Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fonner Park
Saturday - March 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FON-1   03/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY ROGUE Mar13 Feb10 Jan21     (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 1.80 38% 1.60    
FAKE SOLUTION         (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 124 5.00    
DAYS OF GLORY Mar13         (bethke a)BETHKE A 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
WATER PATROL Mar19 Mar12 Feb20     (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00    
BROADWAY         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  P R WHY NOT Mar12 Feb27       (luke l)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
SCR  SING N SPURS Mar20 Mar06       (bethke tr)BRICENO GREGOR 120 20.00    
 
FON-2   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WANT TO BE COWBOY Mar12 Feb26       (martinez kelli)OLESIAK JAKE 124 5.00 6% 17.00    
NAME THE PRICE Mar12 Feb26       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
BARTENDERS MISTAKE Mar12 Feb26       (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
L B GOLD Mar13 Feb26       (krause bill)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
CHARED Mar19 Feb26       (hoffman robert)LUARK T 124 20.00    
YE BE JUDGED Mar12 Feb26       (black marissa)RAMOS B 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
KENHEDOIT Mar12         (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
 
FON-3   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($9.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICKLES N ME Mar05         (anderson c)WOOD DAKOTA 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
J TRAIN Feb27         (rivera gregori)BETHKE A 124 2.50    
YAYASGOTMOREGAME Mar13         (thompson grady)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80 15% 5.70    
PETE AND REPETE         (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
MISS ADDISYN K Feb27         (anderson c)OLESIAK JAKE 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
CREEDS REVENGE Mar12 Mar05 Feb01     (condon schuyler)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 9% 10.50    
PRINCE B Feb27         (rivera p)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
 
FON-4   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEFT BEHIND Mar12 Feb27       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 15.00    
THE BONDSMAN Mar12 Feb25       (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 120 12.00    
SUBSCRIPTION         (rivera gr)BRICENO GREGOR 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
PERVASIVE Feb25         (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
WHERE'S FREDO Feb27         (russell nathan)BETHKE A 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
STREET N SOUR Mar19 Mar10 Jan17     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 1.80    
HANDY BOY Mar11         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  HALO'S LADDIE Mar12         (hawley joe)OLESIAK JAKE 120 15.00    
 
FON-5   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE FELIX Mar12 Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  THEBOYFROMJERSEY Feb20         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
PAPA CABALLERO Feb25         (roberts brian )BETHKE A 124 12.00 11% 8.40    
SEELEY Mar11 Feb25       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM BABY DREAM Mar20 Mar06 Feb19     (bliss dean)OLESIAK JAKE 124 4.00 13% 7.00    
ALL SHACKED UP Mar12 Feb20       (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
GAMERA Mar06 Feb19       (raver nick)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50    
RENVYLE Mar12 Feb20       (hawley jo)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00    
FERRARI ROAD Mar12 Feb20       (muckey john)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
 
FON-6   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEISTY BIRD Mar20 Mar06       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
BUD MINISTER Mar20 Feb27 Jan15     (hibdon n)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00    
FORGERY Mar04         (rhodes lester)JUDE JOHN 124 10.00 28% 2.50    
UNCLE TAP Mar12 Feb19       (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
SHADY'S TURN Mar18 Feb19 Feb03 Jan06   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50    
HEAROSEONEASTER Mar05 Feb23 Jan29 Jan08   (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.50    
CRIMSON TRACE Mar18 Feb19       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 12.00    
DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Mar12 Feb26       (hawley jo)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00 8% 12.20    
MY BOY GUS Mar12 Feb19 Jan12     (gonzalez isai )BETHKE A 124 12.00    
 
FON-7   03/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURGAMEISTER Mar05         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
YANK CRIME Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12   (gonzalez isai )BETHKE A 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
SILVER MAKER Mar19 Mar04       (anderson c)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50    
SCR  FENDER BENDER Mar12 Feb25       (hawley jo)BRICENO GREGOR 124 20.00    
KID'S MISCHIEF Mar20         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
JAZZY JUSTIN Mar12 Feb26       (mitchell stetson)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
JOMO Mar13 Feb19       (hibdon n)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.50    
MASTERPIECE DAY Mar06 Feb20       (muckey john)LUARK T 124 12.00 24% 3.10    
LITTLE JOHN Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Jan18   (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 6% 14.40    
 
FON-8   03/26/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAESARTHERULER Mar19 Mar06 Feb20     (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
TIGER THE MAN Feb26         (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00 6% 15.20    
ACCOUSTICAL Mar05         (rushton temple)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00    
SOUTHGATE Mar06         (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 15.00    
WRATH Mar12 Feb26 Jan17     (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
SPEEDY FELLAR Mar19 Jan20       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00    
COWORKER Mar12 Mar05       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
THE BIG SHOW Mar13 Feb25 Jan29 Jan12   (hibdon n)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
 
FON-9   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYDENS HAVOC Mar12 Feb26       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 7% 13.20    
ITS A WRAP Mar06 Feb11 Jan08     (gonzalez v)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.00 11% 8.50    
GETALOADOFTHIS Mar13 Feb26 Jan26     (hibdon n)RAMOS B 119 4.50    
OURBESTFRIEND D L Mar19 Mar06 Feb26     (anderson c)OLESIAK JAKE 121 6.00    
BORN AGAIN GEORGE Feb05 Jan15       (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 121 20.00    
STEPHEN'S ANSWER Mar06 Feb12 Feb02 Jan20   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 43% 1.30    
ST. LOUIE GUY Mar19 Feb25 Feb16 Jan21   (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 20.00    
PREACHER Mar19 Mar05 Feb26 Jan15   (hibdon n)TOHILL S 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
MARQUEE THUNDER Mar06         (foley p)BETHKE A 121 15.00    
10  BRAINSTORM Mar12 Feb26       (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-10   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA JOE Mar19 Mar12 Mar04     (ducheneaux jamie)GARNETT G 124 20.00    
TICK TACK MO Mar11 Mar04 Feb20     (bethke tr)BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00    
JENNA'S GUN RUNNER Mar12 Feb26 Jan20 Jan06   (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
PIERPONT Feb25         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
OPTIMAL Feb26         (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM Mar11 Feb25 Feb20     (ecoffey w)WOOD DAKOTA 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
AMERIPOINT Mar12         (lemburg mark)BETHKE A 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
BIG MACINTOSH Mar11 Feb27       (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 3.00 5% 18.80    
GREEN CARD Mar06         (hawley joe)JUDE JOHN 124 15.00    
10  SAMURAI MIKE Mar12 Feb25       (haar j)OLESIAK JAKE 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.