mar11 Jan28       (breaux samuel)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
RUN TO BLADE Mar23 Feb24 Feb10     (bruno rola)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
MAGNOLIA RIDGE Apr22 Mar20 Mar03 Jan21 Jan06 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 115 15.00    
CYBER GUN Apr14 Feb04 Jan15     (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00    
TIZNOW WIND Apr20         (cordero angel )THORNTON G 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
PAJEAUX'S CAT Jan14         (mason sh)SMITH J 120 6.00    
SCR  NORWOOD Apr09 Mar05 Jan15     (marlin i)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
11  PALIMONIUM Apr14 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03   (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
EVD-6   05/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARCTIC GUITAR         (bernard john)STOKES A 120 15.00    
TABLE ONE Apr23 Apr13 Mar09 Feb24 Feb09 (giangrosso russ)MCMAHON J 123 12.00    
FLAT ROSE Apr13 Mar04 Feb09     (bourque warre)SMITH J 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
JOEY'S SASSY SHANA Mar20 Mar03 Feb06     (cordero ang)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 8.00    
SUFFRAGETTE Apr23 Mar12 Jan27 Jan13   (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 123 5.00    
ABIGAIL G Apr27 Apr06 Mar04 Jan19   (castille n)STOKES J 120 6.00    
MADISON JOY Apr16 Feb23 Jan26 Jan08   (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
SALT LIFE ANGEL         (holden mark)LEDET THEODRICK 120 20.00    
 
EVD-7   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNKIE'S SONG Apr22 Feb17 Jan26     (landry ray)STOKES J 120 12.00    
FAZIO Apr21 Jan29 Jan06     (roberts kenneth)BARNES JOSE 120 15.00    
HEZA PRIORITY Apr09 Mar04 Feb24     (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Apr16 Mar16 Feb11 Jan16   (richards corale )FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
HOSTILE AFLEET Jan21         (haywood va)ALBERT S 115 10.00    
SCR  INCA WARRIOR Jan26         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
GUILTY AGAIN Apr29 Apr15       (davis veronica)STOKES A 118 20.00    
WIDDLE ZEE Feb24 Feb06 Jan02     (griffin te)MARQUEZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  TACTICAL PRIORITY         (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 6% 15.60    
SCR  SATURDAY'S GOLD Jan28         (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 2.50 72% 0.40    
 
EVD-8   05/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENN Apr22 Feb24 Feb05 Jan12   (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 15.00    
SCR  SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE Mar27 Feb05       (chatters bena)SMITH J 116 6.00 11% 8.10    
FREE INDEED Apr13 Mar03 Feb19     (pomier d)BARNES JOSE 116 20.00    
HIGHLAND CREEK Mar27 Feb28 Jan27     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 2.50 18% 4.70    
TREYS MIDNITE MOON Mar27 Mar05 Jan27 Jan06   (richards coral)THORNTON G 116 8.00    
FATHER GOOSE Apr22 Jan01       (courville ri)MAGNON H 116 15.00    
MAGA MAN Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Jan21   (miller c)STOKES J 116 12.00    
DREWHUSTLE Mar27 Feb24       (briley lonnie)MELANCON G 116 20.00    
WHO TOOK THE MONEY Mar27 Jan06       (calhoun william )PARKER L 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  RELENTLESS DANCER Apr23 Mar10 Feb04     (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 3.50 7% 14.00    
 
EVD-9   05/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOWERS APRIORITY         (thomas lee)STOKES J 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
BONJOOR MADEMOISEL Apr16         (west henry)BOURQUE J 120 20.00    
LAWSUIT LUCY Apr06 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28   (harrison cortlan)MELANCON G 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CUSTOM GUITAR Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan30 Jan09 (schwandt em)MORALES ROBERTO 115 15.00    
IMMACULATE GLORY Apr08 Feb16       (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
CALL ME DARLIN Apr13         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 6.00    
LA SMOOCHIE Apr20 Apr06 Mar02 Jan29   (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
HOUSE OF ZONG Feb17         (constantine car)MCMAHON J 115 12.00    
BRAVE OLLIE Apr16         (averett ronni)SMITH J 115 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.