Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - March 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FIGHTING SOLDIER Feb24         (morre)MONSERRATE A 122 20.00    
SCR  JOSAN Feb20         (morrell cy)ALBERT S 117 20.00    
MAGIC LIGHTNING Feb05 Jan16       (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  COUYONS CAUSE         (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 117 5.00    
OAK HILL LG         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
FREED Jan28 Jan08       (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
FORTY THREE Feb17 Jan17       (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 9% 10.70    
CHECKULATER         (woodley j)STOKES A 122 8.00    
 
FG-2   03/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLANCE Feb20 Jan30       (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
1A  HAVINFUNYET Feb20 Jan09       (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50    
SCR  CORLUNA Feb19         (reeves a)PARKER L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
CALAJA         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
VARSITY FLYGIRL Jan30         (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
ANGEL OF VERDUN Feb20 Jan30 Jan07     (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 8% 11.50    
NORTHERN ALLIANCE Feb03 Jan14       (rodriguez hugo)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 6% 15.80    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE HORIZON Feb20 Jan30 Jan09     (hollendorf)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  A LITTLE FLYER Jan09         (miller f)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
 
FG-3   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPONHER Feb12 Jan28 Jan05     (cormier donald)LEBLANC C 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Jan17         (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 116 2.00 21% 3.70    
KASEN'S SISTER Feb16 Jan27 Jan06     (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00 11% 8.00    
SPEAK TO ME Feb17 Jan17       (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
HALFGLAMOROUS         (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 10% 8.90    
GIRL IN BLACK Feb23 Jan20       (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
THE MISSING PIECE Feb17 Jan17       (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
 
FG-4   03/13/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEALS THE SOUL         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
1A  FEDERAL EXCHANGE         (roussel lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 114 3.50    
BERNIE SPECIAL Feb20         (delahouss)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 3.00 11% 8.50    
SUN STRIKER Feb20         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50    
GOLDEN V C         (westlye ken)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
SWEET DREAMS BABE Feb24 Jan21       (westlye ken)DIAZ RENE 110 10.00    
SPANKHURST Mar04 Feb09 Jan21 Jan08   (pomier chasey )COTTO L 122 4.00 6% 14.70    
KIDYOUNOT         (barnett bob)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00    
 
FG-5   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO DOT Feb19 Jan30       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
HONORARIAN Feb19         (magnon jason)MAGNON H 121 20.00    
BUCK DYNASTY Feb24 Feb03 Jan07     (husak)MONSERRATE A 121 30.00    
KING OF THE TESTO Jan06         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
W W KAN DO Feb10 Jan20 Jan03     (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00    
MAGI Jan08         (rodriguez eduard)MURRAY M 121 20.00    
MOSTA FLYIN Feb20 Jan30 Jan08     (gomez jorge)CULP BRIANNE 116 30.00    
SCR  SPECTROLITE Mar03 Feb10       (wilson shane)SANJUR SANTO 121 5.00 33% 2.10    
THE GRAY BLUR Feb20 Feb06 Jan15 Jan03   (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS Feb24 Jan30       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 9% 10.40    
11  IMPACT PLAYER Feb19 Jan29       (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
FG-6   03/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNER Feb04 Jan27       (ramirez luis)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
ANICLUDE Feb20 Jan29 Jan08     (wilson shane)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00    
OKUDAH Feb04         (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 12.00    
SCR  GROOM LAKE Feb20 Jan29 Jan08     (barnett bobby )SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
RONITHELIMODRIVER Feb20 Jan29 Jan02     (leonard geo)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
HOT STOVE LEAGUE Feb20 Jan29 Jan13     (felks jose)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
GUNNER PAUL Feb25 Jan29 Jan08     (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
MR. PETERKIN Feb20 Jan28       (mouton pat)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
FILIPPO Feb20 Jan13       (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEROY JENKINS Jan02         (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
 
FG-7   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIEF Feb20 Feb04 Jan09     (tracy greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
CRYPTOZONIC Feb20 Jan20       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  IN A BIND Mar03 Feb09 Jan05     (cormier don)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00    
WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG Mar02 Feb17       (degeyter jr)STOKES J 120 6.00    
GOLD PUNCH Feb20 Jan29       (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 120 3.00 10% 8.90    
CYPRIANO Feb06 Jan23 Jan03     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
G DON'T KNOW Feb24 Feb09 Jan22 Jan07   (shamsie mi)MARQUEZ L 120 8.00    
BITSY'S CUSTOM C Feb20         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
 
FG-8   03/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOM'S RED LIPSTICK Feb13 Jan16       (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
1A  READY FOR CHANGE Feb13         (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
INAJIFFY Feb13         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
DANCE RHYTHMS Feb13         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
SCR  MUCHA MEZQUINA Feb13         (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
RISKY REWARD Feb13 Jan06       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  BLISSFUL CHANGE Feb24         (sharp joe)PARKER L 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
FG-9   03/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CO CONSPIRATOR Feb10 Jan22       (stidham michael)DIAZ RENE 112 8.00    
JOYFUL CANDY         (heitzman eric)MOJICA O 125 20.00    
SCR  SPORTINI Feb21         (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 5.00 31% 2.30    
GRAN MUCHACO Feb14 Feb04 Jan17     (lopez elias)MORALES ROBERTO 117 15.00    
SCR  TEE BURNS Feb17 Jan16       (margolis r)GRAHAM J 117 4.00    
I'M A FLASHY KID         (besancon danny)STOKES J 125 20.00    
T G'S NELSON Feb14 Feb03 Jan02     (gabriel t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 15.00    
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Feb25         (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00    
COOL RUNNINGS Feb21 Jan07       (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 125 6.00    
10  HERMS CROWN         (ladner herman)VEGA L 125 20.00    
11  DR. BENNY Feb04 Jan09       (scherer eric )GILLIGAN JACK 117 8.00    
12  STEELY DANZA Feb11 Jan10       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  B W P SPECIAL         (gelner scott)GREEN AUBRIE 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.