Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - April 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBY'S RANSOM Apr08 Mar15 Feb23 Feb01   (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
2  BAAGY Mar23 Jan31       (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  VICTORS VALIANT Apr05 Feb21       (bedard alan)OCASIO M 123 8.00 ★    
4  T C GREELEY         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 123 4.00 ★    
5  KAZTHAROS Apr07 Mar16 Mar01     (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  ROCKIN THE PALACE Apr07         (stites flint)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 10.00    
 
PEN-2   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL'S INVASION Jan11         (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  AFLEET TRAXX Mar25 Mar15 Mar01 Feb11 Jan26 (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
3  EYES OF ZEUS Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00 ★    
4  SHADOW BOAT Mar18 Mar11 Feb08 Jan11   (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 2.00 9% 10.60    
5  EXPENSIVE (CHI) Mar22 Feb08 Jan25     (krebs steven)CHIAPPE R 120 1.20 ★    
6  MARKET Mar18 Feb23 Jan25 Jan11   (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENSAMIENTO         (carpio erin)AGUILAR M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISTER GARY Mar29 Mar16 Mar08 Feb11 Jan28 (carpio er)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
3  KHAKI JACK         (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
4  MIZZEN MONEY Jan11         (shea h)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
5  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Mar22 Mar02 Jan28 Jan07   (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 8.00    
6  BOURBON MUSIC Mar22 Mar02       (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
7  TUCKERTON BAY Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 10.00 9% 10.50    
8  GALILEE Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 Jan07   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 30% 2.30    
9  ZILLION Mar29 Feb18       (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
10  THINKIN OUT LOUD Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 Jan12 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  PICKERING CIRCLE Mar22         (crook-demasi ka)WHITNEY G 119 8.00    
SCR  DIABLO D ORO Apr11 Mar22 Feb09 Jan12   (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK BE NIMBLE Mar26 Mar02       (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  VENCIL Apr07 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23   (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE KATZ Feb23 Jan25       (johnston rob)CORA D 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
4  FREEAINTFREE Mar01         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
5  MR DUBAI Mar02 Jan28 Jan07     (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 20.00    
6  NOTORIOUS REY Apr07 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09   (o'hearn heather)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 ★    
7  NOT TO BLAME Apr01 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23   (bobadilla)VARGAS L 121 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE MAX Mar16 Feb18 Feb11     (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  DREAMING OF LOVE Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 10% 9.50    
3  GOTANDA Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 5.00 ★    
4  HELMS DEEP (GB) Apr01         (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
5  MY MAGICAL MAN Apr08 Mar25 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 4.50 21% 3.90    
6  COOS BAY Apr01 Mar18 Feb23 Jan25 Jan07 (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
7  GEM JUAN Apr01 Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUDURO Apr06 Mar16 Mar01 Feb11 Feb02 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
2  BIGMANCAN Mar29 Mar04       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
3  THE GREAT CASBY Mar16 Feb16 Jan26     (moreno tito)FLORES E 122 12.00    
4  INTERCEPT Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 Jan28   (graci kim)VARGAS L 124 3.00 7% 12.60    
5  COMMISSIONER BIGGS Mar29         (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
6  HEY CONGRATS Feb16 Feb09 Jan12     (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Mar04 Feb15 Jan12     (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUELED UP Mar25 Mar04 Feb11     (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  LA LENA Apr03 Mar26 Mar16 Feb13 Feb04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  PEACEMON Apr06         (houghton thomas)WHITNEY G 121 8.00    
4  MEEMOO Mar18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 ★    
5  SCARLET LILY Mar29 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
6  VALENTINA'S CUPID Feb22 Jan26 Jan12     (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
7  FAIRY DREAMS         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  MISS JUNEBUG Mar29 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 (albright )VARGAS L 124 10.00    
 
PEN-8   04/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIFF Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 Jan12   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 ★    
2  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 Jan04   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 5.00    
3  ELUSIVE JESTER Mar23 Feb08 Jan26     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
4  BOSSY CAT Mar29 Mar09 Feb18 Feb02   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
5  HONOR COLLECTION Mar23 Mar01       (rojas e)CORA D 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPER HOUDINI Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  BOCK Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 Feb05   (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.