Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Monday - February 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE NEED A FIVE Jan15         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50    
SHACKLE THE GOLD Jan20 Jan03       (cuccia j)MOJICA O 122 20.00    
I DON'T FLY COACH Jan06         (gomez jorg)ALBERT S 117 6.00    
BROOK IS GOLDEN Feb11 Jan29 Jan20     (singh s)SINGH R 122 20.00    
GRAND PRIORITY Jan29 Jan03       (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 68% 0.50    
STARVICTORY Feb18 Jan06       (peterson jessi)CULP BRIANNE 117 20.00    
SNEAKY ALLIE KAT Feb06 Jan06       (ladner shane)COTTO L 122 6.00    
DAVES FRIEND DEWEY Feb11 Jan29 Jan06     (williams ke)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00    
MISTA VALENTINE Feb12 Jan03       (alonzo howard)SANJUR SANTO 125 4.50    
10  MUSADA Feb05 Jan06       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00    
 
FG-2   02/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($49K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG BEAUTY         (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
SNOWBALL Feb05         (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
STEPH'SFULLASUGAR Jan03         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00    
FAME FEATHER         (faucheux ron)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00    
GALAXY THIRTYSIX Jan30         (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00    
CONDESA'S HANDMAID Feb05         (vincent jarv)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN LIAISON         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 9% 9.70    
 
FG-3   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR SEXY A. P. Feb11         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00    
PLEMMONSTON Feb17 Feb04 Jan13     (leonard i)PARKER L 120 6.00    
FLYING CURLIN Jan29 Jan17       (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
PURE VALOR Feb10 Jan16       (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00 14% 6.10    
CHAIRMAN MOO Feb04         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
MORO WARRIOR         (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
PERFECT PERIGEE Feb14 Jan20 Jan03     (camejo m)DIAZ RENE 115 3.50 45% 1.20    
OXBOW WIND Feb11 Jan22 Jan10     (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 122 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLOCATE Feb06 Jan14       (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
FORDLAND Feb12 Jan23       (margolis r)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
CLASSY MISS Feb05 Jan22       (flint ber)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
FRENCH CURLINE         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
SPOOKY ROAD Feb05         (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
AMERICAN HUNTER         (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
BEE RIGHT Feb06 Jan14       (maker michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
MOST EMPRESSIVE Jan23         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
 
FG-5   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZION Feb06 Jan16       (hatcher natha)VARGAS P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
OUR FREDDIE MAC Jan16         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
CREOLE CHARLIE Feb06 Jan08       (scherer t)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
RELEASE THE BEAST Feb06 Jan16       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 11% 8.50    
HOORAY AUSTIN Jan16         (wiggins lon)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCHNELL Jan29         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
SECRET VISTA Jan28 Jan07       (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
FG-6   02/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESUIT Feb12 Jan27       (baker jame)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
PRACTICE SQUAD         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 119 5.00    
BUDDY REAUX Feb11 Jan05       (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
SCR  COSTELLO'S KITTEN Jan13         (jeansonne ju)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
FIRST GLIMPSE Feb06 Jan17       (silva h)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 19% 4.10    
STOCKPILER Feb10 Jan15       (margolis s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
MONARCH MAN Jan27         (wilson sh)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
STITCHED Feb06 Jan21       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
CAUSE TO CRUISE Feb06 Jan13       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.00 55% 0.80    
10  MARQUEE RIDE Feb03 Jan17       (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-7   02/28/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOOLHAUS Jan23         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 6% 15.20    
CRUMP Feb03         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
HOMBRAZO Feb13 Jan08       (cano munoz)PARKER L 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HORNSWOGGLE Jan30         (correas ignaci)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00    
SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Jan23         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
KOUFAX Jan22         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
HIGHLAND CREEK Jan27         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
FG-8   02/28/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3 ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREELANCER Feb05         (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
1A  HOLIDAY HOUSE Feb05         (stidham mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50    
XAVEY DAVE         (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jan10         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 10% 9.10    
CREME DE BALI         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 119 15.00    
ROMAN POET Jan27         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 4.00 11% 8.20    
PURE PANIC Jan30         (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 8% 11.10    
PRAYFORPEACE Jan17         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 119 3.50    
ALEBRIJE Jan02         (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 119 15.00    
 
FG-9   02/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPEL BARN Feb06 Jan15       (farrior an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
DEANO Feb06 Jan20 Jan08     (claire alexis)SANJUR SANTO 119 8.00    
FROLIC MORE Jan27 Jan07       (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00    
SCR  CLUB SODA Jan15 Jan03       (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 61% 0.70    
LEMON AND DIEM Jan15 Jan02       (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
BIG FALCON ROCKET Feb14 Jan16 Jan06     (lopez elias)MORALES ROBERTO 121 20.00    
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) Feb06 Jan15       (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
MURDO Feb06 Jan15 Jan03     (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 5.00    
SCR  RICHIESGOTSWAGGER Jan27 Jan07       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.