Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Sunday - April 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/10/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSTRIKER (GB)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  GILA         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  LILLY CHROME         (acevedo i)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAYTOWN LOVELY         (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPECIAL BOND         (mccutchen j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00 ★    
6  JULIA'S CHARDONNAY         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
7  ONE STORMY LADY         (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
8  SEACHROME         (west m)RAMOS D 119 3.50    
 
KEE-2   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE BY YOU Jan01         (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
2  PAPPYSAYSYES Feb11         (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
3  FLORIS         (duvall e)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
4  ECLIPSED Mar04 Jan01       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
SCR  NEBULI Mar24 Mar05       (sisterson)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
6  GEM KEY Feb27         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
7  STELLAR GRACE Feb17         (catalano wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00    
8  FOUR DAWN Mar04 Feb06       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 15% 5.80    
9  SUPER WONDER GIRL Mar06 Feb11 Jan23     (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  KAIYAS SONG Jan08         (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 111 50.00    
11  LATTE DOLCE Mar06         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00 15% 5.90    
12  SMILE AT THE STORM Mar05 Feb10       (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
13  GRAVITRON Mar25 Jan29       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
 
KEE-3   04/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AL QAHIRA (GER) Feb02         (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
2  TAKE A STAND Feb26 Jan14       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 ★    
3  MISSED OPPORTUNITY         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 50.00    
4  PRIMA BALLERINA Mar10 Feb12 Jan13     (stidham michae)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
5  DUNVEGAN DOLL Feb11         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 30.00    
6  QUALITY Feb26 Jan15       (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
7  MULLING Mar22         (kobiskie da)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
8  DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
9  BUTTERBEAN Jan22         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
10  M M M MY SHAROANA Mar20         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
11  MISS YEARWOOD Jan30         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
SCR  FALCONET Mar05         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  EMERALD Mar10         (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  TIFFANY'S MO Mar05         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00    
 
KEE-4   04/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM SHAKE         (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
2  HANDCARVED Feb25         (ward a)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 11% 8.20    
3  MILLIKEN Feb26         (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
4  UBER KIRK Jan07         (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 111 12.00 7% 13.50    
5  OUTLIER Mar17 Feb13 Jan21 Jan07   (cash l)MCKEE J 118 12.00    
6  BAGBOSS Feb06 Jan02       (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
7  WELLMAN Jan23         (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 20.00 7% 13.70    
8  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Mar04 Jan29       (kordenbrock )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
9  TEQUILAS RANGER         (sullivan michael)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR DUMAS Mar10 Feb19       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
1A  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Mar12 Feb19 Jan22     (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
2  SOLE VOLANTE Jan29         (biancone )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  FROSTED GRACE Mar05 Feb12 Jan22     (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
3  MIDNIGHT TEA TIME Mar12         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  GUNNISON Feb12         (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
5  TIESTO Jan29         (carroll josie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 ★    
6  BIZZEE CHANNEL         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 6% 15.10    
7  HIGHEST HONORS Feb12 Jan15       (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 6% 15.10    
8  HAWKISH Jan15         (toner j)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
9  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Mar19         (brown h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
10  EONS Feb05         (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
11  MEGACITY         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEELING HAPPY         (baker james)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
2  MARGIE'S KITCHEN Feb26         (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00    
3  RUE DE BAC Mar05 Jan09       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 12% 7.70    
4  BOMBDIGGITY Feb18         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  ARROBATIC Feb06         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  HAZY COMMAND Feb18 Jan22       (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 6% 15.80    
7  FAST AND FLIRTY Feb20 Jan01       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
8  SOCIAL MANDATE Jan08         (hancock a)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
9  DEVINE CHARGER Feb23 Jan15       (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  SUNDAY GRACE Mar05         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 50.00    
11  SWEET AS PIE Jan22         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
12  VETERANS HIGHWAY Mar05 Jan09       (arnold george )ORTIZ L 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FANNIE AND FREDDIE Jan22         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  HIGHLAND SQUARE Mar10         (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
SCR  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI Mar18 Feb19       (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
16  PRINCESS ELIN Mar12 Feb12 Jan15     (ali alnaz)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
 
KEE-7   04/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSICSTATEOFMIND Feb23 Jan19       (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★    
2  SLIPSTREAM         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
3  BAYTOWN FROSTY Jan01         (mcen)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 50.00    
4  PURE PANIC Feb28 Jan30       (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  KAUFYMAKER         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 113 4.50 22% 3.60    
6  CIRCLE BACK JACK Mar12         (hamilton sarah)MOJICA JR 118 10.00 9% 9.60    
7  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00 31% 2.30    
8  NO NAY FRANKLIN (IRE) Mar18 Jan29 Jan02     (biancone pat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
 
KEE-8   04/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SCARLET Mar19 Feb26       (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of EXCLUDE (GB) by INCLUDE)
2  RADIO DAYS Mar05 Feb05       (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 8% 11.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REMEMBERED by SKY MESA)
3  MAJESTIC D'ORO Mar18 Feb20 Jan19     (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 5% 17.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of COUNTESS D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  GINA ROMANTICA Mar12         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6% 15.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  REAGAN'S DECISION Feb26         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of TWISTED DECISION by OLD FASHIONED)
6  CHI TOWN LADY         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
  (by VERRAZANO out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  MATAREYA Feb26         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
 
KEE-9   04/10/2022 6270ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNESOTA READY Feb19 Jan22       (pessin ne)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 30.00    
2  DEFENSIBLE Feb25 Jan06       (motion graham)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
3  TRENDING Mar13 Feb12 Jan08     (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
4  QUARI MASTER Feb10         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
5  VINTAGE YEAR Feb25         (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
6  PICCADILLY Mar12         (mcgaughey )CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
7  CALLOWAY PEAK Mar26         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
8  REMOTE Feb05         (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
9  CONSULATE Feb26 Jan29 Jan14     (sisterson j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
10  BARRZLEY Mar19 Feb12       (motion grah)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
11  RIDLEY'S MAJOR         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
12  DETERMINED GOLD Mar19 Jan23       (schoenthal p)GEROUX FLORENT 115 20.00    
SCR  HE REIGNS Mar12 Feb16 Jan22     (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 50.00    
SCR  CAMP DADDY         (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
SCR  FIELD MARSHAL Feb12 Jan02       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CURBSTONE Mar04 Jan30       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.