Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEALING APRIORITY Feb20 Jan20       (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
INTO WISHING Jan30 Jan17       (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 114 5.00 13% 6.50    
TOTALLY ADDICTED Jan29         (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
THE THREE KS Feb18 Jan06       (williams kevin)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00    
TRIPPER JOHN Feb20 Jan23       (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
TOOL BOX         (cuccia j)MOJICA O 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
FLUFFPOINT Jan27         (latour nicho)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
FG-2   03/05/2022 4950ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CREDO Feb11 Jan19       (modica oscar)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
PERRINS Jan30         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.50 45% 1.20    
CATCHIN DRAMA Feb17 Jan17       (morrell cynthia)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
HELAIRE Feb12 Jan16       (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 3.00 30% 2.30    
MORE HARDER Feb10 Jan21 Jan06     (ney john)PARKER L 117 8.00    
SCR  MARLIESRAJUNCAJUN Feb09 Jan05       (meche shane)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
NORTHERNREFLECTION Jan30         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 10.00    
CHARLIE G Jan30 Jan06       (thomas lee)COTTO L 125 3.50    
RY DONT LIE Feb10 Jan21       (delany sarah)CULP BRIANNE 112 10.00    
 
FG-3   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEROCITY Feb17 Jan23       (heitzman eric)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
GOLDEN PEGASUS         (foster m)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
GOLDEN PASSAGE         (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
RUNANDHIDE WIND Jan28 Jan02       (ramirez luis)DIAZ RENE 115 3.00    
COURTHOUSE COVE Feb17 Jan20       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
SPEEDY G Feb04 Jan16       (wilson shane)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
 
FG-4   03/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINNING ROMANCE Feb05 Jan07       (calhoun william )PARKER L 117 4.50    
OFFSPRING Jan07         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50 12% 7.00    
SCR  TECATE TIME Feb23 Jan27       (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 12.00    
BLESSED ANNA Feb12 Jan07       (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 117 5.00    
FORT POLK Feb05         (mouton patrick)GUZMAN JORGE 117 2.50 10% 8.80    
NET A BEAR Feb05 Jan07       (landry al)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
 
FG-5   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BURNING DESIRE Feb06         (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  SURREY Feb17 Jan10       (harrison cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00    
DASHING HERO Feb18 Feb10       (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 6.00    
DIAL TEN FOR G Feb14 Jan20       (west patric)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
WOW ME FAST         (kenneally eddie)PARKER L 120 4.50    
FREEZE THE DAY Jan26         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
SCR  ABUELA'S HUMOR         (cox h)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
FG-6   03/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY CITY Feb05 Jan17       (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
TOMMY BEE Jan27         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
RUSSIAN TANK Feb19 Feb05       (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 118 6.00    
SCR  MAGICIAN STONE         (dorochenko genna)PARKER L 118 8.00    
IBERVILLE Jan13         (amoss thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
SILENT TAP Jan13         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 118 6.00    
DOWAGIAC CHIEF Jan30         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
 
FG-7   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIKE DREAMING Jan21         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 114 12.00    
COSMIC TRAIN Jan14         (delhomme jerry)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Jan20         (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50    
EDDIE'S HUMOR Feb04 Jan20       (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 119 4.50    
BIND FAITH Jan16         (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 10% 8.90    
TAMBOURINE STAR Feb10         (camejo m)PARKER L 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
BIG CHOPPER Feb05 Jan14       (gelner scott)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
 
FG-8   03/05/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLINONABUDJET Feb05 Jan15       (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 117 15.00    
SCR  BEHEMAH STAR Jan14         (camejo jose)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 12.00    
SCR  GET THEM JUSTIN Feb12 Jan27 Jan06     (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 117 15.00    
CHANGI Jan09         (dolan jea)ULLOA JOAN 117 30.00    
TREYS MIDNITE MOON Jan27 Jan06       (richards a)GRAHAM J 117 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  WHO TOOK THE MONEY Jan06         (calhoun william )PARKER L 123 0.80 25% 3.10    
MANGELSEN Feb12 Jan07       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  BUDRO TALKING Feb12 Jan06       (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 12.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  DREWHUSTLE Feb24         (briley lonnie)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00    
10  CITY PARK Feb12 Jan21       (ramirez eduard)COTTO L 117 12.00 12% 7.70    
11  MR. UNIVERSE Feb10         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 121 20.00    
 
FG-9   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEHRON'S CREED Feb12 Jan21 Jan01     (hargrave ke)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
ACTIVE GIRL Feb12 Jan21 Jan01     (wilson shane)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00    
NEW YEAR'S PARTY Feb17         (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
GILDED APPLE Feb12 Jan21 Jan07     (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
FOR REAL ALICE         (pitzer flo)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
POINT OF VICTORY Feb13 Jan27 Jan01     (faucheux ron)COTTO L 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
TUFFOLOGY Feb12 Jan21       (savoie sherman)MOJICA O 121 6.00 33% 2.10    
CUSTOM FOR CARLITA Feb12 Jan27       (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 116 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.