Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDY HANNON Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20   (hoffman robert)JUDE JOHN 124 2.50 ★    
2  LIMPERHOME Mar27 Mar13       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  BER MIS BOY Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20   (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  FOR REEL Apr03 Mar20 Mar06     (bliss dean)TOHILL S 120 3.50 ★    
5  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Apr03 Mar20       (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 120 12.00    
6  DIAMANTE JOSE Mar27 Mar13 Feb20     (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 15.00    
7  P R STREAKIN Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20   (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-2   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSOLVED Apr02 Mar05 Feb03 Jan20   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  BORN TO RACE Mar05 Feb25 Jan01     (chavez juan)TOHILL S 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
3  HOT ARTIE Apr01 Mar18 Mar06 Feb25   (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
4  WILDCAT NATION Apr08 Mar12 Feb27     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  BREWSTER Apr01 Mar18 Feb26 Jan12   (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 124 15.00 ★    
6  ROYAL OUTLAW Apr01 Mar11 Feb12     (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 120 8.00    
 
FON-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCK CHECK Mar05 Feb19       (hall l)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
2  FIFTYSHADESOPURPLE Apr02 Mar04 Feb10 Jan28   (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
3  DRYSPELL Apr09 Mar19 Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
4  JIMMIE T         (haar j)CHICKENESS S 124 5.00 6% 15.60    
5  WACO KID         (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 7% 12.40    
6  EL CENTENARIO Apr01 Mar13 Mar06     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  MY TRUE REWARD Apr01 Mar12 Feb26     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
8  HALEY'S STEELMAN Apr03         (hemmer terrell)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00 ★    
 
FON-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREACHER Mar26 Mar19 Mar05 Feb26 Jan15 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
2  COLLEGE PARTY Apr03 Mar13 Feb26     (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
3  ONE SON OF A CHIEF Mar19 Mar05 Feb20     (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  TEXAS LONG BOW Feb26         (sanderson br)BETHKE A 124 5.00 ★    
5  ALEX OF ICE Mar13         (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
6  REVEREND AJ Apr03 Mar13 Feb25     (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 5.00    
7  AWESOME EMMIT Feb25         (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 ★    
 
FON-5   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN REALITY Apr02 Mar20 Mar11 Feb16 Feb02 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
2  FIVE ROSES LUNA Mar04         (cranwell james)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00    
3  GUAPA CHICA Mar11 Jan21       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  LEMONS IS GONE Apr02 Feb17 Jan29     (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 10.00    
5  STAR IN THE SKY Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 Feb19   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  ZIPPORAH Apr01 Mar18 Mar05     (anderson c)TOHILL S 124 20.00 ★    
7  STUNTING Mar05         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
 
FON-6   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Mar04         (ness john)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
SCR  INAGOODWAY         (ness john)TOHILL S 119 6.00    
2  BLINKERS Apr02         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
3  FIRST ALTERNATE Apr02 Mar13 Mar05     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  FRENCH ROSE Apr02 Mar11       (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 119 5.00 ★    
5  LAURIEANN Apr02 Mar13 Feb17 Jan26 Jan13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS Apr02 Mar05       (hoffman robert)OLESIAK JAKE 121 12.00 ★    
 
FON-7   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARM AND SARCASM Mar27 Mar05       (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Mar18 Mar12 Jan01     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00    
3  LASTING INFLUENCE Apr01 Mar05       (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  ULTRA CORDIAL Apr01 Mar05 Feb25     (anderson c)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
5  CHIEFTESS Apr08 Mar25 Mar18 Jan12   (bliss dean)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
6  POLLY WAR CRY Mar04         (hall l)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 6.00    
7  AQUATICA Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19   (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 9% 10.20    
8  THEWHISKEYWORKED Mar16 Feb18 Jan07     (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 124 15.00 ★    
 
FON-8   04/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTREME LYRA Mar25 Mar19 Mar04 Feb19   (castillo sal)JUDE JOHN 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  WINNERS LUCK Mar25 Mar12 Feb19     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
3  SNOW MAN Mar25 Mar12 Feb23 Jan27 Jan07 (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  CONVICT PIKE Feb23 Jan30 Jan07     (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 4.50 ★    
5  LITTLE JOHN Mar26 Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Jan18 (ecoffey gilb)BETHKE A 124 12.00 7% 13.80    
6  ALL SHACKED UP Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 Feb20   (haar j)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
7  BEAU GOSSE Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb27   (thompson grady)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
8  OPTIMAL Mar26 Feb26       (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00 ★    
 
FON-9   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWN BROWN Mar19 Mar05 Feb19     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
2  SUBSCRIPTION Mar26         (rivera gregorio )TOHILL S 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  BRO CODE Mar23 Jan27       (gourneau jerry)CHICKENESS S 120 6.00    
4  FULL THROTTLE Apr02 Mar18       (black marissa)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
5  ATWATER Mar18 Feb19       (foley p)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 ★    
6  RHETTROACTIVE Apr01 Mar19 Feb25 Feb19   (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00    
SCR  FLUSHING FLASH Mar05 Feb25       (chavez juan)WOOD DAKOTA 120 15.00    
SCR  EMMETT CAT Apr01 Mar18       (schindler jeff)LEON A 124 12.00 ★    
9  CARIOCA Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb25   (bliss dean)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
10  PERVASIVE Mar26 Feb25       (muckey john)OLESIAK JAKE 124 20.00    
 
FON-10   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEELEY Apr02 Mar26 Mar11 Feb25   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
2  SWINGIN' SAM Apr01         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 60% 0.70    
3  MAYHAWK Feb19         (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 6% 16.30    
4  DREAM BABY DREAM Apr09 Mar26 Mar20 Mar06 Feb19 (bliss dean)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
5  HORSE FLY Apr02 Mar12 Feb25     (hoffman robert)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 11% 8.30    
6  I CALL SHOTGUN Apr03 Mar20       (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.00 ★    
7  ROCKETRINGO Apr03 Feb20       (ness john)WOOD DAKOTA 124 12.00    
8  MASTERFUL STRIDE Apr03 Mar20 Mar12 Mar06 Feb20 (luke l)BETHKE A 124 10.00    
9  LITTLE NO WAY Apr03 Mar20       (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 ★    
10  JERRYS PRIDENJOY Mar04 Feb19       (thomsen paula)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.