Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINFUL DANCER         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
2  BE ONBOARD Jan08         (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
3  VINNY TWO CENTS         (barrera )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
4  EVERESTING Feb06         (johnson clev)SAMUEL L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SCHERZANDO Feb04 Jan14       (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
6  AL'S PRINCE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50 ★    
7  DISCO PHAROAH         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-2   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOE BRRRR         (chapm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 ★    
2  DON THE JEWELER         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  CATHEDRAL BEACH Feb03         (weaver geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
4  LONG TERM Feb03 Jan02       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 43% 1.30    
5  IMPROPER Feb03 Jan13       (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  ELECTABILITY         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REPO ROCKS Feb05         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  TIMELESS BOUNTY Feb19         (wilson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 ★    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  OFFICIATING Jan29         (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BLAME out of COME A CALLIN by DIXIE UNION)
4  PRIME FACTOR Jan23         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 9% 10.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HAYLIE BRAE by BERNARDINI)
5  CHATEAU         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
AQU-4   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY BUILT Feb26 Feb03 Jan18 Jan09   (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  BRUNATE Jan02         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 8% 12.30    
3  MATTY'S MARAUDER Feb19 Feb03 Jan09     (donk davi)VARGAS A 121 5.00 ★    
4  JUMPSTER         (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 10.00    
5  CENTAVO         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 121 15.00    
6  RUN CASPER RUN Feb19 Jan02       (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 7% 13.20    
7  FORGOTTEN MISSION Feb03 Jan09       (toscano john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 12.00    
8  BLACK IRISH Feb19 Jan09       (davis ed)DAVIS A 121 20.00 ★    
9  BREAKING STONES Feb19 Jan27       (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
 
AQU-5   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOPED DENNIS Feb05 Jan22       (englehart)VARGAS A 120 3.50 ★    
2  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Feb21 Jan16       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 10.00 11% 8.50    
3  CHAPEL ROAD         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 12% 7.60    
4  DOUBLE MAKER         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
5  SENSIBLECONCLUSION Feb21 Jan27       (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  STATE PLANNING Feb11 Jan09       (vazquez jua)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  ADDIS ABABA         (pringle edmund)RICHARDS G 120 30.00    
 
AQU-6   03/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFALOW'S MISSION         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 9% 10.40    
2  LIMIT UP Feb12         (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
3  BEACH BOY AL Feb11 Jan09       (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  A LISTER Feb12         (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
5  HOT ROD RUMBLE Jan22         (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  URAGANO         (breen j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 ★    
7  ACALTEQUE Feb21         (miranda )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  KAZMIKE         (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORY ROAD         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 ★    
2  DIRECT ORDER Feb06         (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  AMERICAN LINCOLN Feb06 Jan28 Jan02     (romero je)CAMACHO JR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARADE FIELD         (qui)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 12.00    
SCR  CHRIS AND DAVE Feb10         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  F F ROCKET Jan22         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
7  JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ Feb20 Jan28       (williams andr)CARDENAS LUIS 121 15.00 ★    
8  KUMAR Feb11 Jan02       (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50    
 
AQU-8   03/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANDUP         (falcone n)LUZZI J 121 2.00 ★    
1A  CASTLE CHAOS Feb05         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
2  FITZPATRICK Feb05 Jan08       (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 ★    
3  KAZ'S BEACH         (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 123 8.00 ★    
4  HIM SHE KISSES         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
5  BUSTIN SHOUT Jan01         (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  TRASH TALKER Feb20 Jan08       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 ★    
7  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Feb05 Jan08       (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
 
AQU-9   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTGUN HOTTIE Feb06         (morey e)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 ★    
2  STERLING SILVER Jan22         (albertrani )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  MORNING MATCHA Jan23         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  VENTI VALENTINE         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
5  MAGIC CIRCLE Jan23         (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  RADIO DAYS Feb05         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.40 25% 2.90    
 
AQU-10   03/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Jan27         (toscano john)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
2  GLIDER Jan30 Jan06       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW BOAT by LEMON DROP KID)
3  GOLDEN CODE Feb05         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of JB'S GOLDEN REGRET by BANKER'S GOLD)
4  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Jan13         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 ★    
  (by UNIFIED out of PREVENTION by APTITUDE)
5  DEAN'S LIST Jan08         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MILDLY OFFENSIVE by SHARP HUMOR)
6  LIFE IS GREAT Feb06         (klesaris robert)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
7  NONEEDTOWORRY Feb05 Jan18       (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 30.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of NEED by STRONG HOPE)
8  BOLD JOURNEY Feb12         (mott will)VARGAS A 118 6.00 31% 2.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
9  MORELLO (NZ) Feb06         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of STOP THE WEDDING by CONGRATS)
10  ROCKEFELLER (BRZ) Jan01         (baffert bob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.