Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - April 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISH FOR PEACE Mar16 Feb15 Feb01     (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 2.00    
BUMBLE MONSTER Mar16 Feb15       (iorio sa)DAVIS A 123 6.00    
SCR  GANDI Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12 (albright ge)INIRIO J 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
KAZTHAROS Mar16 Mar01       (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 123 3.00 7% 12.70    
IM YOUR PAPI Mar25         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50 35% 1.80    
ROCKIN THE PALACE         (stites flint)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00    
 
PEN-2   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAL CAL Mar16 Jan28 Jan07     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50    
MASS APPEAL Mar25 Mar04 Feb22 Feb11   (iorio jr)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
IYWAAN Mar11         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 73% 0.40    
ALEJANDRO'S TEAM Mar15 Mar01 Feb16 Feb09 Jan10 (riviezzo ralp)MILAN GERARDO 120 2.50    
SCR  SPRING EMPEROR Mar21 Mar08 Mar01 Feb16 Feb09 (riviezzo ralp)RIVERA D 122 5.00    
BUILT THAT WAY Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19   (ferreira )RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW MAID Mar22 Feb16 Feb01     (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 9% 10.40    
DOCS WAY Feb18         (boyer jr)CORA D 120 12.00    
MISCHIEF MANAGED Mar15         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  QUEEN ABARRIO Feb21 Feb01 Jan10     (dominguez m)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 4.00 11% 8.00    
SUNSHINE BAY Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 Feb02   (graci josep)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
SCR  BLEZNIATKA         (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 10% 8.80    
ARCTICA Mar22 Feb16 Feb01     (flores l)FLORES E 120 30.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE LINE Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
TIME'S ON MY SIDE Mar18 Feb22 Feb02     (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.40 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-4   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  P JS SILVER DUKE         (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
MIDNIGHT ACT Mar29 Mar15 Feb02 Jan21   (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 11% 8.00    
DOLLARIZATION Mar15 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
TRIPLE A. PLUS Mar23 Feb22 Feb01 Jan19   (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Mar15 Feb22 Feb01     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
PRIME TIME PLAYER Mar15 Feb02 Jan26     (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
 
PEN-5   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIPNOTIZADA Mar08 Feb09       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
PERFECT HIDEAWAY         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 120 5.00    
MAGGIE'S BID Mar18 Feb12 Jan20     (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
MINER'S GEM Mar18 Feb12       (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
SCR  ARCHER'S HALL Mar05 Feb08 Jan07     (woolley tim)OTERO P 120 8.00    
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Mar09 Feb18 Jan25     (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED ANGEL Mar19 Mar08 Feb21 Jan16   (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
DWELLER Feb22 Feb01       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 119 1.50 26% 2.90    
POLISHED GEM Mar04 Feb10       (maroun doug)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
BEACH BANKER Feb19         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
JEANETTEO Mar11         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.40 44% 1.30    
GOLDEN LAW Mar08 Feb02       (dimitriou harry)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
 
PEN-7   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL THE SHERIFF Mar08         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
SCR  VOODOO CAT Jan14         (hillegass al)BERRIOS C 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
NOTORIOUS REY Mar08 Feb23 Feb09     (o'hearn heather)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00    
VENCIL Mar22 Mar08 Feb23     (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
MISTER ARANGUIZ Mar30 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 (bobadilla f)OTERO P 124 12.00    
GOLDEN ZAR         (jacavone joh)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00    
 
PEN-8   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPILL THE TEA Mar18 Feb11 Jan19     (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  LEFTATTHEALTAR Mar15 Mar02 Jan12     (krebs stev)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 10.00    
SCR  MYSTERY ITEM         (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
ROSES FROM HEAVEN Mar25 Feb09 Jan14     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Mar18 Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 6.00    
GLOSSY MADRINA Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Jan14   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
CAPE COD SALLY Mar15 Feb22 Jan31 Jan03   (kirby t)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.