Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT FLUIDITY         (allen ferri)ALVELO C 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
FAMILY FORTUNE Feb19         (serey jr)AVILES YAN 116 15.00    
DANNY DEEP CUTS Feb19 Feb03 Jan22 Jan01   (haughton donnov)MONTERREY R 123 5.00    
MAKE IT A DOUBLE Feb03 Jan15       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
JOYFUL NOISE Feb24 Feb13 Feb03 Jan20   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 2.50    
R TRUE SENSATION Feb19 Jan20       (downs le)BUTTERFLY L 116 5.00    
WIN THEN GRIN Feb25 Feb03 Jan01     (maldonado)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
 
LRL-2   03/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ THE BEST Feb12 Jan23       (walters henry)AVILES YAN 114 10.00    
TINAS SHINING STAR Jan23         (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHICA RABIOSA Feb12 Jan23       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
IMAGINE THE MOJO Feb13 Jan23       (trombetta mic)ALVELO C 116 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  HELIACAL RISING Feb25 Feb18 Jan28     (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 1.20    
LOLA FLO Mar05 Feb18 Feb12 Jan29 Jan13 (cash norm)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
 
LRL-3   03/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL SAY Feb18         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 8.00 5% 18.60    
PET'S NIGHT Feb13 Jan29       (dove jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
AMEN CORNER Feb18 Jan27       (aguirre anthony )RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50    
EXTRA MEDIUM Jan29         (allen ferri)ALVELO C 118 6.00    
JUNGLE WARRIOR Feb24 Jan29 Jan21     (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
VICTORY GIVEN Feb20 Jan29       (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 4.00    
BIG HAMBONE Feb20 Jan29       (dove k)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 8.00 10% 8.50    
LITTLE BOLD BANDIT Feb26 Feb10 Jan02     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
LRL-4   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE AMERICANO Feb24 Jan21       (trujillo elvi)SILVERA RUBEN 126 10.00 19% 4.30    
BALTIMORE BUD Feb11 Jan20       (andreadakis geo)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
DEJOHN Feb24 Feb11       (serey jr)AVILES YAN 119 1.40 29% 2.40    
DIVINE PROPORTION Feb25 Jan20       (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 2.50    
INJECT THE LIGHT Feb24 Feb10 Jan28     (davis samuel)CALDERON JORGE 126 20.00 6% 16.80    
JUST PICK ONE Feb11 Jan21       (allen ferri)ALVELO C 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  KING SHAWN Feb23 Feb11 Jan20     (demario cha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 12.00    
 
LRL-5   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA GHOST         (cole c)WHITACRE GRANT 123 12.00    
1A  ROYAL CRUSADER         (cole w)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 12.00    
TOP BOSS Mar05 Feb13 Feb04 Jan27 Jan01 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00    
NASHVEGAS Feb18 Jan20 Jan02     (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 4.00 9% 9.50    
RISK PROFILE Feb12 Jan08       (rice linda)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50 19% 4.30    
BEAR FORCE WON Feb21 Jan16 Jan02     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
ABUELO PAPS Feb21         (salazar mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
SCR  SILENT SERVICE         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
MAGIC MULE Feb21 Jan27       (mcmahon thomas)RUIZ JORGE 126 8.00    
 
LRL-6   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE MIKE JIM Feb12 Jan21       (gonzalez claud)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
I'M GITTIN THERE Feb18 Jan01       (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 121 4.00    
SHE'S A BIG DEAL Feb18 Jan28       (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 6.00    
MY BOSS Feb18         (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 4.00    
SEA PINES Feb21 Jan28 Jan19 Jan01   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
MISS CASEY Feb18 Jan28       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
 
LRL-7   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50.6K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKS OF SILVER Feb20         (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  BRINDISI Jan19         (servis c)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
VIOLENT ROCK Feb27 Jan23       (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 6.00    
CODIGO Jan31         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCINTILLIO Feb11         (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 12.00    
BLAMEITONTHEFUN Feb11 Jan21       (barr h)RUIZ JORGE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOW COUNTRY DUDE         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 119 15.00    
BURGEE Feb12         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 10.00    
 
LRL-8   03/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($52.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEINBECK Feb18 Jan07       (cash l)ACOSTA D 121 15.00 8% 11.20    
AL LOVES JOSIE Feb21 Jan30 Jan01     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 1.40 25% 3.10    
OUTKISSED Feb12         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 2.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  MR SANDMAN Feb09 Jan18       (allen randy)RIVERA EDWIN 121 5.00 12% 7.70    
SUNDAY MISCHIEF Feb21 Jan22       (salzma)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 20.00    
SCR  KENNER Feb09         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
LRL-9   03/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHIRLIN CURLIN Mar05 Feb19       (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 116 12.00    
LOST MY VOWCHER Feb18 Jan28       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
LUDICROUS MODE Mar05 Feb13 Feb03 Jan21   (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 126 6.00    
PERCHER Mar04 Jan28       (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 126 8.00    
BAHAMA CHANNEL Feb18 Jan29 Jan22     (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00    
HAYNE'S FEVER Feb18 Feb06 Jan21     (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 121 6.00 5% 17.40    
EDICT (ARG) Feb13 Jan21       (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
TITAN'S WILL Feb18 Jan28 Jan12     (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
UNION LEADER Jan30 Jan08       (rivera justin)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 31% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.