Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - April 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPIRIT OR SPITE Mar05 Feb08       (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 120 30.00    
2  LEAKY CAULDRON Mar18         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
3  KAREN'S WAY Mar21 Feb28 Jan26     (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 ★    
4  QUEEN ROSEMARY Mar02 Feb16 Jan19     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
5  KIRBY Feb23 Feb09 Jan19     (morris kenton)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00 ★    
6  MINER'S GEM Apr07 Mar18 Feb12     (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-2   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  START CASHIN Mar18 Feb23 Feb01     (king c)BAKER J 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  AULD LANGE SYNE Apr04 Mar14 Feb23     (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 124 10.00    
3  PECOS BILL Mar15 Feb15       (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 10.00    
4  PASSCODE Mar29 Mar04 Feb11 Jan11   (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 8.00 ★    
5  GET A VALENTINE         (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  TORAZO Mar18 Mar01 Feb11 Feb01 Jan12 (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  CHAMPERS Apr19 Mar22 Mar01 Feb11 Feb02 (correnti )RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-3   04/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL COMEDIAN Apr01 Mar09 Jan26 Jan07   (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
2  JUMP FREE Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 Feb25 Jan28 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 117 12.00    
3  TRUE SUCCESS Mar23         (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00    
4  ALL TACKED UP Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan26 Jan07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  REBEL RULER Mar16 Feb25 Feb09     (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 117 10.00    
6  CRYPT Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 ★    
7  PIGGYBANK Apr19 Apr04 Mar09 Feb01 Jan19 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00 ★    
8  NIMITZ Mar29 Mar15 Feb08     (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 2.00 64% 0.60    
9  SACRED MOUNTAIN Mar30 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01   (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKDOWN KID Mar16 Feb16 Jan19     (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00    
2  DOUBLE TIME BAY Mar25         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  MY MAN GEORGIO Apr08 Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Jan28 (carpio er)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 ★    
4  BUFF AND SHINE Mar23 Mar01 Feb08 Jan04   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 ★    
5  THE LITTLE SPROUT         (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00    
SCR  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB)         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 ★    
7  CHAIN REACTION Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan12   (houghton th)INIRIO J 121 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
PEN-5   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Mar25 Feb02       (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 ★    
2  SINISE Apr06 Mar08       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  AMEN SYLVIA         (shea timoth)INIRIO J 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
4  DWELLER Apr07 Feb22 Feb01     (kulp l)WHITNEY G 117 4.50 ★    
5  WINDY GLO SAL Mar15 Feb09 Jan19     (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 11% 8.40    
6  GOLDEN LAW Apr07 Mar08 Feb02     (dimitriou harr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 ★    
2  GRAB THE GOLD Mar23 Mar02       (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 120 20.00    
3  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Mar02 Jan19       (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 11% 8.20    
4  COLONEL MOORHEAD Jan19         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
5  GOLDEN CANDY         (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  NEWSTOME Mar02 Feb16 Jan19     (trombetta mic)BRACHO A 115 4.50 ★    
7  MEMORY BOUQUET Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
 
PEN-7   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURELY SILVER Apr01 Mar11       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Apr07 Mar18 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 8.00    
3  MIRACLES SUNSHINE         (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00    
4  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Feb21 Jan31 Jan12     (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 ★    
5  LEFTATTHEALTAR Mar15 Mar02 Jan12     (krebs stev)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  NINJA PRINCESS Mar25 Mar01       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 ★    
7  GLOSSY MADRINA Apr07 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Jan14 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-8   04/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEROCKETMAN Mar30 Mar01       (shuchman )VARGAS L 124 6.00    
2  TOP HAT TREASON Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 Jan11   (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
3  CUMBERLAND GAP Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 Jan12   (shea h)CORA D 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  TAKE IT TO SCALE Mar30 Jan19       (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
5  CAMGO Mar30 Jan11       (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  JERSEY JOE B Apr04 Mar01 Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 12.00 ★    
7  ROCKIN COWBOY Apr19 Mar29 Feb22 Jan31 Jan12 (gallimore t)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 10.00 6% 15.70    
8  SPIKES SHIRL         (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.