Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/30/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Mar11         (powell leo)VAN DRAYDEN 126 20.00    
VAROMA Mar27 Feb21 Jan07     (spawr william)SMITH E 126 8.00    
DRAMATIZER Mar27 Feb12 Jan07     (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 126 8.00    
POP POP'S DREAM Mar11 Feb12 Jan09     (puype mike)FREY KYLE 126 3.50 10% 9.00    
EVER SMART Mar27 Mar05 Feb19     (drysdale neil)CURATOLO RYAN 126 4.00    
KLEEN KARMA Mar20 Feb13 Jan17     (lewis a)ESPINOZA V 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
JIBBER JABBER (IRE) Mar27         (gallagher patr)CEDILLO ABEL 126 12.00    
SELF ISOLATION Apr01 Feb21 Jan14     (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
DOLLY MAY (IRE) Mar26 Feb12       (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
10  FREEDOM LASS Mar19 Feb12 Jan09     (spawr william)BAZE C 126 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
SA-2   04/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL PRINCESS         (periban jorge)FREY KYLE 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
E Z PHARIS         (solis walther)BAZE C 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
COSMO KATIE         (solis walth)HERRERA A 118 3.00    
COURT SNORT         (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 118 4.00    
PADDLE ON POLLY         (b)ROJAS EDUARD 118 8.00    
DADDY CLASSY DILL         (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
 
SA-3   04/30/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON PURPOSE Apr10 Mar05 Jan29     (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00    
PISTACHIO PRINCESS Apr03 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21   (ruiz lorenzo)BAZE C 126 12.00    
DEL MAR DRAMA Apr10 Mar06 Feb05 Jan16   (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
DANCING DANA Apr08         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 21% 3.70    
GALLOVIE (GB) Mar19 Feb12       (baltas richar)CURATOLO RYAN 126 2.00 25% 3.10    
LITTLE RACHEL Apr10 Feb27 Jan16     (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
 
SA-4   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGRE DI SLUGO         (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 3.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ERICA'S SMILE by WILLIAMSTOWN)
STRIKE THAT Apr09         (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CROOKED ANSWER by SMART STRIKE)
BRICKYARD RIDE Mar20 Feb21 Jan15     (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.20    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BRICKYARD HELEN by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
MILES AHEAD Feb19 Jan16       (koriner brian)ESPINOZA V 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of JENNIE R. by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  STRONGCONSTITUTION         ( )TBA null      
  (by CONSTITUTION out of EARLYBIRD ROAD by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
SA-5   04/30/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAERULEAN Apr02 Mar07       (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00    
JOHNNY PODRES Mar27 Feb26       (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 126 6.00 13% 7.00    
MOOSE MITCHELL Apr09 Mar07 Feb11     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 118 4.00 10% 9.00    
MINISTER SHANE Mar27         (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 15.00    
FAST BUCK Mar27         (dealba cesar)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
SMILING GOODBYE Apr08 Mar13 Jan15     (ruiz lorenzo)CURATOLO RYAN 118 20.00    
SCR  RAWHIDE RAWLINS         (pine)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 126 20.00    
GOOD VIBES ONLY Mar25         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 29% 2.50    
RAGING WATERS Apr17 Mar26       (knapp steve)BAZE C 126 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT SOMEWHERE Mar07         (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 12.00    
11  REALLY BIG NEWS Apr02 Feb20 Jan15     (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-6   04/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIELBERG Mar05 Feb05 Jan14     (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MISS SQUEAL by SMART STRIKE)
HOLDEN THE LUTE Apr03 Mar19 Feb18 Jan22   (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CASINO GOLD by PROUD CITIZEN)
EXPRESS TRAIN Mar05 Feb05       (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 124 0.80 46% 1.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of I'M A FLAKE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  SHAAZ Apr02 Feb05       (mccarthy sean)SMITH E 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS OCEAN CITY by MINESHAFT)
STILLETO BOY Mar05 Jan29       (moger j)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 14% 6.40    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ROSIE'S RANSOM by MARQUETRY)
 
SA-7   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANG FOR YOUR BUCK Apr02 Mar07 Feb05 Jan09   (heap r)FREY KYLE 126 4.00 34% 2.00    
IF ID TOLD YOU Mar26 Feb27 Feb05     (mandella g)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 29% 2.50    
SILVER SUMMER Apr03 Mar12       (saavedra k)BAZE C 126 20.00    
HAPI HAPI Mar26 Feb27 Feb13 Feb04 Jan16 (azcarate dan)CURATOLO RYAN 126 20.00    
DISCRETIONARY DAY Feb27 Feb05       (bonde jeff)VAN DRAYDEN 126 5.00 10% 9.50    
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Mar27 Mar06       (cassidy james)SMITH E 126 6.00    
MOBOU         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 126 12.00    
STANDING O Mar26         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 12.00    
10  ANITANEWMERCEDES Mar26 Jan30 Jan09     (tamayo isidro)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00    
11  BRAVESTONE Mar07 Jan21       (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 30.00    
12  MAMBA COOL Mar25         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 126 8.00    
SCR  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Apr08 Jan23       ( )TBA null      
 
