Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIN DELAY Feb23 Feb05 Jan07     (charles keith)MELANCON G 121 8.00 9% 10.20    
2  MY GUITAR Feb25 Feb04 Jan10     (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 17.30    
3  SIR POKERFACE Feb25 Jan12       (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  HARBOR KNIGHT Feb14         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
5  MUSADA Feb28 Feb05 Jan06     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  COUNTERFEIT Feb23 Feb03 Jan13     (thomas lee)COTTO L 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
7  HIGH RIDGE Feb24         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
8  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Feb25 Feb05 Jan10     (besancon danny)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
 
FG-2   03/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICIOUS VELMA Feb24 Feb03 Jan10     (hollendorf)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 1.60 60% 0.70    
2  C C'S COWGIRL Feb14 Jan20       (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
3  TETHERED Feb24 Feb03 Jan09     (crowder michael)PARKER L 117 5.00 ★    
4  C C'S FREEDOM         (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00 11% 8.10    
5  VEILS AND VOWS Feb24 Feb04       (wilson shane)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 ★    
6  DRESSEDTOIMPRESS Feb14 Jan20       (mckeever andrew)MOJICA O 117 6.00    
SCR  IT'S TIME BABY Feb12 Jan22 Jan13 Jan01   (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 125 20.00 6% 16.10    
8  LA DANTA Mar02 Feb18 Feb02 Jan14   (cormier houston)MELANCON G 125 15.00    
 
FG-3   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAFALGAR SHORE Feb24         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.00 76% 0.30    
SCR  JOAN'S WAY Feb18 Jan21       (silva h)MOJICA O 125 3.00    
2  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Feb18 Jan03       (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 125 4.00 ★    
3  SWEET TRUFFLES         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 ★    
4  SUPER FIRE Feb17 Jan22       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 117 5.00    
5  QUEEN CORDELIA Feb21 Jan28       (stidham mich)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50    
6  DIAMOND INDY SKIES Jan28         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 6.00 ★    
7  MA CHERIE Feb24 Jan28 Jan03     (cohn g)CULP BRIANNE 120 8.00 ★    
 
FG-4   03/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTOBER SURPRISE Feb04 Jan14       (prejean raymond)STOKES J 121 20.00    
2  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS Feb24 Jan30       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
3  WOMAN WITH A BOOK Feb24 Jan06       (wilson sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 ★    
4  FULL OF RUN Feb26 Feb12 Jan28 Jan08   (dison philli)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SI ES GOYA Feb18 Jan28       (reeves a)PARKER L 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
6  JURISDICTION Feb24 Jan15       (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00    
7  MOMENT Feb23 Jan22       (breaux samuel)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.00 8% 11.30    
8  EASTSIDE BOY Jan28 Jan08       (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
9  REDOUX Jan30 Jan07       (shirer a)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
SCR  HAY DAKOTA Feb24 Jan30       (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 116 6.00 30% 2.40    
 
FG-5   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS UNDERRATED Mar03 Feb16 Jan29     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 10.00 ★    
2  SUMITUP Feb06 Jan14       (caldwell r)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
3  VELVET NIGHT Feb18 Jan28 Jan08     (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
4  GOODNIGHT GRACIE Feb16 Jan27 Jan08     (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  MAW MAW'S SOPHIA Mar06 Feb17 Feb06     (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
6  SHO NUFF Mar02 Jan07       (cormier don)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00    
7  A. K. A. GRAMS Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19   (landry ray)STOKES J 120 6.00    
8  BOX OF PICTURES Feb06 Jan15       (camejo jos)MARQUEZ L 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
FG-6   03/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEZE THE DAY Mar05 Jan26       (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00 9% 10.00    
2  HONORARY GUEST         (roussel lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00 6% 17.10    
3  DOVE WITH A CAUSE Mar04 Feb18       (ingram steve)CULP BRIANNE 107 12.00    
4  PLANTS AND BIRDS Jan28         (cuccia j)MOJICA O 125 6.00    
SCR  SHISHITO (IRE) Mar01         (stidham mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 1.80 35% 1.90    
6  VALIANT MINI STAR         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00    
7  I GOT WINGS Jan21         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 125 10.00 11% 8.30    
8  TURF DANCER Jan28         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 19% 4.20    
9  JUNIE         (harri)MONSERRATE A 117 20.00    
 
FG-7   03/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HORNSWOGGLE Jan30         (correas ignaci)SANJUR SANTO 121 6.00    
2  AMERICAN SMOOTH Feb18 Jan23       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 6.00 ★    
3  SOUL COAXING Feb04 Jan02       (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  COUSIN LARRY         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 121 4.00    
5  OUTLIER Feb13 Jan21 Jan07     (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 14% 5.90    
6  PERFECT CUT Feb13 Jan08       (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  INVISIBLE WAR Feb04 Jan08       (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
SCR  TRIVISTA Feb24 Jan30 Jan06     (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
FG-8   03/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH CUSTOM         (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
2  MAHONEY ROAD         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  TEMPO MADNESS         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
4  ART HEIST Feb19 Jan22       (stewart da)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
5  EYE DEE KAY Feb19 Jan28       (modica oscar)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
6  TWENTYONE N CHANGE Feb25 Jan17       (silva miguel)MOJICA O 122 8.00 6% 16.50    
7  LEVEE PROUD Feb11 Jan10       (foley l)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
8  EVAN SING         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  CAN'T HUSH THIS Feb19         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN         (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
 
FG-9   03/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHIN DRAMA Mar05 Feb17 Jan17     (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 125 15.00    
2  MR ELVIN Feb12 Jan29 Jan08     (deroussel)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  GRADED VISION         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 4.50 6% 16.00    
4  PERMANENTDETENTION Feb17 Jan28 Jan17 Jan06   (williams kevin)CULP BRIANNE 120 6.00    
5  JUSTA BUSTER Feb25 Feb09       (cormier houston)MELANCON G 125 4.00 ★    
6  BIG MERRILL Mar03         (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00 ★    
7  CUSTOM PRAYER         (ladner rann)RIQUELME J 125 8.00    
8  HEZA SEXY ZONG Feb25 Feb09 Jan22     (dison philli)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00 ★    
9  IRON FORTUNE Feb20         (zenon char)ALBERT S 112 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.