Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL GINNY Feb12 Jan29       (forston roy)RAMOS D 123 15.00    
CRUZIN TATUM Feb19 Jan14       (goodman c)MOJICA JR 123 6.00    
CUPP OF CLASS Feb18 Jan14       (capp)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 10.00    
EVENSCORE Jan08         (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 20.00    
AUNT IRENE Feb19 Feb11 Jan08     (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 10% 8.80    
GODSGIFT Feb11         (rose wayne)TAVARES JAVIER 123 15.00    
SCR  PETRICHOR Feb12         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
ANOTATION Feb19 Feb11 Jan14     (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 1.40 23% 3.30    
 
TP-2   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTERMATH Feb25         (evans ii)LEON SONNY 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
CODE CLEAR Feb23 Jan01       (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
IN FACT Feb17         (chapma)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 110 30.00    
SCHENECTADY STAR Feb23 Feb12 Jan14     (garcia ge)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.00    
SCR  AUKSINE KULKA Feb11 Jan16       (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
LIVERYMAN Feb10 Jan09       (pribble wi)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTY SENSE Jan01         (cash l)MCKEE J 120 12.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  DRIAMO CAT         (howard wi)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 20.00    
LESTERS DREAM Feb12 Jan09       (calvo kelsie)CANUTO THIAGO 113 30.00    
 
TP-3   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCIENCE (IRE) Feb16 Jan21       (cash l)MCKEE J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DERBY HOUSE Feb12         (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
JUANITA'S EXPRESS Feb18         (deegan c)MOJICA JR 125 6.00    
GALLANT GUY Jan16         (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.00    
KANTPAYTHETOLL Feb10         (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 125 5.00    
SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Feb16 Jan15       (murphy conor)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.50 38% 1.60    
NEPAL UP Feb16         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.00 7% 13.50    
 
TP-4   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SETSON Feb17 Jan23       (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 124 20.00    
MR. FLATTERY Feb17 Jan23 Jan16     (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 117 20.00    
KILLER BEE Feb17 Jan01       (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.50    
GOLDEN TEXT Feb17         (reed r)MCKEE J 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
INDIANA RED Feb10 Jan14 Jan01     (mitchell jerre)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
CARDIAC KID Feb17         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
LUCKYINKENTUCKY Feb17         (brafford mich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00    
MR. BANYAN Feb17 Jan23       (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
 
TP-5   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Jan23 Jan08       (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT Feb11 Jan08       (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 20.00    
POLAR WIND Feb11 Jan01       (klopp randy)RAMOS D 123 6.00    
SILENT MOVIES         (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 116 15.00    
JOHN'S ROCK Feb17 Jan23       (brafford mi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 10.00    
CARAMELITO Feb11 Jan23 Jan08     (meah anna)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
TORONTOTORO Jan15         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 10.00    
RUN RUN RAPIDASH Jan29         (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
UNCAPPED Feb19 Jan08       (cook b)ROCCO S 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
MAXI BOY (GB) Jan07         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  ASTRO JAK Feb23 Jan31 Jan04     (vickers richard )LEON SONNY 123 20.00    
11  JUULSTONE Feb19         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00    
SCR  THIRSTY OWL Jan16         (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 123 50.00    
 
TP-6   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED GHOST         (ward wesley )KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 0.80 65% 0.50    
SECRETLY WICKED         (hanc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 15.00    
SCR  MAKESCENTSTOUS         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN OF SHADES         (reed r)LEON SONNY 123 10.00    
HABOBANERO Feb10 Jan22 Jan01     (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
AMBASSADOR LUNA         (colebrook ben)BEJARANO R 123 3.00    
DELTA GAMMA CATS Jan29 Jan16       (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00    
 
TP-7   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASEY Jan22         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Feb12 Jan01       (d'angelo j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
MISS INVINCIBLE Feb12 Jan14       (chichakly)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.50    
SCR  HANNAH'S HAVEN         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.00    
JOEZINE Feb11         (pribble wi)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00    
CAIRO DRIVER Feb11 Jan07       (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
KEEN ICE SIGHT Feb11         (paquette )BERMUDEZ E 120 12.00 9% 9.70    
QUARIA THUNDER Feb12 Jan08       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
TP-8   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL FRANCO Feb12         (humphries thomas)LEON SONNY 124 12.00    
WHERE'S LUCKY Jan09 Jan01       (brisset rodo)LANDEROS CHRIS 117 8.00 14% 6.10    
BLACKSMITH STRONG Feb23         (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00    
MUSTY RED         (cash norman )ROMERO GREGORY 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
LEMONADE STAND (GB) Feb18         (ginter raymon)CANUTO THIAGO 117 12.00    
MR. BIFFLE Feb18         (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 6.00    
RANDELLO Feb18 Jan16       (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.00    
BRAVO BRAVO Feb18         (meraz ant)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00    
T J MUNNINGS Feb18 Jan09       (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.