Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND CADGER Feb11         (johnson r)LIMA FELINO 115 12.00    
BULL MEECHUM         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 0.60 57% 0.80    
VIDMER'S COURAGE         (pennella rhe)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50    
TICKLING SPRINGS         (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
PRINCE JACOB Jan26         (poole c)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
MINI BOLT Jan13         (roman-salon ne)RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00    
 
CT-2   02/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSBY'S RANGER Jan15         (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
E J'S REVENGE Feb01 Jan19       (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 1.20 45% 1.20    
FLUENT IN SARCASM Feb02 Jan15       (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 18.90    
WILLIE THE WHALE Jan26         (ramos agost)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00    
FRANK'S LEGACY Jan26         (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
GOLDEN G Jan26         (gillespie rya)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00    
 
CT-3   02/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE PATTERNS Feb04         (aylor l)LARROSA G 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
DEALER'S GIRL Feb04 Jan13       (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 1.00 46% 1.20    
BRING IT ON HOME Feb04 Jan13       (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00    
RYOAN Jan05         (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
DANCE LIGHTLY Feb04         (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 12.00    
CATHERINES WARRIOR Feb03         (straughn will)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Jan28 Jan12       (atkins g)CECIL Y 124 10.00 6% 15.00    
 
CT-4   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GLOW Jan27         (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
KNOT ANYMORE Jan20         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 0.80 26% 2.80    
RONA         (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 20.00    
TIMEISGOLDEN Jan14         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 116 1.40 45% 1.20    
SCR  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Feb12 Jan27       (pearson mic)MCKENZIE CONNIE 114 30.00    
BET THE QUEEN Feb11         (viands )NUNEZ ANAHI 109 6.00    
 
CT-5   02/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMAL DESTINY         (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  RULING         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
TO THE FRONT Feb03 Jan15       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
ONE MORE FACTOR Jan27 Jan20       (espinosa victor)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 14% 6.40    
IMPETUOUS Feb03 Jan12       (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
BEVERLY PARK Feb13 Jan27 Jan23 Jan14 Jan02 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
FREEDOM IS RINGING Feb03 Jan12       (pennella rhe)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  STRONG LIKE BULL Jan26         (jackson l)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
ZAINO BOYZ Feb02 Jan12       (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 6.00    
 
CT-6   02/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($35.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEN CAN DO IT Jan28         (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
STRONG HEART         (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
CANDY INVASION         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
OPERA NITE Jan27         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.00 50% 1.00    
FIBER AND EMILY         (atkins will)MCKENZIE CONNIE 110 2.00 9% 10.60    
FINAL SAY         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
 
CT-7   02/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETULANT DELIGHT         (velez irvin)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 4.50 11% 7.80    
GIGGING Feb03 Jan16       (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 6% 16.20    
CIELO AZUL Jan28         (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 28% 2.50    
SAN ANTONE Jan28         (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
MARTIN MAN Jan27 Jan14       (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
MUTAKAAMIL Feb04 Jan01       (magee kieron)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00    
SCR  PISTOL P Jan15         (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   02/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARM SUNNY BREEZE Jan27 Jan15       (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00    
NITRO TIME         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 8.00    
SCR  AWESOME D J         (corrale)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 2.50 31% 2.30    
CASH FOR THE SOUL         (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 6.00    
ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO Jan27         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 8% 12.30    
CASTLE FIVE Feb04 Jan12       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50 8% 12.20    
SCR  COMPANY CLOWN         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
POPPY'S TWO STEP Feb05         (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
SCR  SOMERSET BAY Jan27 Jan12       (joy j)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.