Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE BROWN         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  MOONS THE LIMIT         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
3  ACALTEQUE         (miranda luis)MORRISON AILSA 115 15.00 6% 15.80    
4  HEADS OR TAILS         (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00    
5  BOINTHEBACK Feb12 Jan20       (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
6  ON THE HILL         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
7  EMPIRE STATION Jan28 Jan16       (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
AQU-2   02/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT YET CHARLIE         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
2  BUSTIN PIETRE Jan27         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  READY TO MARCH         (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 ★    
4  ALWAYS CHARMING Jan27 Jan09       (johnson clev)SAMUEL L 120 4.00 ★    
5  GINNSU WARRIOR Feb03         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  TURNPIKE BOB Jan25         (linder lo)VARGAS A 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
AQU-3   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING DRIVE Feb10 Jan01       (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 ★    
2  HEALY'S HOPE Feb10 Jan01       (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 120 6.00 ★    
3  FLEET WARRIOR Jan28         (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50 ★    
4  HIGH COMMAND Feb05 Jan28       (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
5  SUMMER BOURBON Feb10 Jan22 Jan01     (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
6  VICAR'S LEGEND Feb10         (younghans wi)HOWELL TALBERT 120 15.00    
7  P J ADVANTAGE Jan27         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
AQU-4   02/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE THERAPY Feb12 Jan22       (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 ★    
1A  CARLY HUSTLE Feb12 Jan22       (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
2  PAZZION Feb12 Jan22       (d'alessandr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GAGLIANO         (barrera )DAVIS A 120 15.00    
4  MISSION TRAIL Feb12 Jan22 Jan02     (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 15.00    
5  QUEENTIGUA Feb12 Jan22 Jan02     (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00 7% 13.40    
6  STORMI CAT LADY Jan22         (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  VOICE OF SPRING Feb13 Jan13       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 ★    
 
AQU-5   02/21/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCURSIONNISTE         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  CAVE MAN Jan09         (montoya mar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 ★    
3  RCAPTIVATING Jan06         (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 115 6.00    
4  FRONT PORCH         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 ★    
5  REGAL EMPIRE Feb03         (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
6  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jan16         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 15.00 ★    
7  SENSIBLECONCLUSION Jan27         (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-6   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP REINA Feb10 Jan14       (mc john)FUENTES ERICK 110 30.00 10% 8.50    
2  SHASTA STAR         (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  MISS MI MI         (quick pa)DAVIS A 120 6.00 ★    
4  QUALITY STONES Jan16 Jan02       (potts wayne)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 8.00    
SCR  GENTLE ANNIE Jan28 Jan14       (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
SCR  SIRENIC         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 43% 1.40    
7  GUNS BLAZING Jan16 Jan06       (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
SCR  ADDILYN Feb10 Jan09       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE CREATOR Jan16         (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER         (cash russell )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
3  REIGNING CHICK Jan23         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  CARAGATE         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  THINKING IT OVER Jan22         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  SANDY'S GARDEN Feb19 Jan22       (lee joseph)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 6% 16.50    
7  MOAM Jan22         (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
8  YO CUZ         (mott i)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-8   02/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IGOTTAHAVEIT         (dunham b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
2  UNLIKELY Jan02         (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
3  TAMBURRO'S SOX Jan09         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 3.00    
4  REMEMBERMOM Jan09         (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.00 ★    
5  TOUGH WORKOUT Jan20         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 49% 1.00    
6  VINCENT         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 122 12.00    
7  FORESTWOOD LANE Jan22 Jan02       (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  OUT OF THE BREECH         (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 ★    
9  V PATTERN Jan02         (de horac)MORRISON AILSA 117 6.00 16% 5.10    
10  SLUGO         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.