Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Saturday - April 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-6   04/02/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER SIXTYTWO         (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
CONCAN         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
TATAS JOE MARK         (villalobos mi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00    
DIM THE LIGHTS         (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
SWAYEM         (lambert t)REYES FRANK 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHAME ON SAM         (lambert clifford)CARRENO J 120 5.00    
BYE BYE HEATH         (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  W F JAZZ CAT         (lambert casey)CORRAL DAMIAN 120 8.00    
BETTER BELIEVE         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 117 3.00 28% 2.50    
10  NOSTRANGRTOTHERAIN         (lambert clif)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 8.00    
 
SUN-7   04/02/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY BABY WHY         (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
DOM PROUD         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 116 5.00    
SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Mar06 Feb13 Jan02     (marr h)FUENTES A 124 4.00 49% 1.10    
ROX FROM NAVARONE Mar05 Jan28 Jan02     (mcarthu)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
CHARITY WATER Mar20         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 116 3.00 27% 2.60    
SHEZACONSTANTSONG Mar20 Feb01 Jan15     (cross gary)CHIRINOS ROIMES 116 7.00    
LA DIAMANT Mar06 Feb20 Jan15     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 116 8.00    
NO REGRETS N LOVE         (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 4.50    
 
SUN-8   04/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN TOUCH Mar20 Mar01 Feb13 Jan30 Jan11 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 123 8.00    
ATTACKING GIRL Mar22 Mar05 Feb08 Jan28   (soto salv)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
SCR  PASSION BELLE Jan30         (gonzalez r)REYES FRANK 123 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  BELLA Y SOFIA Mar26 Mar01 Feb13     (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
DIXIE JEN Mar20 Mar06 Mar01 Feb15 Feb01 (chavez arturo)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.00    
STORM N GOLD Feb15 Jan15       (marr h)FUENTES A 123 10.00    
GRACEANNE Mar26 Mar01 Feb05     (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 7% 12.40    
MS HIGHSPEED Mar15 Mar01 Feb04 Jan15   (gonzalez a)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
PARADISE N REACH Mar13         (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 5.00    
 
SUN-9   04/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOVERY N SIGHT Feb22 Feb01 Jan11     (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
PUNCTUATE THIS         (marr joel)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
GEEBEESBIGBOY Mar08         (soto sa)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00    
SCR  I AM THE JUAN Mar08 Feb22 Jan11     (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
SCR  MY BAD         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 121 15.00    
SCR  N M SNOWBIRD         (vaughn lonni)ALDERETE JORGE 116 15.00    
BEAR CLAW Mar08         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
GRIFTER         (rust terri)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 15.00    
JUVAL         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
10  SHAME ON ROOSTER         (moreno edgar)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00    
11  B R KIDD ROCK Mar08         (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00    
12  WHO'S ON THE RUN         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
 
SUN-10   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE ETTA         (rust terri)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 8.00 17% 5.00    
DANIEL'S GIRL Mar15 Feb22       (gonzalez sal)REYES FRANK 116 4.00 23% 3.40    
ESSENTIAL BUSINESS         (marr jo)FUENTES T 116 8.00    
HALEY WHO         (buechl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 116 8.00    
ILOVEHER         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 116 10.00    
NATION OF LAWS         (marr h)FUENTES A 116 3.00    
SHAKE RAG         (van crowell)GUERRERO A 124 12.00    
MORATTA Mar15         (van crowell )SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
BACKTOFLASH         (gonzales ja)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  REDHAIRNBLAKLEATHR         (silva n)CARRENO J 116 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
SUN-11   04/02/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONVENTION (IRE) Mar05 Feb12 Jan23     (lebsock greg)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
MAGIC MOSCO Mar04 Feb15 Jan11 Jan01   (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
SANTIAGO'S TOWER Jan09         (vega v)REYES FRANK 114 20.00    
MINE THAT STAR Mar05 Jan23 Jan01     (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
ZESTFUL Mar05 Jan23       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
SLY Mar10 Feb21 Jan17     (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 115 10.00    
MCENTIRE Feb21 Feb02       (ferguson chad)LINDSAY CHAD 117 8.00    
SHERIFF BROWN Mar05         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
LIMONITE         (evans justin)JUAREZ J 117 10.00    
 
SUN-12   04/02/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCCLASSIC Mar22 Feb22 Feb01     (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00    
SCR  COLOR ME GONE Mar15 Feb15 Feb06 Jan18 Jan04 (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 20% 4.10    
ALMOST A STORM Mar22 Mar06 Feb01 Jan16   (green greg)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50    
MCTHANKS Mar22 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04   (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
JEDI WARRIOR Mar10 Jan31 Jan18     (garc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
STRYDER Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb05 Jan25 (rojero c)REYES FRANK 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
DECK HUMOR Mar22 Feb13 Feb01     (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 6.00    
HIT A NOTE Mar15 Feb22 Jan25     (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 123 12.00    
SCR  KICK IT Mar22 Feb13 Jan25 Jan04   (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 15.00    
SCR  REBACK HOME Mar22 Mar08 Feb13     (lambert clif)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 15.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  MISS RULES Mar08 Jan25       (navarro g)PEREZ A 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.