Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES IT'S ROO Mar01 Feb09 Jan14     (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  KITTEN'S SOLUTION Mar04 Feb09 Jan12 Jan04   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  FREE DANCER         (maymo j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
4  I SEE THE STARS Feb02 Jan11       (mick r)FLORES E 120 6.00 ★    
5  MARTINKELLY Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 Jan04   (albright am)INIRIO J 120 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   03/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISPERING ROSE Feb10         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Mar04 Jan19 Jan04     (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 ★    
3  ALLISON K Mar04 Feb22 Jan14 Jan07   (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 ★    
4  MAGALIE Feb22 Feb09 Jan04     (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 124 20.00 8% 11.70    
5  SIMMARD SHENANIGAN Jan21 Jan02       (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50    
6  INTROSPECTION Mar09 Feb09       (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-3   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVINE DENTAL Feb18 Jan28       (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 10.00 ★    
2  NINTH HOUR Jan28         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
3  START CASHIN Feb23 Feb01       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
4  FED FEVER Mar04 Feb23 Feb01 Jan10   (iorio sa)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
5  AGAINST THE ODDS Feb23 Feb01 Jan19     (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SMART TWO A T Feb18 Feb01       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
7  G DADDY Feb23 Feb01       (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
8  TORAZO Mar01 Feb11 Feb01 Jan12   (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 122 3.00 ★    
9  COLOUR GUARD Feb15 Feb02 Jan17     (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 63% 0.60    
10  COAST TO COAST Feb23 Feb01       (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION RALLY Mar02         (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
2  LEAKY CAULDRON         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 ★    
3  MINER'S GEM Feb12         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
4  MAGGIE'S BID Feb12 Jan20       (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
5  DETERMINED LOVE Feb08 Jan14       (mileni nick)WHITNEY G 120 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BOAT Mar11 Feb08 Jan11     (bobadilla f)CORA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Mar11 Feb23       (sells rachel)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 ★    
3  CRAFTY JACK Feb15 Feb02       (albright amy)FLORES E 122 1.80 19% 4.20    
4  MARKET Feb23 Jan25 Jan11     (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 118 15.00    
5  COOS BAY Feb23 Jan25 Jan07     (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 3.00 ★    
6  T MINUS TEN         (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-6   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TANYA'S GEM Mar02 Feb18 Feb01     (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  LITTLEBITALILY Feb11 Jan12       (kulp brando)INIRIO J 120 2.00 13% 6.90    
3  MS TEEK Jan28         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
4  FAIR LASSIE Jan14         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUTEFACECHUBYWAIST Feb11 Jan12       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
6  HONORABLE LILLY Feb22 Feb09 Jan14     (sells rachel)WHITNEY G 122 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILIA STRONG Feb11 Jan12       (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 23% 3.30    
2  MEEMOO Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Jan04   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 ★    
3  SPILL THE TEA Feb11 Jan19       (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  REGAL JORDAN Feb11 Feb01 Jan11     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
5  SAW Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan28   (hillegass alexand)OTERO P 124 8.00    
6  TALENTED TAPPER Mar08 Jan14       (maroun dougl)BERRIOS C 124 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACOUGRA Feb22 Feb02       (chircop steven)WHITNEY G 122 8.00 ★    
2  TIME'S ON MY SIDE Feb22 Feb02       (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 22% 3.60    
3  FALSE RULING Feb22 Feb01       (farley philli)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
4  SHAKEM Feb16 Jan28       (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 50.00    
5  SISTER SADIE Feb09 Jan14       (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12   (albright amy)FLORES E 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
7  REAWAKENED Jan14         (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
8  SMART TART Feb25 Feb11 Feb01 Jan12   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.