Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - April 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50.6K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNADULTERATED         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 3.50    
ELKE LODGE         (perkins jr)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00    
SURYA (ARG)         (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
QUEEN OF CLASS Apr01 Mar13       (morgan carla)RUIZ JORGE 124 8.00    
SHE SO COOL Mar15 Feb18 Jan23     (ramire)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 30.00    
GLOWSITY Feb26 Jan23       (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
LRL-2   04/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE MAGIC Mar05 Feb12       (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 119 2.50    
LIKELY CHOICE         (maldonado)CARRASCO R 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
HELLO GRACIE         (albert l)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
ALWAYS SOMETHING Mar19 Feb19 Jan16     (testerman v)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00    
PRINCESS COREY         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 50% 1.00    
EL BOCHINCHE Mar26 Feb21 Jan21     (mckenzie dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
SALAMINA Mar26 Feb11       (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 126 15.00    
 
LRL-3   04/24/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TWO KID Mar27 Feb15       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
GO POKE THE BEAR Jan28         (juarez calixto)JUAREZ NIK 123 10.00    
BATTALION Feb10 Jan01       (klesaris rober)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
PETIT FILS (FR)         (lawrence )CARRASCO R 123 5.00    
SCR  BOUNCING AROUND Jan10         (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
TOE CURLIN' KISS         (beecher mark)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 15.00    
MOKHEEF         (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00 7% 13.70    
AWESOME D J Apr03 Mar13 Mar04     (cash l)ACOSTA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
AHSAD Apr13 Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 Feb07 (penaloza miguel)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
10  STRAIGHT UP GUY Apr15 Mar20 Feb27 Feb11 Jan22 (aguirre antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00    
11  SMALL HOPE Feb26 Feb13       (sweezey ken)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
LRL-4   04/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37.95K) 3 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET TALIA Mar27 Feb21 Jan01     (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 116 8.00    
FORTUNATA ITALIA         (farrior a)CARRASCO R 121 3.00 10% 9.30    
SOMMER VELVET Mar26 Feb24 Feb12 Jan31   (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 12.00    
SEA PINES Mar11 Feb21 Jan28 Jan19 Jan01 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
CABRA CHICA Apr14 Apr02 Mar20 Feb12   (simone v)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.50    
JOE MIKE JIM Mar27 Mar11 Feb12 Jan21   (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 3.00 13% 6.40    
 
LRL-5   04/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 35 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLICE VITA Apr08 Jan16       (boniface ke)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 4.50    
MR. MOSLEY Apr01 Feb26 Feb20     (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.00 16% 5.30    
CARMICHAELSPIONEER Apr03         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
STIMULUS MAKER Apr07         (mcmahon hug)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
AMAZING ROCKET Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Feb10 Jan14 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
NO ME DIGAS Apr03         (worton)ENRIQUEZ JR 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Apr03 Mar13 Feb11 Jan16   (gorham michae)ALVELO C 111 6.00 12% 7.40    
PLAYING GOLD Apr08 Mar06 Feb20 Jan19 Jan05 (mcmahon )BUTTERFLY L 109 4.50    
LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Apr08 Mar25 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (eubanks annette)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
10  DOUBLBARRELBOURBON Apr08 Mar06 Feb20     (hohlbein ker)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
 
LRL-6   04/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY SAUL Mar16 Feb06 Jan20     (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 12.00 6% 14.60    
SHINY PENNY Apr10 Mar23 Mar05 Jan28   (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
I'M A LIL BOSSY Apr08 Mar20 Feb24     (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
BON FIRE DIVA Apr02         (contessa gar)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 20.00    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Apr08 Mar25       (nambo cesar)ACOSTA D 121 15.00    
KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Apr14 Mar05 Feb21 Jan23   (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 1.60 34% 1.90    
MIZ THE BEST Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 (walters henry)AVILES YAN 110 15.00    
MO FIRE Apr10 Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Feb18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 3.00    
 
LRL-7   04/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($52.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CHOICE Mar18 Feb27 Jan27     (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
BETCHA BY GOLLY Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 (andreadakis geor)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
MURPH Mar04         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 113 12.00    
FLYING FORTRESS         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
A REAL HERO Mar18         (farrior an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 15.00    
BELLE BELISA (IRE) Jan29         (dickinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
DANCING TIL DUSK         (white alexa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
GET SERIOUS Mar12         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 116 3.00 13% 6.90    
GHOST MAIDEN Mar25 Mar04 Jan16     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00 9% 10.80    
10  GENNIE HIGHWAY Mar20 Feb23 Jan29     (capuano dal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
11  VIBRANCY Feb12 Jan22       (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 116 10.00    
12  DETERMINED STAR         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 113 12.00    
SCR  MOSALAH         (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 123 12.00    
SCR  PETTIGO GIRL Apr16 Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 Jan27 (contessa)BUTTERFLY L 116 20.00    
SCR  ACT LIKE ARTIE Mar25 Mar03       (breen j)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
 
LRL-8   04/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 3 ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOWHOWIKNOW Apr09 Apr02 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.60    
RUN ON THE TRAIL Apr09 Apr02 Feb21 Feb12 Jan23 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 8.00    
PRINCIPALITY Apr01 Mar05 Feb20 Jan13   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 6.00    
I'M NOT SLOW Apr02 Mar27 Mar05 Feb13 Jan30 (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 112 10.00    
GUNHAND Apr09 Apr02 Mar26 Feb21 Feb12 (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 121 3.00 12% 7.70    
ILLUSTRIOUS Apr01 Feb24 Feb05 Jan13   (walters henry)AVILES YAN 110 3.00 59% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.