Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DON'T FLY COACH Feb28 Jan06       (gomez jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 20.00    
I LIKE DREAMING Mar05 Jan21       (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 109 6.00 5% 17.70    
SHACKLE THE GOLD Feb28 Jan20 Jan03     (cuccia j)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
MISTA VALENTINE Feb28 Feb12 Jan03     (alonzo howard)DIAZ RENE 117 5.00    
FORT BONZ Feb18 Jan06       (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 114 12.00    
GRAND PRIORITY Feb28 Jan29 Jan03     (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
THE THREE KS Mar05 Feb18 Jan06     (williams k)ALBERT S 117 8.00    
BAYOU SARGE Jan29         (turner patt)FLORES S 114 12.00    
SCR  BLUE RIDGE RED Feb12 Jan29       (klanfer alan)COTTO L 114 12.00    
10  WE NEED A FIVE Feb28 Jan15       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00    
 
FG-2   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER NOTE Feb24 Feb04 Jan20     (marechal merlin)RIQUELME J 117 3.50    
1A  PI YO PRINCESS Jan14         (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 3.50 12% 7.00    
ANGIE AT THEOFFICE Jan19         (gelner scott)GILLIGAN JACK 117 4.50 13% 6.70    
FEATURED POWER         (rodriguez hugo)CULP BRIANNE 120 12.00    
HEART OF INDEE Feb24 Feb04       (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
SONGS DISCREET CAT Feb24 Feb02 Jan05     (bernard jo)ALBERT S 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUMBERJACK EMPIRE Mar04 Jan13       (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00    
PALACE MAGIC Feb04         (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
LILLIE AND NAN         (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00    
 
FG-3   03/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALEOFREADYCHIANTI Feb19         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
HIDDEN WONDER Feb05         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 1.80 36% 1.70    
CHARDONNAY Feb10 Jan13       (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  MYSTIQUE SABOTEUR Feb11         (margolis r)GRAHAM J 116 6.00    
MALIBU MARIE Feb18         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
FG-4   03/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE NAKURU Feb21 Feb04 Jan16     (cash l)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  AMENDED Feb25         (cash norman)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
EAST LEX Feb25 Jan08       (cuccia j)MOJICA O 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
CITADEL Feb21 Jan29 Jan08     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
TIO BLAS Feb18         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
ZOFFA Feb20 Feb04 Jan08     (duhon joseph)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.50    
BODE'S LIGHT Feb16         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
VINCITORE Feb25         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 8% 12.30    
IMMORTAL (IRE) Feb04         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 119 20.00 12% 7.10    
SMOKEY HARBOR Feb25 Jan29 Jan08     (rodriguez edua)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.50    
10  ONE TIME GEM Feb25 Feb04 Jan10     (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  A. K. SAFARI Feb17 Feb05 Jan08     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
 
FG-5   03/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILLING REPORT Mar01 Jan14       (cuccia j)MOJICA O 121 4.50 7% 12.60    
IT'S A BIRD Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan29 Jan14 (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
MARTINIZED Mar01 Feb05 Jan14     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  LOVE TO SINGH Mar02         (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 121 6.00    
OUR BLUE JAY Mar01 Feb12       (antwine michael)PARKER L 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
DUSTY BOY Feb24 Jan14       (perron ger)MARQUEZ L 121 12.00    
CHARLIES TICKET Mar06         (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
CAMEO DANCER Mar01         (gomez david )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
FG-6   03/18/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOMU         (wiggins lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Mar01 Jan30       (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 120 12.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  SIR GIANNIS Feb17 Jan17       (foley greg)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
LONG AND STRONG Feb11 Jan13 Jan02     (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 122 10.00    
COMPLEX SYSTEM Feb20         (roussel lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
BIG BOBBY BROWN         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
ON YOUR MARK Feb20 Jan23       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
READY TO ROLL (IRE) Feb20 Jan13       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
SCHMOOZIN Jan23         (pessin ne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  STEADYTILLREADY Feb26 Feb05       (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
FG-7   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL Jan28         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
LONG WEEKEND Feb21 Feb03       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 1.80 41% 1.50    
SOUNION Feb03         (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
NASHVILLE Jan29         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40 36% 1.80    
EBBEN Feb03         (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
PERFECT SPEIGHTY Feb14         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   03/18/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO Jan16         (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00    
CASH ROCKET Feb20 Jan03       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 63% 0.60    
BLUE BONZAI Feb19 Jan22       (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 20.00    
FLAT OUT AMERICAN         (williams kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
PORT ROYAL Feb19         (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 117 15.00    
TIWANAKU Feb13         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 9% 10.50    
SAILOR'S RETURN Feb20 Jan21 Jan03     (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00    
SCR  BIG PAPER Feb20 Jan29       (correas ig)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
HIGH DEFF (FR) Jan21         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRYPTIC CODE Feb03 Jan22       (margolis steph)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 12.00    
 
FG-9   03/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREY BEAUTY Feb25 Feb03 Jan02     (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 114 2.50 33% 2.00    
AVERI EVER AFTER Feb11 Feb03 Jan13     (duke steven)MOJICA O 114 20.00    
SHELLI'S ANGEL Feb26 Feb13 Jan28     (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00    
A G'S CHARLOTTE Feb18 Feb03       (west g)PARKER L 114 8.00    
SCR  GLORY TO ME Feb25 Jan21 Jan01     (meza martin)LEDET THEODRICK 122 20.00 5% 17.40    
START WELL Feb25 Feb04       (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 8.00 8% 11.60    
GRACELEADSUSHOME Feb18 Jan22       (roussel j)DIAZ RENE 109 3.00 16% 5.40    
AKIANE'S SOLDIER Feb25 Feb11 Jan08     (boxie jos)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
ZEATRICAL Mar02 Feb02 Jan22 Jan08   (dison philli)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.