Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES IT'S ROO Mar01 Feb09 Jan14     (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
KITTEN'S SOLUTION Mar04 Feb09 Jan12 Jan04   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
FREE DANCER         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
I SEE THE STARS Feb02 Jan11       (mick r)FLORES E 120 6.00    
MARTINKELLY Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 Jan04   (albright amy)INIRIO J 120 2.00    
 
PEN-2   03/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISPERING ROSE Feb10         (graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
PRIDE IN THE BIZ Mar04 Jan19 Jan04     (wolfe j)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
ALLISON K Mar04 Feb22 Jan14 Jan07   (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50    
MAGALIE Feb22 Feb09 Jan04     (ferreira ferna)BERRIOS C 124 20.00 8% 11.70    
SIMMARD SHENANIGAN Jan21 Jan02       (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50    
INTROSPECTION Mar09 Feb09       (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-3   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVINE DENTAL Feb18 Jan28       (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 122 10.00    
NINTH HOUR Jan28         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
START CASHIN Feb23 Feb01       (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
FED FEVER Mar04 Feb23 Feb01 Jan10   (iorio sal )DAVIS A 122 15.00    
AGAINST THE ODDS Feb23 Feb01 Jan19     (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SMART TWO A T Feb18 Feb01       (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
G DADDY Feb23 Feb01       (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
TORAZO Mar01 Feb11 Feb01 Jan12   (huertas nirka)BERRIOS C 122 3.00    
COLOUR GUARD Feb15 Feb02 Jan17     (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 63% 0.60    
10  COAST TO COAST Feb23 Feb01       (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
 
PEN-4   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION RALLY Mar02         (wolfe j)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
LEAKY CAULDRON         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
MINER'S GEM Feb12         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50    
MAGGIE'S BID Feb12 Jan20       (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
DETERMINED LOVE Feb08 Jan14       (mileni nick)WHITNEY G 120 5.00    
 
PEN-5   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW BOAT Mar11 Feb08 Jan11     (bobadilla f)CORA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
UHAVETOBEKITTENME Mar11 Feb23       (sells rachel)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
CRAFTY JACK Feb15 Feb02       (albright amy)FLORES E 122 1.80 19% 4.20    
MARKET Feb23 Jan25 Jan11     (bobadilla f)BERRIOS C 118 15.00    
COOS BAY Feb23 Jan25 Jan07     (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 120 3.00    
T MINUS TEN         (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-6   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TANYA'S GEM Mar02 Feb18 Feb01     (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  LITTLEBITALILY Feb11 Jan12       (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 120 2.00 13% 6.90    
MS TEEK Jan28         (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
FAIR LASSIE Jan14         (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST Feb11 Jan12       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
HONORABLE LILLY Feb22 Feb09 Jan14     (sells rachel)WHITNEY G 122 6.00    
 
PEN-7   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMILIA STRONG Feb11 Jan12       (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 23% 3.30    
MEEMOO Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.00    
SPILL THE TEA Feb11 Jan19       (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
REGAL JORDAN Feb11 Feb01 Jan11     (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
SAW Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan28   (hillegass alexandra)OTERO P 124 8.00    
TALENTED TAPPER Mar08 Jan14       (maroun douglas)BERRIOS C 124 10.00    
 
PEN-8   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACOUGRA Feb22 Feb02       (chircop steven)WHITNEY G 122 8.00    
TIME'S ON MY SIDE Feb22 Feb02       (velez irvin)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 22% 3.60    
FALSE RULING Feb22 Feb01       (farley phillip )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SHAKEM Feb16 Jan28       (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 50.00    
SISTER SADIE Feb09 Jan14       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12   (albright amy)FLORES E 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
REAWAKENED Jan14         (meister willi)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
SMART TART Feb25 Feb11 Feb01 Jan12   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.