Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - April 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO'S TREASURE         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 5.00    
2  BAYTOWN GET IT ON         (mcen)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  UPTOWN SOCIAL         (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
4  DOMINICANA         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  I AM FREAKY FAST         (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROL AGAIN DANCER         (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  INSANITY IT SEEMS         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  YOU'RE A DANDY         (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  KING ADROCK         (mendez luis)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/08/2022 6270ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHFRONT BID Feb27         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  LAVISH HABITS Feb27 Jan30       (hiles a)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
3  CURIOUSLY Mar12 Feb12       (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
4  WINTER MUSIC Feb27         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 20.00    
5  PORONUI Feb12 Jan15       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  MYRISKYAFFAIR Mar06 Feb09       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  PURE COUNTRY Mar12         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 8.00    
8  RUN THE TAP Mar05 Feb11       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
9  POINT WELL TAKEN Mar12 Feb02       (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
10  JUST A NYQUIST Mar01         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
11  DUVET DAY (IRE) Mar07 Jan29       (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
12  BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE Feb12 Jan22       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  DETERMINED GOLD Mar19 Jan23       (schoenthal p)GEROUX FLORENT 120 30.00    
SCR  CORNICE TRAVERSE Feb12 Jan01       (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 ★    
SCR  SCONCE         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  JOEZINE Mar24 Mar04 Feb11     (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 50.00    
 
KEE-3   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARY LARRY Mar06 Feb11 Jan10     (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  FORMAL ORDER Feb06 Jan13       (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 111 30.00    
3  FLORIDA GATOR Feb25 Jan18       (morey will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00    
4  LITTLE ALEX Mar07         (torres ale)BEJARANO R 124 30.00    
5  HOT PASTRAMI Mar19         (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KIDYOUNOT Mar13         (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 20.00    
7  VIDAL Feb23 Feb12 Jan08     (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 7% 12.50    
8  BARBARINO Mar12 Feb25 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01 (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00    
9  PASSWORD PROTECTED Feb21         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 5% 17.90    
10  TERAWATT Mar05 Jan28       (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
11  VOLBEAT Feb06 Jan16       (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
12  GUNDUZ Mar11 Feb24 Jan09     (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
SCR  GRAYWING Jan01         (gaudet lacey)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  KOBE B Mar26         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
 
KEE-4   04/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLACKEN'S CAUSE Mar22 Mar05 Feb01     (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
2  CUSTOMER DRIVEN Feb05 Jan09       (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MALIBU MARIE Mar18 Feb18       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 15% 5.90    
4  MISS CHAMITA Mar16 Feb18 Jan22 Jan16   (cash l)MCKEE J 118 30.00    
5  A MO REAY         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  MARR TIME Feb26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
7  IF YOU PLEASE Mar16         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
8  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Feb11         (margolis r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
9  SKRATCH KAT Mar10 Feb10       (bauer phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
10  PARK ON THE NILE         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
KEE-5   04/08/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINSBURNED Jan30 Jan05       (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  EL KABONG         (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
2  DADDY FRANK (GB) Mar09         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
3  HEALING Feb12 Jan13       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 49% 1.10    
4  OF THE MOMENT Feb17 Jan22       (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
5  SUPPLY CHAIN Mar05         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
6  IN EFFECT Feb27 Jan29       (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
7  HUNT THE FRONT Mar17 Feb26       (zito p)DIAZ RENE 111 20.00    
8  ROCHAMBEAU         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 18.20    
9  RED HORNET         (meah anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
10  MYOPIC Mar19 Feb26 Jan08     (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA Jan29         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
12  TIZ OUR TURN Feb19 Jan07       (bindner m)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  WILLING TO SPEED Feb16         (catalano wa)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HANDCARVED Feb25         (ward a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN Jan02         (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-6   04/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S KEEN         (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
2  BERAVINA Mar13         (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  LADY ARSINOE Mar10 Feb19 Jan22     (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
4  ELLE OF THE BALL Mar01 Jan22       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  AMERICAN PYRAMID         (catalano wayn)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
6  LUV DRAGON         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
7  CLASSIC COYNE         (ruis shelbe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
8  CONSTITUTION GAL Feb19 Jan14       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
9  INDIGO MISS Feb19         (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
10  GIN N SIN         (roberson denni)CASTANON L 120 20.00    
11  TODO SOLA Feb19         (beckman whi)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 50.00    
12  IMOGENE MALVINA Feb19         (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SCR  OMA THE GREAT         (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY WIFE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  BEDTIME FOR BUFFY         (garner peter)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
SCR  JETINWITHCLASS         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 WET FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSBOURNE Jan29         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
2  MONEY SUPPLY Feb12         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  OLD HOMESTEAD Mar04 Jan28       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 20.00    
4  SURFER DUDE Jan22         (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
5  ALL IN SYNC Feb11 Jan01       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
6  AMERICAN XPERIMENT Feb27 Jan15       (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
7  BAROSSA Mar12 Feb11       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00    
8  MY PRANKSTER Feb05         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 21% 3.80    
9  UNIFIED REPORT Mar12 Feb05 Jan22     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 8% 11.00    
10  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jan15         (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
11  IGNITIS Mar25 Feb26 Jan29 Jan01   (lukas wayn)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 15.00 11% 8.30    
12  TEJANO TWIST Mar09         (calhoun willia)ROCCO S 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
KEE-8   04/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREDIBILITY Mar05 Jan22       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of CLASS EDGE by INDYGO SHINER)
2  NAPOLEONIC WAR Jan21         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of NAPLES PARADE by STREET CRY)
3  SY DOG         (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 ★    
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
4  GRAND SONATA Feb05 Jan01       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
5  COINAGE Mar05 Feb05       (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BAR OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  VERBAL         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
 
KEE-9   04/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MATTIE B Feb19 Jan08       (hess b)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TRAFFIC BLIMP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  INTERSTATEDAYDREAM Mar13         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 10% 9.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BABCOCK by UNCLE MO)
3  AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Feb19 Jan08       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 4.00 5% 17.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of MIDNIGHT UNION by UNION RAGS)
4  NEST Feb12         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by CURLIN out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
5  STERLING SILVER Mar05 Jan22       (albertrani tho)ORTIZ L 121 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  HAPPY SOUL Feb19         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of COWGIRL LUCKY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  COCKTAIL MOMENTS Mar05         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 121 12.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RIVER MAID by WHERE'S THE RING)
8  HEAVENLY HELLOS Apr02 Mar19 Jan01     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of RICH FIND by EXPLOIT)
 
KEE-10   04/08/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLISSFUL CHANGE Feb24         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
2  ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
3  ANGEL PALM (GB)         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
4  LEMOS CUNHA         (caramori edu)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAMBA WAMBA (IRE) Feb19         (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
6  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Feb10         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
7  FOREIGN EXCHANGE Feb25         (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
8  AMALFI PRINCESS         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
9  BAY STORM         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 9% 10.00    
10  SPICY MARG         (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 5% 17.60    
11  ALMADRINA (GB) Jan29         (meah anna)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
12  BEACHSIDE BUNNY Feb19 Feb02       (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  MUSED (GB) Jan02         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN MAMA         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  SENORA ROMA Feb19 Jan12       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOUETTE Jan22 Jan02       (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.