Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT PAINTING Mar25 Mar09 Feb25     (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 125 15.00 ★    
2  PICASSO Mar11 Feb05       (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  EL PIQUIN Mar19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan16   (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
4  MIDNIGHT J J Apr11 Mar19 Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 ★    
5  AMERICAN SMOOTH Mar17 Feb18 Jan23     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
6  SAVOY Jan08         (hiles a)LANERIE J 125 2.50    
7  FIGHTVILLE Mar23 Feb21 Jan21 Jan13   (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOYFUL CANDY Mar13         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 4.50 11% 8.40    
2  MR GHOST         (navarrete )CORRALES GERARDO 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  GO VIRTUAL         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  BAYOU SHACK Mar25 Feb23       (fernandez edwa)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
5  MIGHTY MATT         (cerin vladimi)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
6  OXWOOD Mar24 Mar12 Jan16     (woodbury j)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 15.00 8% 11.70    
7  DRUM AND BASS Mar17 Jan15       (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  PRINCE OF GLORY         (mcgee paul)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00    
9  SOUTHERN SENSE Feb26 Jan16       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00    
10  ALFIO         (thornbury jeff)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
11  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA         (mccutchen robe)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROVE DADDY         (pessin l)LANERIE J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPER COMET Mar09 Feb10 Jan13     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
3  RODERICK         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 ★    
4  HE'S IN CHARGE Mar10 Feb10       (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
5  CARMEL BAY Mar24         (shif)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 12.00    
6  KING'S OVATION Mar05         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
7  KING'S MISCHIEF Feb27 Feb05 Jan07     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00    
 
KEE-4   04/20/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOURBON THERAPY         (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
SCR  HILL OF TARA         (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
SCR  DONTINVADEMYSPACE         (brooks ger)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND         (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 15.00    
3  ABINADI         (mendez luis)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
4  SIMPLY SUPER         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  SPURS UP         (mccutchen rob)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00    
6  TALKIN PHAROAH         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Apr08         (mcen)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  MAGIC TAP         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
9  LATE SEPTEMBER         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
10  SERGEANT COUNTZLER         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
11  MARIACHI CRUSH         (gutierrez faus)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
12  REVERE NOTE         (mitchell j)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 30.00    
SCR  TASTERFOR THE KING         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 6% 14.50    
 
KEE-5   04/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN VOICE Apr02 Feb17       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 16% 5.40    
2  YOUENS Mar12 Feb12 Jan15     (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
3  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Mar25 Jan13       (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
SCR  FRACING NASTY Apr02 Feb18       (reed r)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
5  CUZZYWUZZY Mar17 Feb17       (guer)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 12.00 ★    
6  AIZU Jan29         (nihei mic)LEPAROUX R 125 10.00 7% 12.80    
7  HAT TIP         (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 15.00 12% 7.40    
8  DREAMFUL Mar12 Jan29       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
9  VIBURNUM         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
10  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Mar02         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00    
SCR  MYMATEMARMITE (GB) Mar26 Mar09       (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Mar12 Feb12 Jan15     (rubley kel)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
13  FREEDOM BOUND Jan01         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 125 12.00    
SCR  HOHOHOHO Mar27 Mar16 Feb21 Feb12   (claire alexi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARSTOW         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 8% 11.10    
2  BEEP BEEP Mar16         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  DROP ANCHOR         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
4  HANEY BOYS Feb27 Jan30 Jan14     (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
5  GRAYWING Jan01         (gaudet lacey)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 ★    
6  NOTABLE EXCEPTION Jan07         (pincins j)BEJARANO R 124 8.00    
7  CAPTAIN FANTASTIC Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 Jan15   (west w)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
8  KOBE B Mar26         (romans dale)LANERIE J 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
9  EL SEGUNDO Mar24         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
 
KEE-7   04/20/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE THE KING         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  FANCY LIQUOR Feb19 Jan29       (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 10.00 19% 4.40    
3  GLYNN COUNTY Mar05 Jan29       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
4  CAMP HOPE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
SCR  DYN O MITE Mar12 Jan30 Jan22     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
6  T D DANCE Mar12 Feb14       (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
7  GREYES CREEK         (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6% 15.80    
8  INVADER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
9  PINE KNOLL Mar19 Jan13       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
10  BEACON HILL         (matz r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  GET HER NUMBER Mar12         (alvarado)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
12  STREET READY Mar13         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00    
13  ARGENTELLO (IRE)         (murphy con)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY GHOST         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SPANISH KINGDOM Feb14         (sharp joe)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUCE ON THE LOOSE         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
2  KEVALAR Feb23 Jan08       (esquivel je)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 15.00    
3  CONGRATS TO MI         (leonard i)BEJARANO R 125 12.00    
4  LAPIS LAZULI Mar16 Feb17 Jan17     (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 ★    
5  FULLY CONNECTED Mar10 Feb17 Jan22     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
6  KENNEDY'S BEAU         (cross kenny )ROMERO GREGORY 125 12.00    
7  ISTHMIAN Mar19 Feb19 Jan29 Jan08   (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 ★    
8  ART HEIST Mar17 Feb19 Jan22     (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
9  LUNAR ROCKET Jan17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
10  RIGHT OF RUSH         (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
11  HEARNS Feb17         (mckeever )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.