Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY BONNIE Mar25 Feb16       (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 119 4.00    
SPOOKY ONE Apr08 Mar16 Feb16 Jan28 Jan07 (albright geor)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
PEACE ATTARDI         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00    
SCARY LARRY Apr08 Mar06 Feb11 Jan10   (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
PASSWORD PROTECTED Apr08 Feb21       (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
 
PEN-2   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS STREET Mar25         (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 9% 10.60    
MORRIGAN         (salvaggio mar)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
ASGATA Apr06 Mar29 Mar16 Feb01   (sinnefia pa)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
FREE TO RUN         (arnold pamela)LLOYD W 124 3.50    
BOAT MONEY         (demario cha)BETANCOURT R 121 30.00    
SCR  EMILIA STRONG Apr06 Mar29 Mar18 Feb11 Jan12 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  SWEET AND MACHA         (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
 
PEN-3   04/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISHNU Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 8.00    
AIN'T MISBEHAVIN Mar30 Mar16 Mar04 Jan26   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
FLAT OUT FLASHY Apr06 Feb22 Feb01     (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 4.50    
OSCAR WINNER Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 (albright geor)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
ITSKNOWNASTHEBERN Mar30 Mar13 Feb15 Feb06   (meister willia)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 12.00    
MOON MEISTER Mar15 Feb11 Jan28     (ferreira ferna)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
VOUCH Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Jan26   (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 49% 1.00    
GOOGLE IT Apr08 Mar15 Feb15 Jan19   (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
EXCHEQUER Mar29 Mar01 Feb07 Jan19   (farro patricia)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 4.00    
SCR  SOCIAL EQUALITY Mar28 Feb23 Feb02     (pino v)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLANK SPEED Apr16 Jan04       (cooney susan )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 5.00    
CALCULATED THINKIN Apr06 Mar04 Feb09     (kreiser timothy )CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 24% 3.30    
HASHTAG WINNING Mar23 Mar11 Feb18 Jan04   (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
ANNAMATED MOON Mar01 Feb11 Jan21     (stites flin)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
STUDIO B Apr19 Mar23 Mar13 Feb11 Jan29 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-5   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MORENO Apr07 Feb25 Jan22 Jan02   (allen ferris)ALVELO C 115 3.50    
BIRD TRAFFIC Apr01 Mar04 Jan25     (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  LANA Apr01 Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Mar22 Feb08 Jan04     (fields kevin)CORA D 120 4.50 6% 16.00    
EARLY FROST Mar29 Mar04 Feb01     (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 4.00 8% 12.30    
TEACHER DRAMA Mar29 Mar22 Mar04 Feb15 Feb08 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
BEST CAUSE Mar22 Mar02 Feb02     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-6   04/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BOOGIE Apr01 Mar09 Jan25 Jan04   (kreiser c)FLORES E 120 6.00    
CHARGING LION Apr01 Mar11 Feb15 Jan27 Jan13 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 47% 1.10    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Mar29 Feb21 Jan28 Jan07   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
NORTHERN THUNDER Apr01 Mar11       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
TRENDING UP Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan19 Jan04 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
MR HOOVER Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 7% 12.60    
ROLLING PALISADES Apr06 Jan11       (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
A T M AWESOME Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Feb01 Jan14 (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEKING THE THRONE Mar22 Mar15 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (fenimore elbert)LLOYD W 120 30.00    
SHOW MAID Apr07 Mar22 Feb16 Feb01   (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  ABOVE THE LINE Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 (miller marl)VARGAS L 120 10.00    
MISCHIEF MANAGED Apr07 Mar15       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
BLEZNIATKA         (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
WOW FACTOR Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Jan28   (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
HONESTA Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 Jan14   (jacavone john )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
QUEEN ABARRIO Apr11 Feb21 Feb01 Jan10   (dominguez mar)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 3.00    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Apr07 Mar25 Feb09 Jan14   (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50    
10  DOCS WAY Apr07 Feb18       (boyer jr)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
PEN-8   04/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT FLUIDITY Apr08 Mar26 Mar11     (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
MARIE FROM PARIE Apr08 Mar09 Feb22     (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00    
LADYOFDRAGONSTONE         (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 124 10.00    
WAVERLY SUNSET Mar30 Mar08 Feb08     (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
MOSCOWS GOT TALENT Mar23 Feb22       (jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GROTON ST SCOUT Mar23 Feb22 Feb09 Jan12   (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
TIZ PROMISING RVF Apr08 Mar23 Feb22 Feb09 Jan07 (zalalas michael)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
SCR  JUST SMOK'N Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Jan12   (abrams ronald)BURKE JERMAINE 124 8.00    
MELODIOUS SINGER Mar07 Feb18 Feb02     (brennan regina)RANGEL JOEZER 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.