Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOOMING GARDEN Apr03 Jan22       (aguayo ramon)RIVERA BRYAN 111 8.00 37% 1.70    
2  GUN WAR Mar20 Feb23 Feb03     (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 121 1.80 ★    
3  SMOKEY SONG Apr03         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.00 ★    
4  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Apr10 Jan14       (matthews dou)TAVARES JAVIER 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  BOLD ATTACK         (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 10.00    
6  BRAVO BRAVO Mar19 Mar04 Feb18     (meraz anto)URDANETA J 121 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
HAW-2   04/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESIDENT ELECT Apr02 Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan11 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  HIGH HERO Apr02         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 4.50 ★    
3  CONTRACTION Apr02         (candelas b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 ★    
4  GREELEYS ICE Apr02         (reyes martin)RIVERA BRYAN 111 12.00    
SCR  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Apr03         (holsapple hutch)MOJICA O 121 4.00 7% 14.10    
6  FLEETWAY Apr03         (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
7  W W KAN DO Apr02 Mar13 Feb10 Jan20 Jan03 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
HAW-3   04/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITCHING         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 124 4.00 ★    
2  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE         (brooks e)MOJICA O 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
3  MOMMASGOTTARUN Mar04 Jan19       (amoss m)BAIRD T 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  RAIN ATTACK         (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 15.00    
5  ULIKEAPPLES         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  REINA DE LA ROSE Mar12 Feb26 Jan22     (watkins m)EMIGH A 118 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGAVE KID Mar27 Mar04 Feb19 Jan02   (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 4.00 ★    
2  ONE WAY HOME Apr03 Mar02       (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00    
3  DIVE DEEP Apr02         (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 8.00 ★    
4  WILD WES         (poulos dee)MOJICA O 121 4.50 43% 1.40    
5  WINGING WAYS Apr02 Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 Jan09 (brooks ger)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 ★    
6  MORETHANSOULTITLE Apr02 Mar25 Jan09     (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 8.00    
7  EL MAS LOCO         (cook brian)RIVERA BRYAN 111 6.00    
8  GOLDENPENCE Apr03 Feb11 Jan22     (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
HAW-5   04/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTREME V. I. P. Feb18         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
2  VALLEY VISTA Apr03 Mar03 Feb11     (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
3  ROUSING SIREN Mar25 Mar09 Jan29 Jan14 Jan02 (meraz anto)URDANETA J 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  LARK         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 114 5.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  KING ZION Apr03         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 124 30.00    
6  GRAN MUCHACO Mar13 Feb14 Feb04 Jan17   (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 20.00    
7  CO CONSPIRATOR Mar13 Feb10 Jan22     (stidham michael)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.50 ★    
8  OFF TO THE BEACH Apr03         (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 124 30.00    
9  MADELYNS HEAT Mar25 Feb11 Jan14     (watkins m)FELIX E 117 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-6   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S RULE Apr02 Feb11 Jan23     (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00 ★    
2  MISTER CHARMING         (spagnola ida)RIVERA BRYAN 111 15.00    
3  TUFF ATTACK         (childers vance)MOJICA O 121 5.00 7% 12.50    
4  CYCLONE ATTACK         (childers vance)BAIRD T 115 8.00    
5  GHAALEB'S BIG WIN Apr03 Mar13 Feb21     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.40 56% 0.80    
6  EMPTY HOLSTER Feb04 Jan08       (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 7% 13.40    
7  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN         (young r)LOPEZ E 121 12.00    
SCR  FLASHY RICHIE Feb05 Jan13       (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 6% 15.70    
 
HAW-7   04/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED BOAT Mar18 Feb04       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.00 10% 9.30    
2  JUST GUN IT Feb24 Jan30 Jan09     (rodriguez eduar)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00    
3  SEARCH ENGINE Feb18         (amoss m)BAIRD T 114 8.00    
4  LAVENDER EARL Mar09 Feb16 Jan15     (reavis mi)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  RED FLAG ALERT Mar24 Jan13       (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  REGULAR GUY Mar24 Feb19       (catalano m)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
7  TRIGGER HAPPY Jan07         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 4.50 13% 6.90    
8  DYNABLUE Apr02         (poulos dee)FELIX E 121 20.00    
9  HAPPY CAMPER Apr01 Mar18 Jan07     (manley steve)LOPEZ E 121 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-8   04/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIANA'S LOVE         (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00 20% 4.10    
2  HELEN MAE'S SONG Mar25 Jan14       (watkins m)BAIRD T 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  SUPERSTAR DIVA         (zawitz joel)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00    
4  ARCH FLYER Apr02 Mar03 Feb10 Jan16   (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 6% 16.10    
5  HEY HEY Apr10 Jan14       (candelas blanca)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
6  LADY ATLANTIC         (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
7  HER GOLD MINE         (haran john)URDANETA J 121 10.00 5% 17.70    
8  BLUES MARY Feb24 Jan14       (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50    
9  NICE AND TRUE Apr02         (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 8.00 8% 10.90    
10  SINGING ALLI Apr10         (dizeo dino)LOPEZ A 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.