Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - February 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S HISTORY Feb02         (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
ONE MORE FACTOR Feb18 Jan27 Jan20     (espinosa v)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.00    
COMPANY CLOWN         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
BARNSTORM Feb02         (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) Feb02 Jan12       (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
UPHEAVAL Feb02         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50    
 
CT-2   02/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRING IT ON HOME Feb18 Feb04 Jan13     (joy ke)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 4.50    
UNCANNY Feb04         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
MAE SAI PRINCESS Feb04 Jan25 Jan13     (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
BAHAMIAN GIRL Feb03         (gazzier krist)MARRERO R 122 6.00    
DEALER'S GIRL Feb18 Feb04 Jan13     (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.60 42% 1.40    
DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Feb04 Jan13       (shanley timo)MORALES KELVIN 122 15.00 11% 7.80    
 
CT-3   02/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC TUXEDO Feb10         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 12.00    
FAIRPIT         (jones a)MAYHEW W 124 30.00    
HURRICANE AMIGO Feb04         (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 10% 8.60    
MORNING ARTIE Feb10         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
DIVINE PROPORTION Jan20         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 1.00 49% 1.10    
NEW SOUTH Feb04 Jan14       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
INSURRECTIONIST Feb02         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 118 4.00    
 
CT-4   02/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEW DAT Feb04 Jan12       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 18.50    
URKILLINGMEBETH Jan13         (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.50 8% 11.60    
SUPER WILDCAT Jan13         (carson lau)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80    
SCR  U R THE LUCKY ONE Feb04 Jan13       (picket)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 15.00    
SENSE OF MUSIC Jan27         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
EASY ON THE SUGAR Jan28 Jan22       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Feb04         (shanley timothy)WHITACRE B 120 12.00    
SCR  FLIRTING FUHR AVIE Feb05 Jan14       (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 50.00    
ONE SMART COOKIE Feb04 Jan13       (anderson pat)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00    
 
CT-5   02/25/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A THOUSAND IDOLS         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 116 10.00    
DIVINING DANCER Feb10         (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 116 20.00    
ARE YOU HAPPY Feb11         (moschonas)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 8% 12.30    
SUPER JORDAN Feb10 Jan13       (carson laura)THORPE DARIUS 116 2.50 14% 6.20    
ALREADY THERE         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 116 6.00    
STALKING Feb10         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 109 12.00 5% 19.00    
FOREST FROST Feb10         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50 50% 1.00    
WALK THE BANK Feb12 Jan20       (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00    
LOAD TO FIRE         (sterling michael )LARROSA G 124 5.00    
 
CT-6   02/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSY DAISY DO Feb03         (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SO RED THE ROSE Feb02         (brown w)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00    
I AM I WILL Jan13         (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 10% 9.40    
SHE FIGURES Feb02         (picket)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 3.50 17% 4.90    
ZIG Feb05 Jan14       (joy j)SIMPSON JASON 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
MORTAL STORM         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.40    
MACKENZIE'S STAR Feb02         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
 
CT-7   02/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN METTLE Feb05         (hamlin )NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00 5% 18.90    
RED HOT TODDY         (jones e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
WHAT AN OX Feb10 Jan15       (lucas antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 109 4.00 12% 7.20    
SECRET SWIRL Feb02         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  IN HIGH GEAR         (mcdonald timot)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
JUBA JUNIOR Feb02         (boggs joanna)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
SMALL PAW Feb05         (jackson ange)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.50 6% 15.20    
ROCKET BALLAD Feb05 Jan14       (myers larry)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 50.00    
FELICIAS CASTLE Feb03         (grams c)LIMA FELINO 109 5.00    
10  QUID PRO QUO Feb05 Jan14       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
CT-8   02/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE BEAST         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
STORMIN ROCKET Feb04         (craig e)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
PENGUIN PARADE Feb04         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 10.00    
ROAD PARTY Feb10         (grams timoth)MORALES KELVIN 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
BLUE N GOLD Feb04         (contreras ja)MARRERO CARLOS 118 12.00    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Feb04         (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 111 30.00    
NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Feb04 Jan15       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
WINDSORS TAIL Feb04         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.50 12% 7.50    
 
CT-9   02/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUCKLEBERRY FRIEND Jan13         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
SCR  CHOPRA Jan13         (laster robe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 110 30.00    
NORMANDY'S EMPIRE Jan13         (davis russel)MORALES KELVIN 122 10.00    
MINDYOURPSANDQS         (keller chris)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 10.00 8% 11.60    
MIKI Feb03 Jan13       (figgin)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 8.00 7% 14.10    
PONTICELLO Jan26         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
WEAVE IT QUIXOTE Jan13         (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
ROCK FILE Feb03         (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 6.00    
WEAVINTHEBLOCKS Feb03 Jan26       (lucas anth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
10  BLUE COLLAR BOY Feb10         (hess g)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00 11% 8.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.