Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELY TRADITION Mar09 Feb18 Feb01     (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 35% 1.80    
LITTLEBITALILY Feb11 Jan12       (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 2.50    
LADY MUNNINGS Feb01         (crook-demas)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
HONORABLE LILLY Mar18 Feb22 Feb09 Jan14   (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
MS TEEK Mar18 Jan28       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   03/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK OF DELANCEY Feb22 Feb08 Jan11     (hillegass alexandra)FLORES E 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
MISTER ARANGUIZ Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 Jan11 (bobadilla f)OTERO P 122 20.00    
KINSALER Mar23 Feb16       (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
FLAHERTY Feb08 Jan25       (o'callahan carl)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00    
GIANFORTE Mar16         (shea h)CORA D 124 8.00    
TOUCH OF PRINCE Mar22 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11   (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE IT TO SCALE Jan19         (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50    
CAMGO Jan11         (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 124 10.00 9% 10.20    
STONE SCULPTOR Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 Jan12   (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00    
TRUE WISDOM Feb23 Feb01       (beattie ryan)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
MEROCKETMAN Mar01         (shuchman allan)OTERO P 124 4.00    
WOLFINBARGER         (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
CUMBERLAND GAP Mar15 Feb15 Jan12     (shea h)CORA D 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
NAUTICAL NATURE Mar01 Feb15 Jan28     (o'hearn heather)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00    
 
PEN-4   03/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMIGOS TUNE Feb09 Jan07       (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
WAVERLY SUNSET Mar08 Feb08       (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
BECCA'S WISH Mar09 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04   (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50    
LADIES SIGNATURE Feb03 Jan13       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 15% 5.70    
SMOKIN CLASS Mar08 Feb18 Jan25 Jan04   (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 12.00    
 
PEN-5   03/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASK NEAL Mar01 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12   (sells rach)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
VITESSE Mar15 Jan12       (johnston rob)CORA D 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
OSCAR WINNER Mar09 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12   (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
SCR  LEGIT (IRE) Mar15 Feb07 Jan16     (graci a)OTERO P 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
ITSKNOWNASTHEBERN Mar13 Feb15 Feb06     (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
AIN'T MISBEHAVIN Mar16 Mar04 Jan26     (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
 
PEN-6   03/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECONOMIC POWER Mar01 Jan07       (albright r)FLORES E 120 6.00    
TRENDING UP Mar09 Feb16 Jan19 Jan04   (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
LONG TOM Mar23 Mar09 Feb16 Feb11 Jan26 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
CRYPT Mar09 Feb16 Jan26     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
ALL TACKED UP Mar09 Feb15 Jan26 Jan07   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
SACRED MOUNTAIN Mar11 Feb18 Feb01     (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 4.50    
 
PEN-7   03/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLA GIRL Mar11 Feb22 Jan04     (albright r)FLORES E 122 6.00    
AFRICAN SONG Mar22 Jan26       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 20.00 6% 17.20    
OH SO JAZZY Jan26         (nunley randy)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
TIP TOP TAPPER Mar11 Feb16 Jan14     (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
FALSE RULING Mar18 Feb22 Feb01     (farley j)LLOYD W 122 10.00    
HAPPYCREST Feb08         (hillegass ale)INIRIO J 122 1.80 15% 5.50    
 
PEN-8   03/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A T M AWESOME Mar09 Feb15 Feb01 Jan14   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 11% 7.90    
COX'S LEDGE Mar06 Feb11       (gonzalez)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 2.50 14% 6.00    
SOUL FIGHT Mar11 Feb15 Jan19     (hillegass ale)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
MIAMI MUMBLES Mar09 Feb23 Feb08     (johnston rob)CORA D 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
HOLD THE IRISH Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 Jan07   (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00    
RIPPOLINO Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19   (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
I SEE THE STARS Mar18 Feb02 Jan11     (mick r)FLORES E 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.