Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGELA'S CELERITY         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
BOTH OURS Feb26 Feb11 Jan17 Jan09   (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHEELS LIKE NALA Jan30 Jan02       (jeansonne justin)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
LAKE MARIE Feb12 Jan07       (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  AUTUMN'S LIL DOLL Jan09         (husak)MONSERRATE A 122 20.00    
GLENNEYMAX         (arndt theodore)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
CARLOS LOVES TEE Feb11         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
SEEMYVALENTINE         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
MY ROYAL PRINCESS Feb19         (zenon char)ALBERT S 117 20.00    
10  READY READY Feb23 Feb04 Jan07     (devereux j)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
11  ZUMRA BAYOU Feb18 Feb03 Jan14     (sharp joe)RIQUELME J 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
12  CUSTOM GUITAR Feb18 Jan30 Jan09     (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
SCR  AGGIE DOCTOR         (reeves a)PARKER L 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
14  LISTEN JAN         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  MO BELLA Jan30 Jan01       (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 117 10.00    
 
FG-2   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERY WEALTHY Feb17         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 8% 10.80    
BOMBARRA GOLD Feb10 Jan13       (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 117 5.00    
WILLAMINA Feb17         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 15% 5.90    
MERCY WARREN Jan22         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
EMERALD         (casse w)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 7% 13.20    
SCR  BIRD BIRD BIRD         (casse w)PARKER L 122 5.00    
FIRED UP TIGER Feb17 Jan20       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
 
FG-3   03/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAY DAKOTA Feb24 Jan30       (desormeaux keit)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 11% 8.30    
CAP ROCK MINER Jan07         (wilson shane)GILLIGAN JACK 121 8.00    
BIG FALCON ROCKET Feb28 Feb14 Jan16 Jan06   (lopez elias)MORALES ROBERTO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
KRAFTY BOY Feb13         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 10.00    
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Feb28 Feb06 Jan15     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 3.50 62% 0.60    
LATE NITE MISCHIEF Feb26 Jan22       (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
DICTATOR Jan30 Jan07       (schwandt emile)MOJICA O 121 4.00    
SCR  SR. CLARKY Feb26 Feb05 Jan20     (landry jacoby)MELANCON G 118 20.00    
CHOP CHOP CHARLIE Feb18 Feb04 Jan08     (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
10  CANIHAVEITLIKETHAT Feb04 Jan07       (faucheux ron)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
 
FG-4   03/10/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CHARLIE Feb25 Jan26 Jan05     (thomas lee)COTTO L 125 4.50 14% 6.40    
1A  FIREINTHESTORM Feb25         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 117 4.50    
RELIC HUNTER         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00    
SINGLE SHOT Feb25 Jan08       (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00    
AND FIFTY Feb20         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 8% 10.90    
CANDY SHOPPER Feb25         (camejo jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 58% 0.70    
YOU YOUR DADDY SON         (vincent jarvis)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00    
BOLD DANCER Feb11         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 112 6.00    
BRIMESTONE KID Feb25 Feb09 Jan14     (west henry)GREEN AUBRIE 125 15.00    
HALF MAGIC Jan29 Jan08       (faucheux ron)MOJICA O 125 5.00    
 
FG-5   03/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME RACER Jan22         (roussel j)DIAZ RENE 115 5.00    
OPPORTUNITY KNOCKS Jan21         (black maurice)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 20.00    
LADY ARSINOE Feb19 Jan22       (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SKRATCH KAT Feb10         (bauer phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.60 66% 0.50    
I AM UP Feb19 Jan23       (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
GUN SLINGIN Jan13         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 8% 12.20    
PRIMA BALLERINA Feb12 Jan13       (stidham mi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00    
 
FG-6   03/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANGLED EMOTIONS         (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00    
HYPERBOLIST Feb26         (noel dane)PARKER L 122 8.00    
SCR  UNDER DISCUSSION Feb17         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
B D VALESKI Feb11 Jan17       (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 25% 3.10    
OVER CALENDARED         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
STREET N SOUR Jan17         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50    
FLEET OF HOOF         (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 122 12.00    
HERO DRAGON Feb25 Feb03 Jan21 Jan07   (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 118 30.00    
FULLY CONNECTED Feb17 Jan22       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  SUPREMELY         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
FG-7   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURVEILLANCE Jan27 Jan01       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 3.50    
SUGGESTED Feb17         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
READY TO POUNCE Jan27 Jan02       (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
RELENTLESS DANCER Feb04         (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 10.00 6% 15.20    
HE'S IN CHARGE Feb10         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Feb10 Jan09       (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
THIRSTY BETRAYAL Jan09         (shirer ma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 22% 3.40    
 
FG-8   03/10/2022 7260ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN WORTHY Jan22         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
1A  EVIE'S PRINCE Feb25 Jan22       (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00    
NEW YEAR SURPRISE Feb19 Jan22       (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 10.00    
EDITOR IN CHIEF Feb03 Jan08       (tracy tanner)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00    
JIMMY DAN Jan21 Jan03       (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 9% 10.30    
JARREAU Feb13 Jan16       (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
DANVILLE Feb05 Jan10       (shirer ma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
SPACE MOUNTAIN Feb18 Jan21       (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
POLICY OPTION Jan29 Jan08       (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
SCR  ANNEAU D'OR         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 11% 7.80    
 
FG-9   03/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN Feb18         (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 7% 13.20    
SCR  TUGBOAT Feb18 Jan17 Jan07     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 15.00 6% 16.80    
LEUDEAL Feb19 Jan22 Jan06     (gomez c)DIAZ RENE 114 20.00    
BASALT STREET Feb04         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
CHARLIE T Feb04         (thomas lee)COTTO L 119 4.50 11% 7.70    
BELEOUT Feb18 Jan02       (caldwell r)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
LOVELY LADY MAY Feb03 Jan01       (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
CANADA'S CUSTOMS Feb19 Jan16 Jan01     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
LUTIE MO Feb05 Jan22 Jan07     (landry allen)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 20.00    
10  MISHPACHAH Feb03 Jan13       (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.