Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - April 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER FIRE Mar06 Jan30       (eppler mar)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.00    
STALKING Mar18 Feb25 Feb10     (brown w)ACOSTA D 118 3.50    
GATORATER Mar18 Feb24 Jan23     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 18% 4.50    
FLASH OF DAY Apr02 Mar11 Feb19 Feb02 Jan12 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
CLASSIC TUXEDO Feb25 Feb10       (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 15.00    
TOP HAT ARTIST         (shanley tim)MCKENZIE CONNIE 109 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
CT-2   04/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNNAMED SOLDIER Mar31 Feb11 Jan12     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 51% 1.00    
SHACKLED Mar10 Feb04       (murtaugh andr)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
SCR  FIT BUT FAT Mar23 Feb04 Jan15     (bass w)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00    
WIZARD OF ODDS Mar31 Mar10 Feb04     (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 18.60    
NITRO TIME Mar31 Feb18       (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.40 18% 4.50    
CATONSVILLE         (king yolonda)HO WESLEY 122 20.00    
 
CT-3   04/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SHALLBE RELEASED Feb10 Jan13       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 34% 1.90    
TIMETOGETUP Mar03         (casey a)LARROSA G 116 15.00    
MOIRAINE Mar03         (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 4.50    
BAYS CASTLE Mar03 Feb10 Jan13     (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 5.00    
TAPTAP         (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
JUJU ON DA BEAT Mar17         (pickett g)HO WESLEY 116 2.00 35% 1.90    
MAY MAYS CASTLE Mar03 Feb10 Jan13     (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 3.50    
 
CT-4   04/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCANNY Mar19 Feb25 Feb04     (viands sta)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50    
DEALER'S GIRL Feb25 Feb18 Feb04 Jan13   (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 13% 6.80    
KIT KAT KATIE Mar17 Feb28 Jan26 Jan12   (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
EXACT Mar19 Mar04 Feb04     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 30% 2.40    
THREE BOPS Mar11 Jan28       (craig lewis)RAMGEET R 122 4.00    
SCR  PAINTED ROCKET Mar23 Jan14       (kocijan marcus)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   04/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARE YOU HAPPY Mar23 Feb25 Feb11     (moschonas g)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 8.00    
ASK THE UMPIRE         (potts wayne)HO WESLEY 116 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  RUNNING ROY         (jackson angelo )RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 7% 14.10    
HELLO AMIGO         (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 124 3.50    
BOTTOM DECK         (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 15.00    
GORUN Mar10         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 37% 1.70    
PAYITO Feb16 Jan30 Jan16     (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 111 6.00    
FROSTY THE BULL Feb25         (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 116 20.00    
 
CT-6   04/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MINUS TEN Mar18         (shuman mark)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
LET US MAKE GOLD Mar27 Mar02 Feb10 Jan15   (frock a)AVILES YAN 113 1.80 21% 3.90    
BUFF'S EYE VIEW Mar16 Jan27       (cornwell ja)RAMGEET R 124 4.00    
AMICUS BRIEF Mar02 Feb05 Jan27     (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 6.00    
SCR  JEFFERY SCOTT Jan13         (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
POSTINO'S STORY Mar19 Feb24 Feb04 Jan14   (brown w)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
 
CT-7   04/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISHIHARA Mar11 Feb17 Jan27     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
SCR  THEHEATOFTHENIGHT Mar09 Feb17 Jan27     (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
POLITICAL DECISION         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Mar11 Feb17 Jan28 Jan12   (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
CHARITABLE SPENNY Jan27         (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
SCR  LIKE SEGAL Feb24 Jan14       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50    
PRAIRIE Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Jan28 Jan01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 6% 15.80    
SAVATIANO Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Jan27 Jan12 (malgarini ma)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   04/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUID PRO QUO Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan14   (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
LEG UP Mar16 Feb03       (pennella m)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
SCR  LASHER Mar17         (scott l)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
ON A WHIM Mar25 Mar04 Jan26     (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 20.00    
CHAMPSTER Mar19         (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 115 15.00    
PONTICELLO Feb25 Jan26       (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Mar19 Feb25 Feb04     (jensen just)RAMGEET R 118 5.00    
SALTY J J Mar03 Jan14       (brown w)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
SCR  BLUE N GOLD Feb25 Feb04       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 6% 14.40    
10  MIO GRACELAND Mar19 Feb17 Jan26     (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  AZURE FIRE Jan26         (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.