Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM Feb26 Jan07       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
SOCIAL AFLEET Feb05 Jan06       (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 7% 13.90    
OUTLAW X. Feb19 Jan26       (devereux )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
LUCKENBACHER Feb05 Jan08       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
RUN ROCKET Feb13 Jan21 Jan07     (wilson shane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
LIKE MIKE Feb13 Jan23       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 14% 6.20    
POWER JET Jan15         (gomez c)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 31% 2.30    
 
FG-2   03/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY MO Feb26 Feb16       (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 114 8.00    
WICKED ROSE Feb26 Feb05 Jan21     (johnson b)BARNES JOSE 114 6.00 9% 9.70    
ZONG TOUGH Mar03 Feb02 Jan07     (dison philli)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
JANETS JAY JAY Feb10 Jan29 Jan08     (alonzo how)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
DUVEE Feb12 Jan29 Jan06     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
FORGED IN STEEL Feb19         (gelner scott)GRAHAM J 114 8.00    
CUSTOM BOBBY'S Feb10 Jan20 Jan07     (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
 
FG-3   03/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS RANSOM Feb11 Jan16       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50    
1A  SOUL SONG Mar04 Feb11 Jan16     (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
NOSY BANKER Mar04 Jan29 Jan09     (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
CRUSADER EXPRESS Mar03 Feb20 Feb04 Jan10   (landry jacoby)PARKER L 122 8.00 5% 17.90    
C'MON VE Mar04 Feb11 Jan28     (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Feb12 Jan21 Jan06     (pennino frank)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
HALFMOON REEF Feb11 Jan16       (clark d)DIAZ RENE 115 4.50 16% 5.10    
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Feb11 Jan16       (richards coral)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
LOUISIANA HERO Jan29 Jan06       (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
LUKE'S CAJUN STAR Feb24 Feb02 Jan21     (sam w)STOKES A 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
FG-4   03/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED WONDER Feb06 Jan14       (margolis r)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
CHATON ROUGE Feb17 Feb06 Jan14     (glover tracey)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
MISSION BELLE Jan29         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 4.50    
LADY CLARE Feb18 Jan14       (block chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
DALLAS VOLUNTEER Feb18 Jan20       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
MISS CHAMITA Feb18 Jan22 Jan16     (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50    
HONEY RUN Feb14 Jan15       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
FG-5   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARGED TEMP Feb11         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 114 4.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  DREAM PEACEFUL Mar03         (camejo m)MOJICA O 115 4.50    
TUGBOAT Feb18 Jan17 Jan07     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 5.00    
RUBY BEGONIA         (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
SCR  DREAM TOWN Feb25 Feb04 Jan08     (rangel raul)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
PHILLY WINS Feb06 Jan14       (scherer gary)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50    
STEPH'S SPIRIT Mar01 Jan14       (gelner scott)PARKER L 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
CRYPTO BRAVE Mar01 Feb06 Jan22     (zeno benjamin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
MAGGIE'S RETURN Feb06 Jan14       (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
MADAME JANE Mar01 Jan19       (richards )HERNANDEZ J 114 8.00    
10  ELSIE GIRL Feb06         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 7% 13.60    
 
FG-6   03/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAK PEEK Feb12 Jan21       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
COINMAKER Feb21 Jan09       (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
PINK CHANNEL Feb21         (scherer ga)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
SCR  ALITTLEBITOFSMARTY Jan09         (vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
SCR  NANA'S GRAY Feb18         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 114 3.00 6% 16.80    
MSCHITCHATTOUR Mar02 Feb04 Jan13     (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 20.00    
EPHEMERAL Feb21 Jan30 Jan09     (rubley kelly)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
US SECOND CUTE PIE Jan21         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 122 15.00    
HOHOHOHO Feb21 Feb12       (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
10  MOON OVER TUSCANY Mar06 Feb12 Jan09     (hatcher natha)VARGAS P 114 5.00 32% 2.20    
11  INFINITE SOLUTIONS Feb10 Jan26       (harrison c)MARQUEZ L 122 15.00    
 
FG-7   03/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZAFEELIN Jan27         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  MISTY VEIL Feb27 Jan29 Jan07     (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 4.00    
IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Mar04         (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER QUICK         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.50    
CLAIRIERE         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 120 0.80 50% 1.00    
MICROCAP         (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
AUDREY'S TIME Jan30         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50    
 
FG-8   03/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOOLEY         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
SCR  TREASURE HUNTING Feb17         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 10.00    
LAPIS LAZULI Feb17 Jan17       (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
BET HE'S READY Feb17 Jan17       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  BOSS MOON BENNY         (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
SHARP DOUBLE EDGE Feb11         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
GUEST SPEAKER         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
BRION Feb17 Jan23       (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
CONDEMN         (drury thomas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
SCR  LEVEE PROUD Feb11 Jan10       (foley l)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
SCR  EVAN SING         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  TEMPO MADNESS         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00    
SCR  EYE DEE KAY Feb19 Jan28       (modica oscar)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
14  KIAWAH BREEZE         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
15  CURLIN'S MALIBU Feb03 Jan13       (heitzman )HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
16  CYCLONE Feb17 Jan17       (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-9   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEEP BEEP         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
BACKSHOT Jan21         (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Feb17 Jan23       (mcgee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00    
ABUELO NUNO Jan30 Jan03       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00    
WIN YA WIN Feb04 Jan27 Jan02     (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Feb17         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 8.00    
SCR  LONG AND STRONG Feb11 Jan13 Jan02     (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
CONGA BOY         (stidham michael)PARKER L 120 12.00    
CHARGE THE LINE Feb17 Jan27 Jan02     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.50 21% 3.90    
10  CARRY THY CROSS         (ladner marvi)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
11  BIG UNION Feb17         (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  CITIZEN WEST Feb20 Jan30 Jan03     (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.