Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZUZUDINI Mar18         (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 ★    
2  AMERICAN LAW Mar20         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.60 40% 1.50    
3  CHEEKY TICO Feb03         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 20.00    
4  PREDICTED Apr09         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Apr02 Feb24 Jan27     (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 ★    
6  COMPLETE AGENDA Feb26 Jan29       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 2.00 12% 7.50    
 
AQU-2   04/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMORE FIRE Mar19         (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 ★    
2  CLOSING DEALS Mar19 Feb20 Jan23     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
3  CLASSIC VINMAN Mar19 Feb19       (schosberg richa)MENA E 120 10.00    
4  TWEAQUED Apr01 Jan28       (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 22% 3.60    
5  ROOSKI Feb24 Jan28       (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  LANFRANKOPHILE Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Jan06   (lyn)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   04/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEALY'S HOPE Mar26 Mar11 Feb21 Feb10 Jan01 (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 30.00    
2  FLOWERS FOR LISA Mar19 Feb24 Jan16 Jan01   (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  RUNABOUT Apr01 Mar25 Feb05 Jan01   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  O SHEA CAN U SEE Apr01 Mar04 Feb05 Jan02   (laxmeter )VARGAS A 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MATTY'S EXPRESS Mar09 Jan20       (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 5% 18.60    
6  PARADE FIELD Mar05         (lyn)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
7  NUTZFORBOLTZ Apr01 Feb05 Jan01     (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 121 15.00    
8  BLOOD MOON Apr01 Feb24 Feb05 Jan16   (barrera )DAVIS A 123 20.00    
9  FROSTED INDIAN Apr11 Mar22       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   04/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION WRAPITUP Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 (jones e)MENA E 119 30.00    
SCR  GANDY DANCING Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27   (pregman jr)RIDER TBA 119 20.00    
3  PANSTER         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 16% 5.10    
4  VALMONT         (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Mar31 Mar19 Jan28 Jan01   (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  SAINT SELBY Mar13         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
SCR  MORE GRAYTFUL Feb20 Jan01       (giangiuli)VARGAS A 121 1.60 24% 3.20    
8  NEW YORK'S FINEST Feb17 Jan21       (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 5% 18.40    
9  SWASHBUCKLE         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
10  BUSTIN SHOUT Mar05 Jan01       (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
 
AQU-5   04/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE O'MALLEY Mar11 Jan23       (hennig mark)SAMUEL L 118 15.00    
2  EUDAIMONIA Mar19 Feb19 Feb04 Jan14 Jan01 (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
3  TONIGHT WE LOVE Mar25 Feb26 Feb05 Jan06   (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  LIVE IN FIVE Mar18 Feb24 Jan08     (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
5  SWEET SUGAR BABY Apr03         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 8% 11.10    
6  TASTY WAVE Mar19 Feb12       (levine br)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
7  REELEY PSYCHED Apr03 Mar11 Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 5.00 8% 12.10    
8  ROZ Mar18 Jan08       (nevin michelle)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.50 10% 8.70    
9  MRS. BANKS Mar19 Feb19 Jan08     (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 20.00    
10  KEEN DANCER Apr10 Mar18 Feb04 Jan14   (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00    
 
AQU-6   04/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERSHOOK Apr02 Jan04       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  MOJOVATION Mar07 Feb15 Jan30 Jan17   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
2  HAMMERIN AAMER Mar26 Feb04 Jan14     (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
3  MEXICAN WONDER BOY Mar26 Feb25 Jan14     (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
4  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Mar24 Mar01 Jan27     (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
5  PIONEER SPIRIT Mar20 Feb04       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  STRIKING SPEED Apr08 Mar26 Mar06 Feb25 Jan23 (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 121 30.00    
7  AMERICAN RULE Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb11 Jan28 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
8  SOMEDAY JONES Jan23         (vazquez j)VARGAS A 121 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
AQU-7   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR PHIL Mar27 Feb27 Feb15 Jan16   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 ★    
2  JAXON TRAVELER Mar19 Jan29       (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  COST BASIS Feb19         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 16% 5.20    
4  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Mar27         (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 12% 7.10    
5  OUR LAST BUCK Mar20 Feb26       (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
6  BIG ENGINE Mar19 Feb19 Jan16     (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-8   04/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY KNIGHT Mar19 Jan20       (chi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  EMPIRE RIDGE Jan19         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 ★    
2  NECROMANCER Feb25 Jan16       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
3  KOBE'S LEGACY Jan27         (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
4  NINTH OF APRIL Apr10 Mar19 Jan07     (mc allen)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
5  BECKENBAUER Feb27         (forde jason)RICHARDS G 125 30.00    
6  MR. J. MCKAY Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50    
7  PIPITO Mar19 Feb25 Jan06     (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
8  EVERESTING Apr09 Mar05 Feb06     (johnson clev)HARKIE K 125 5.00 ★    
9  IMMORTALIZATION Jan28         (hemingway mic)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
10  FAZARO Apr07 Mar19 Feb05 Jan16   (williams andr)CARDENAS LUIS 118 15.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  R BOY CHEEKUM Apr10 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 (thompson)DAVIS A 118 50.00    
SCR  SEAN THE HAMMER         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  KID CASH         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.