Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - April 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARB THE BOSS Mar18         (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 5.00    
PARTY MONSTER Mar05 Feb13 Jan20     (feliciano m)AVILES YAN 117 3.00    
MISS SEDUCTIVE Mar30 Jan20 Jan01     (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.50 30% 2.40    
ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Apr01 Mar18 Feb25     (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
FEEL THE GLORY Mar05 Feb18       (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 124 3.00    
CHARLYS WILD ANGEL         (cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 120 15.00 8% 12.20    
INSTPARTY Jan30         (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 20.00 8% 12.20    
 
LRL-2   04/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE ISABELLA Mar27 Feb24 Feb03     (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
PRINCESS ADIRA         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00    
HAD THE NOTION Mar26         (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 2.50 33% 2.00    
WIN THEN GRIN Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 Jan01   (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
RAVENEL Feb24 Feb03       (harting r)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 11% 8.10    
NATIONALIST         (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
LRL-3   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 35 M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE SHAMROCKS         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  PRAY FOR THE U S A         (frock a)AVILES YAN 109 12.00 5% 19.00    
VODKATINI         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 1.60 42% 1.40    
GREAT BARONESS         (cuprill )FLORES JR 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MI YAYIS         (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 10.00    
UTTERLY COURAGEOUS Mar20 Feb10 Jan27     (hall d)ACOSTA D 126 6.00    
TORRE BRANCA         (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
 
LRL-4   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO FIRE Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Feb18 Feb06 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 15.00    
SWEET GRACIE Mar04 Jan27       (allen ferr)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 10.00    
BANDITS WARRIOR Mar04         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 3.00 18% 4.40    
FUHGEDDABOUDIT Mar25 Mar04 Feb18     (robb j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 6.00    
NOBLE BID Mar13         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
MOODY WOMAN Mar25 Feb19 Jan27     (mcmullen marilyn)RUIZ JORGE 121 2.00 18% 4.50    
 
LRL-5   04/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Mar05 Feb13 Jan21     (vukelic rob)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00    
FRAN'S WORRIER Feb21 Jan26       (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 4.50 11% 7.90    
DEGAS Mar18 Feb26 Feb04     (frock l)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
VICTORY GIVEN Apr02 Mar11 Feb20 Jan29   (kee j)ACOSTA D 126 15.00 8% 12.00    
CLASSY SOLUTION         (cuprill )FLORES JR 123 30.00    
TOP BOSS Mar25 Mar11 Mar05 Feb13 Feb04 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 4.00    
THE WOLFMAN Mar19 Feb27 Feb10 Jan01   (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
ROCK AND FELLERS (ARG) Mar25 Mar05 Jan16     (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 9% 10.30    
 
LRL-6   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50.6K) 35 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIGHTLAND         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 4.00    
HOFBURG PALACE         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 116 10.00 7% 14.40    
HEAVEN'S GOT FIRE Mar20 Feb25 Jan28     (rodriguez j)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
MUTASALLEM         (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 126 4.50    
DIVINING DANCER Mar23 Feb25 Feb10     (covello a)CECIL Y 116 20.00    
SCR  CHOCOLATE SHAKE         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 10.00 7% 14.40    
JEMISON         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-7   04/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE COURAGEOUS Mar26 Feb21 Jan23     (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00 11% 7.90    
COMMANDING GENERAL Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 1.60 39% 1.50    
REASSURED Feb21 Jan22       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
UNCOMMON VALOR Apr01 Feb21 Feb13 Jan27 Jan16 (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00    
ROYAL NUMBER Mar20 Feb13 Jan22     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 1.80 24% 3.20    
MAXIMUS MIDANI         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00    
 
LRL-8   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON BIZ Feb27 Feb06       (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
MEXICALI ROSE Mar20 Feb26 Jan28     (mancilla carlos )AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
HAPPYLIFE         (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.00    
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Mar26 Feb19       (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 126 15.00 14% 6.40    
SPECIAL FREEDOM Mar18 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28   (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 1.80 14% 6.00    
SHINY PENNY Mar23 Mar05 Jan28     (pickett g)HO WESLEY 116 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.