Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - May 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE OTHER CAT Feb23 Jan30       (mcgoey monica)ARROYO MIGUEL 123 10.00    
SUNDRENCHED Apr20 Mar23 Mar06 Feb09 Jan07 (poole jeff)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 12.00    
CELESTIAL ORB Apr23 Mar02 Jan30     (march willi)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
FOOLISH HEART Apr03 Mar11 Feb18     (bennett)DE CRUZ 123 1.20 39% 1.60    
CROWN OF JOY         (tsirigotis ja)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
KENAI COOL Apr20 Apr03 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 (house gary)ALLEN M 123 1.80 22% 3.60    
 
TAM-2   05/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CPOWER Apr16 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb13 (azpurua ed)ORDONEZ R 126 2.00 30% 2.30    
CHRISTMAS PRESENT Apr10 Mar18 Jan28 Jan08   (granitz)DE CRUZ 126 3.00    
BASTIEN LE BROWN Mar02 Feb02       (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
IBERICO Apr22         (rolffs mikh)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 30.00    
VALID EXCHANGE Mar26 Feb27 Feb13 Jan19   (mcgoey monica)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 6.00 6% 15.10    
LAST INVESTMENT Apr22 Apr03 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 (hendry stac)MARIN A 123 4.00    
 
TAM-3   05/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE HAWK Apr02 Mar11 Feb09 Jan21 Jan02 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 1.00 60% 0.70    
BOURBON WISDOM Apr15 Apr06 Mar11 Feb27 Jan21 (gatis c)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
SCR  ODDS ON Apr13 Mar16 Mar05 Feb16 Jan15 (arriagada juan)HENRY WESLEY 123 4.00    
TONY SMALL Feb09 Jan21 Jan14     (bowersock )ROWLAND MADELINE 112 2.50    
LOUD N PROUD Apr13 Mar19 Feb23 Feb06   (gatis chris)CHAVES ELIONE 121 12.00 6% 15.80    
POSEIDEN Mar23 Feb27 Feb05 Jan12 Jan01 (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 10.00    
 
TAM-4   05/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER BOSS Apr20 Apr03 Jan07     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 109 10.00    
SCR  ALPHA PREDATOR Feb16         (hamm timothy)GARCIA GEOVANY 126 2.00 14% 6.10    
RECTANGLE         (burns pa)STRANDBERG MALLORY 126 12.00    
DISTORTED TIMES Apr10         (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 126 12.00    
STRATFORD Apr10 Mar25 Mar06 Feb09   (rountre)DE CRUZ 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
CALZONE Apr10         (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 118 12.00    
SCR  RUM NOT BOURBON Apr20 Apr01       (jones douglas)CHAVES ELIONE 118 30.00    
GREAT JUNIOR Apr20 Mar25 Mar06 Jan28 Jan19 (roque elis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 118 4.50    
HAD RIGHT Apr20 Jan05       (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 118 3.50 51% 1.00    
10  LORD OF THE NILE Mar25 Mar02 Jan23     (dobber w)WALES GARY 126 8.00    
SCR  AGENT MULGANNON Apr27 Apr16 Apr10     (de)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 126 30.00    
SCR  ARIES REIGNS Mar12 Feb25       (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 118 30.00    
 
TAM-5   05/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER HELPER Apr13 Mar02 Feb11 Jan19   (adorno )DE CRUZ 117 3.50    
BRAMBLE BUSH Apr09 Mar09 Feb13 Jan14   (escobar alison)BISONO J 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
TIZ NENA Apr06 Mar11 Feb23 Jan22   (munoz carlo)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
FARCICAL Apr20 Apr09 Mar02 Feb04   (aguayo ramon)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
MON PARADIS Mar26         (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 124 4.00    
SCR  BROADWAY PEGGY Apr22 Apr09 Jan30 Jan07   (parra hernan)GARCIA GEOVANY 124 20.00    
SCHATZI Apr09 Mar20 Mar02 Jan23   (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 10.00 8% 11.50    
JEFF'S ANGEL Apr08 Feb18 Jan08     (exposito j)LOPEZ E 117 4.50    
 
TAM-6   05/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST PLAIN ORNERY Mar13 Jan16       (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
GRUMLEY Mar12 Jan08       (bennett gerald)ALLEN D 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
MORGAN POINT Mar27 Feb19 Jan26 Jan15   (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 1.20 39% 1.60    
LIVEFORTHESONG Mar04 Feb16       (arriaga)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
TAP FIRST Apr16 Jan07 Jan01     (cordero anton)CARDOSO DAVID 118 10.00    
MY MAN VITO Mar16 Mar02 Feb12 Jan23   (rigattieri john)BISONO J 118 3.50    
 
TAM-7   05/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE RUN Apr23 Apr16 Mar19     (ra)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 15.00    
HIGHLY NOTED Mar05 Feb13 Feb05 Jan07   (azpurua eduard)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 15.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  SUNNY SAINT Apr08 Mar16 Feb25 Feb04   (minieri joseph)MORENO ANGEL 120 10.00    
SCR  CLEMSON TIGER Apr10 Jan07 Jan01     (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 120 6.00    
GOLOVKIN Apr10 Mar04 Feb13 Jan29 Jan07 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 3.50 20% 4.00    
IN HONOR OF ARTIE Apr10 Mar16 Feb20 Feb04   (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 120 12.00    
OSPREY Apr10 Mar04 Feb13 Jan29   (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
VINTNER Apr10 Mar19 Mar04 Feb13 Jan29 (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
MR. EINSTEIN Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb09 Jan29 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 4.50    
10  OVERPRAISE Apr16 Mar19 Feb25 Feb06 Feb02 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
 
TAM-8   05/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE FIRE         (goberdhan cha)CHAVES ELIONE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUNA AMARILLA Apr22 Apr02       (ma)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
TAP SOLO Apr16 Mar27 Mar13     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 8.00    
VALIANT SPARK Apr22 Apr06 Mar02     (sasso l)CARDOSO DAVID 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
BEAUTIFUL ROSALIA Apr23 Apr13 Apr03 Jan12 Jan02 (negrete ja)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 30.00    
CATCH THE RAINBOW Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 Feb05   (o'conne)DE CRUZ 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
BACKSPARK Apr23         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 8.00    
OUR GIRL         (machado an)ORDONEZ R 125 8.00    
SCR  DURA THE EXPLORER Apr10 Mar23 Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 (goberdhan chan)HENRY WESLEY 118 20.00    
10  BALLYMENA (GB) Apr27 Apr09 Apr03 Mar20 Feb23 (negrete javie)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-9   05/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POMME SAUVAGE         (gory mark)BISONO J 118 10.00    
RIBALDRY (IRE) Feb12         (delacou)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
GALLEY HEAD         (lerman roy )SPANABEL SKYLER 118 8.00    
MARACAS BAY         (jones douglas)CHAVES ELIONE 118 10.00    
JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Apr01 Mar13 Jan26     (scocca lin)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 15.00    
SCR  ROMAN PRINCESS         (scocca linda)GARCIA GEOVANY 125 10.00    
AN EASTER LILLY         (sims n)ALLEN M 125 10.00    
SCR  BABY LUCK Feb19 Jan08       (ochoa gera)ORDONEZ R 118 4.50    
AVE FENIX Feb19 Feb04 Jan01     (mc)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 118 15.00 6% 16.10    
10  R REPOSADO LOCA         (bennett geral)CARDOSO DAVID 118 3.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  AMOR Y CONTROL         (brownlee d)ALONSO LUIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AU CHOCOLAT Feb12         (delacour arna)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.