Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDMON Jan28 Jan14       (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
2  EUDAIMONIA Feb04 Jan14 Jan01     (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 9% 9.50    
SCR  GET YOUR GOLD         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
4  KISS ME SMILE         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
5  CRISPY GAL Feb11         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
6  CREDIT SUSPENDED         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
7  BOOM ROASTED Jan14         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  FLATTERY'S MUSIC         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 10% 9.00    
 
AQU-2   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON BRUTUS Jan27         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00    
2  RUN CASPER RUN Jan02         (englehart ch)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 8.00 8% 12.10    
3  UNO         (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  MATTY'S MARAUDER Feb03 Jan09       (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 2.50    
5  MILLEAN         (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  RICKYS REVENGE Jan09         (simmonds michae)FRET STEVEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLACK IRISH Jan09         (davis ed)DAVIS A 120 12.00 8% 11.40    
 
AQU-3   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ENGINE Jan16         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 ★    
2  ANSWER IN         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 18% 4.50    
3  COMPETITIVE SAINT Jan16         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★    
4  SMOOTH B         (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  COST BASIS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 49% 1.10    
 
AQU-4   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS RILEY         (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  KEEN DANCER Feb04 Jan14       (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 15.00    
3  HALF BIRTHDAY Feb11 Jan14       (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  MRS. BANKS Jan08         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
5  CLASSIC VINMAN         (schosberg richa)MENA E 120 8.00    
6  STERLING MISTRESS         (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 ★    
7  OH MY BELLE Jan28         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
8  DINI'S DESTINY         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
AQU-5   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDY'S CHOICE Jan22         (levin)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 12% 7.50    
2  KISSES FOR EMILY Jan22         (linder j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  SALSA A PARTE         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 12.00    
4  CERRETTA         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
5  TRUE EMPRESS Jan08         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  LADY YELLEN         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
7  CELINE THE QUEEN Jan08         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 ★    
8  DARN THAT SONG Jan22 Jan08       (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
AQU-6   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTERBOX Feb03 Jan09       (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
2  HALPERT Feb05 Jan02       (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 ★    
3  BREAKING STONES Jan27         (reynolds patri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  WAR OF THRONES         (parker josep)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
5  MAJESTIC TIGER Jan09         (englehart ch)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 4.00 34% 1.90    
6  SCORPION DYNASTY Feb03 Jan09       (clarke dyla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 ★    
7  GHOSTMON Feb03 Jan09       (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-7   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK MONEY Jan27 Jan01       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 0.60 65% 0.50    
1A  BAD GUY Jan14         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 0.60    
SCR  BINKSTER Feb06 Jan27 Jan01     (mir)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 5% 18.80    
3  TRUE GOLD Jan28         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50 ★    
4  GANDY DANCING Jan27         (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 30.00    
5  SICILIA MIKE Jan27         (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
6  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Jan28 Jan14       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
7  MISSALPHA Jan27 Jan01       (englehart ch)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 12.00 ★    
SCR  BIG MOUNTAIN Feb06         (forde jason)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAZ'S BEACH         (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 118 15.00    
2  WUDDA U THINK NOW Jan16         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 0.80 18% 4.50    
3  JEMOGRAPHY         (hennig ma)VARGAS A 124 12.00 ★    
4  MY BOY TATE Jan08         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 41% 1.50    
5  SOUTH AFRICA Jan28         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 ★    
6  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Jan28 Jan16       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 12.00 16% 5.10    
 
AQU-9   02/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK STATEMENT Jan23         (ferraro w)LUZZI J 122 10.00    
1A  MISS FLINTSHIRE         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
2  MONDEUSE Feb04         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00 ★    
3  TORREN'S TALE Jan08         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  SABREEN Jan13         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  LITTLE MISS MINION         (klesaris robe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
6  REELEY PSYCHED Feb04 Jan06       (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
7  SOARING MIST         (shivmangal l)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
8  PHENOMENAL WOMAN Feb04 Jan02       (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.