Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM PEACEFUL Mar03         (camejo m)MOJICA O 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
TENSAS VIRGINIA Mar01 Jan14       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 2.50 23% 3.40    
SUMMER IS HOT Jan28 Jan08       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 12% 7.40    
KAPPA HILL Jan26 Jan01       (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
WENDY WILECAT Feb11         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
INTERATIFWITHLEU Jan13         (gomez c)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
JOLIE GRIS         (constantine caro)RIQUELME J 114 8.00    
 
FG-2   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER DON Feb04 Jan02       (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
EGEAUXTISM Feb16         (landry ray)STOKES J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO QUARTER Mar02 Feb03       (foster m)PARKER L 121 6.00    
FLUFFPOINT Mar05 Jan27       (latour nicho)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
ADRENALINE Feb24 Feb04 Jan09     (hatcher nathan)GUZMAN JORGE 121 20.00    
DAPPER DAN MAN Feb26 Feb03 Jan22     (antwine michael)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00    
CIROC O CLOCK Feb11 Jan23 Jan03     (singh s)SINGH R 121 8.00    
SCR  WIDDLE ZEE Feb24 Feb06 Jan02     (griff)MONSERRATE A 121 5.00    
HEREWECOMETOGETYOU Feb24 Jan02       (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
FG-3   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDE THE PLAN Feb18         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
THAT YOU MARGARET         (silkwood charles)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
LAYLA'S SONG         (leonard george)SANJUR SANTO 117 12.00    
UNBRIDLED D'ORO Feb18         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00    
DOWNTOWN ABBY         (calhoun william )PARKER L 125 3.00    
VEGAS BLUE Feb18         (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00    
JOAN'S WAY Feb18 Jan21       (silva h)MOJICA O 125 6.00 19% 4.10    
 
FG-4   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MRTANDROSEYSBOY Feb25 Jan17       (foley greg)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 20.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  TIZNOW WIND         (cordero ange)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
PACIFICISLANDTIME         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00    
STREET N SOUR Mar10 Jan17       (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50    
TEE BURNS Feb17 Jan16       (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
DANNY'S LIL DANA Feb18         (black maurice)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDY G Mar05 Feb04 Jan16     (wilson shane)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00    
MUCHO VELOCE Feb04         (margolis s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
GOLDEN PASSAGE Mar05         (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
10  LOYAL TO THE GAME Feb25 Jan16       (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
 
FG-5   03/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EAGLE Feb24 Jan30 Jan09     (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
FIREWATER JAKE Feb26 Feb12 Jan30     (flint ber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 8% 11.80    
INDY TOURIST Feb14 Jan08       (leonard i)PARKER L 120 8.00    
FOREVER MO Feb26 Jan30 Jan13     (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
MCFEELY Feb26 Feb05 Jan06     (ney john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
CHANTRY FLATS         (mcgee paul)MOJICA O 120 5.00 33% 2.10    
YOUVESAIDITALL Feb24 Jan09       (shirer matt)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00    
SPACE MOUNTAIN Mar10 Feb18 Jan21     (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 16% 5.20    
SHAKE SOME ACTION Jan10         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
 
FG-6   03/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE OF MY HEART Jan29         (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
BIG IF TRUE Feb21 Jan26       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00    
SWEET CONFUSION Feb21 Jan28       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
BLOSSOM ROAD Feb12 Jan15       (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 15.00    
ANNA VOLANTE Feb24 Jan21       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
ALTERED SHOT         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
AUNT JOIE Feb21 Jan29 Jan03     (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Feb13         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
FRONT STREET Jan14         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
10  ROOKERY Feb24 Jan29       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   03/19/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IOYA AGAIN Feb10 Jan13       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
MISHKO Feb12 Jan27       (silva miguel)MOJICA O 120 12.00    
TWOKO BAY         (scherer gary)MELANCON G 120 10.00    
ARTIE'S RUMOR Feb26 Feb10       (flint s)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
FENWICK STATION Feb10 Jan13       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00    
MONITION         (devaux cherie)PARKER L 120 6.00    
PINE KNOLL Jan13         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 8% 12.30    
FORTUITY Feb10         (schwandt emile)COTTO L 120 20.00    
SCR  CHANGI Mar05 Jan09       (dolan m)GREEN AUBRIE 117 30.00    
10  MUTAKATIF (IRE)         (brown h)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Feb25         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SCR  KOUFAX Feb28 Jan22       (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
SCR  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Mar01 Jan27       (morley thom)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
FG-8   03/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN RIB Feb17         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 8.00    
GUNFIGHTER Feb19 Jan22       (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
MARQUEE RIDE Feb28 Feb03 Jan17     (scherer gary)MELANCON G 119 12.00 8% 12.20    
ZIPPIN GIGI Feb06 Jan17       (mcgee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
PRESIDENTIAL Jan22         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
YONO Feb19 Jan09       (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
WE ALL SEE IT Feb11         (kenneally eddie)PARKER L 119 4.50    
STRONG QUALITY Feb19 Jan23       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
FG-9   03/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCHIDUST Jan30         (asmussen )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
EXCESS MAGIC Jan22         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
BOUND FOR NOWHERE         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
FIELD DAY         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
GRAY ATTEMPT Feb19 Jan14       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 15% 5.80    
ENTERTAINMENT         (brinkman b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SEVEN SCENTS Feb19 Jan30 Jan14 Jan06   (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00    
SCR  AMERICANUS Jan30         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
STRIKE ME DOWN Feb19 Jan22       (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 8.00    
SCR  WENT WEST Feb21         (roussel lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 5% 17.60    
 
FG-10   03/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORPHAN CREEK Feb16 Feb05 Jan14     (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00    
PAPIRINGO Feb16         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
RENATI Mar03 Jan20       (duke steven)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
A MILLION LIGHTS Jan19 Jan01       (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 122 6.00    
GUITARTUITION PLZZ Mar03 Jan30       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
COURTMAN Feb25         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
THAT ONE GUITAR Feb19 Jan20       (henry eric)STOKES J 122 15.00    
BIG BOO Mar03 Feb12 Jan20     (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOULDERING Mar03 Jan30       (sharp joe)PARKER L 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
10  NORTHERNREFLECTION Mar05 Jan30       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.