SA-8   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY DERBY         (gomez ruben)RAMIREZ RICARDO 121 20.00    
SECRET FIX Apr02 Mar07 Jan29     (ruis shelbe)CURATOLO RYAN 126 5.00    
SIDE BY SIDE Jan23         (headley karen)BAZE C 118 8.00    
VALIANCY         (mccarthy s)VAN DRAYDEN 118 4.00    
SCR  FAMILY AFFAIR Apr02 Jan29       (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 57% 0.80    
PARCO         (baltas richard)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
SCR  BANJO QUEEN Apr09 Jan29       (blacker daniel)FREY KYLE 118 5.00    
MIDNIGHT MEMORIES         (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
SA-9   04/30/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGIVING SPIRIT         (alvarado ruben )VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
EREBUS Mar25 Mar07 Feb06 Jan15 Jan01 (solis walt)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 15.00    
INFERNAL TIGER         (ortiz s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
ORTH Mar27 Feb21 Jan29     (kruljac eric)BAZE C 118 6.00    
CENTRE CIRCLE Mar25 Feb21 Jan28     (dunham dan)VAN DRAYDEN 118 20.00    
ADRIATIC (URU) Mar27 Feb25       (wallace jer)RAMIREZ RICARDO 121 30.00    
OUBABE Mar27 Feb21       (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
CANDYBOX Mar27         (gaines carla)CURATOLO RYAN 118 20.00    
SCR  DOYOUSTILLLOVEME         (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 30.00    
10  QUINCEY         (koriner brian)SMITH E 118 12.00    
11  CHIPPER Feb20         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 23% 3.40    
12  DISKO TRIBUTE Feb26         (blacker dan)HERRERA A 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
13  SPEED GRAZY Apr09 Mar13       (koriner bri)HERRERA A 118 12.00    
SCR  DUTCH BUS Apr09 Mar13 Feb06 Jan17   (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
SA-10   04/30/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LISETTE Mar27 Jan23       (gallagher p)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CORDOBA by UNBRIDLED)
BELLAMORE Mar25 Feb26 Jan29     (callaghan simon)ESPINOZA V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SMART N SOFT by SMART STRIKE)
BLUE STRIPE (ARG)         (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 122 6.00    
  (by EQUAL STRIPES (ARG) out of BLUES FOR SALE (ARG) by NOT FOR SALE (ARG))
PARK AVENUE Mar20 Feb05 Jan01     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of REMARKABLE by RAHY)
MIDNIGHT JAMBOREE Apr08 Feb25 Jan09     (spawr william)SMITH E 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of JAX EL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SHARAPOVA Mar27 Mar06 Feb05     (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LONG KISS GOODBYE by INTO MISCHIEF)
VARDA Mar05         (mccarthy s)VAN DRAYDEN 120 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
BYE BYE BERTIE Mar20 Feb13 Jan17 Jan09   (powell leon)HERRERA A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DREAM OF BERTIE by READY'S IMAGE)
MISS BIGLY Mar05 Feb12 Jan08     (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MISS PUZZLE (AUS) by CITIDANCER (IRE))
 
SA-11   04/30/2022 6600ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($225K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREGDAR Apr09 Mar12 Feb05     (d'amato phili)CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00 12% 7.20    
  (by GRAYDAR out of PEARL KEYS by BERNSTEIN)
DEAN MARTINI Mar25         (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SOUNDWAVE by FRIENDS LAKE)
MAJESTIC EAGLE Mar11 Jan14       (drysdale neil)SMITH E 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DOUBLE TAPPED by TAPIT)
DICEY MO CHARA (GB) Mar12 Feb04       (powell leo)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00    
  (by ADAAY out of LEONICA by LION CAVERN)
GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Apr02 Mar05 Feb10 Jan17   (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
  (by BELARDO out of MAGNIFICA by MOUNTAIN CAT)
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Mar25         (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of OUTSTANDING by GALILEO)
BEYOND BRILLIANT Mar05         (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 126 1.80 29% 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SUMMER ON THE LAWN by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
SA-12   04/30/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAYTON DELANEY         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 6.00 8% 12.10    
ONE FAST BRO Apr02         (dealba cesar)FREY KYLE 126 8.00    
INDULGE Mar27         (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00    
ADARE Mar05 Feb05       (drysdale ne)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
MORAWETH         (baltas richard)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00    
COALINGA ROAD Mar26         (gaines carla)BAZE C 126 12.00 7% 13.30    
MOTORIOUS (GB) Mar26         (d'amato ph)VAN DRAYDEN 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
MUBTADAA Mar20         (cerin vladimi)CURATOLO RYAN 126 4.00 15% 5.70    
AIR FORCE RED Apr02 Mar06 Jan22     (powell leonard)ESPINOZA V 126 20.00    
10  STAR RACER Mar26         (tekos j)CEDILLO ABEL 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.