Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.08K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIPMAN'S SONG Apr11 Mar28       (buehrer mark)JORDAN R 116 1.40 38% 1.60    
COVINGTON QUALITY Apr11         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
TIMELY REPLY Apr11 Mar28       (swango ra)TRIANA JR 121 1.80    
JUSTINS OMEN Apr11         (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 121 10.00    
MIGHTY BUGSY Apr11 Mar28       (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 20.00    
 
WRD-2   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.55K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BECAUSEWAY         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 122 5.00    
TOMMY TSUNAMI Mar29         (trett g)KIMES C 122 5.00    
WINDIGO SPIRIT Apr11         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50    
GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE Apr12         (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 3.00    
FORTYSLEW Apr13 Mar30 Mar21     (blatchfor)MEDINA ANGEL 122 20.00    
SCR  OCTAGON Mar30         (nolen kenne)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
MY SECRETARIAT         (gomez j)CRUZ ROMAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAHOMEITE Apr11 Apr05 Feb25 Jan28   (blatchford g)MEDINA ANTHONY 122 20.00    
 
WRD-3   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATEFULLY YOURS         (seaton sh)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHERIFF FEMENINO         (ashford ra)JORDAN R 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
DIXIEFIED Apr04         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
QUEENOFTHERAINBOW Apr05 Feb24 Jan07     (young e)KIMES C 118 6.00    
SCR  NOODLE SALAD Apr12 Feb17 Jan29     (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
AFLEET OKIE Apr04         (ferrell j)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
RIVER LIBERTY Apr04         (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
 
WRD-4   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPE AND A DREAM Apr11 Mar28       (merrick d)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 1.80 17% 4.80    
GOODNIGHTSUGAR Mar22 Feb18 Jan29     (birzer bo)MEDINA ANGEL 118 4.00    
ANGEL'S CUT Apr11 Mar28 Feb18 Feb03 Jan01 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 3.00 8% 12.20    
HEY ROXY Apr11 Mar28       (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 10.00    
HALE'S ANGEL Apr06 Mar22       (hale victo)CRUZ ROMAN 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
WRD-5   04/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.08K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE ME SERIOUS Apr02 Mar19       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 115 1.60 58% 0.70    
RIVER VENUS Apr13         (young scott)WETHEY JR 115 6.00    
GOSPEL GINA Apr04         (williams f)KIMES C 124 12.00    
SMOKIN' OKIE Apr04 Mar30       (padilla car)HERRERA GUSTAVO 115 3.00    
LIL' JIMMI SUE Mar30         (williams )MEDINA ANGEL 115 3.50 13% 6.80    
WHAT A BABE Apr04         (craddock )TRIANA JR 118 5.00    
 
WRD-6   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE FRONT         (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
BLACK MAGIC LADY Apr02 Mar09 Feb09 Jan06   (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
MISS TYRO Apr06 Mar28       (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
SHEDIALED BURREAUX Apr11 Mar02 Feb09 Jan07   (lee mark)JORDAN R 119 1.80    
SCR  SPY A STAR Apr06 Mar23 Feb10 Jan21   (tracy gre)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
SIGICRICKET Apr04         (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
 
WRD-7   04/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE BEAN Apr04 Mar22 Feb16     (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
OSIYO Apr04 Mar29 Mar04 Jan28   (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 1.60 51% 0.90    
PLENTY OF CENTS Apr13 Mar30 Jan30 Jan14   (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 2.00    
FROGGY         (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 15.00    
CAPTAIN COMEBACK Apr05         (williams f)KIMES C 124 12.00    
RAINBOWS TREASURE Apr04 Mar22       (rodriguez mart)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ACTING WIZARD Apr04         (caster bo)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.00    
 
WRD-8   04/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTORAL Apr09 Apr01 Mar02 Feb09 Jan22 (ferrell jor)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 54% 0.80    
SPECTACTICAL Apr11 Mar28       (mitchell )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
MUNI MUNI SLEW Apr11         (hartman alex)JORDAN R 119 3.00 13% 6.80    
SPANISH HOMBRE Mar28         (williams f)KIMES C 121 12.00    
SCR  TIME TO FIGHT Mar28         (ward skeet)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 30.00    
YESTERYEAR Apr04         (ashford ray)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00    
HI HO CHEERIO         (oberlande)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
PAST VISIONS         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
REACH THE CIRCLE Mar28         (gomez j)CRUZ ROMAN 121 20.00    
10  AFLEET SNIPER Apr04 Mar21 Mar12 Feb24 Feb09 (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 124 5.00    
 
WRD-9   04/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVENING STORM Apr11 Mar28       (buehrer mark)RICHARD RONALD 124 8.00 5% 18.70    
RUBY BE JUDGED Apr12         (gladd kassie)KIMES C 124 8.00    
HARPERS VISION Mar21         (morales arnold)CRUZ ROMAN 124 20.00    
BLACK COFFEE BUZZ Apr11 Mar28       (merrick d)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
SERENIDIPITOUS DO Apr12 Mar30       (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
MY CITY GIRL Mar28         (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
J LOVE Apr11         (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
MISS ALLIE GRACE Mar28 Feb25 Jan30 Jan09   (donaldson)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00    
ARKANSAS INVASION Apr11 Mar28       (espiritu lu)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.