Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY STANDINGBEAR Feb10 Jan13       (roman-salon nelsi)LARROSA G 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUSPIROS Feb11         (simone mic)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
QUAD EIGHTS Feb10 Jan27       (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
WINDSOR CALLING         (roman-salon ne)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00 6% 15.90    
I'D LIKE TO KNOW Jan26         (butts e)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
THEHEATOFTHENIGHT Jan27         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00    
 
CT-2   02/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSING MY POINT Jan27         (pickett crys)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.50    
CALIFORNIA SUZY         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50    
TOY TIGER Jan14         (goetz j)HO WESLEY 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
MOSLER'S TOUCH Jan12         (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
CHRISTINE'S COSMO Jan27 Jan14       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.50    
WHO'S YOUR DADDY Jan27 Jan12       (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 15.00    
 
CT-3   02/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVATIANO Jan27 Jan12       (malgarini)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Jan28 Jan12       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
SHANGHAISCHOOL         (synnefias dimitr)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR         (boggs joan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
POTENTIAL GRIZZLY         (meehan)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 20.00    
BUBBA GRUMP         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
ISHIHARA Jan27         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50    
 
CT-4   02/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAMURAISLUCKYSWORD Jan28         (shanley mark)RIOS-CONDE A 122 50.00    
MYGIDGETMARIE Jan28 Jan13       (huet te)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 4.50    
AWESOME INCENTIVE Jan28         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
ORBIT MARS Jan23         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
TELL ALEXIS Jan28         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
MIDNIGHT REGRET         (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
ALWAYS MIA Jan28 Jan02       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 20% 4.10    
 
CT-5   02/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($35.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED SPLENDOR Jan28 Jan12       (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
GRACE ELIZABETH         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 2.50 12% 7.50    
VICTORY ROYALE         (lucas anth)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
LADY STORM Jan13         (figgin)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 4.50 42% 1.40    
OCEAN LILLY         (runco c)MARRERO CARLOS 120 4.00 9% 9.80    
AZZURRA Feb06 Jan12       (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 9% 10.30    
COACH RUBE Jan28 Jan13       (haynes ernest)SIMPSON JASON 120 3.50    
 
CT-6   02/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDAL GENIUS Feb02         (rangel ricard)MARRERO R 124 12.00    
REAL APPEAL (GER) Feb02         (brown a)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
WAGER WORTHY Jan14         (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 116 20.00    
CARNIVAL LUCKY         (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00    
SWISS HORIZON Jan27         (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 117 5.00    
SLEWING Jan12         (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
IN THE NEWS Jan27 Jan12       (campbell mar)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
NINETY PROOF         (groves janic)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 12.00    
 
CT-7   02/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BEST FRIEND Jan14         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.50 19% 4.30    
MS HEADLEY Jan15 Jan02       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80    
PEPPA STARR Jan13         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
MANAROLA Jan13         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
NICE N' BROAD Jan28         (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
COLLEGE KID Jan13         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT Jan15         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   02/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR RUNS CASTLE         (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
CHARITABLY GIFTED         (contreras jav)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00    
TALKING TEDDY         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 12.00 6% 17.10    
MIO GRACELAND Jan26         (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
C R'S MANDATE         (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
FROGGY THE GREMLIN         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  DOC ELM Feb02         (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
ROLL DEM BONES Jan26         (figgin)ENRIQUEZ JR 111 10.00    
SO COURAGEOUS         (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
 
CT-9   02/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAFFYDILL         (dillon l)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
LOVE CALIFORNIA         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 15.00    
BULLETS LADY         (dilodovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
RHYTHM AND POWER Jan27         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  SEE THAT GIRL         (viands stacey )MONTANO JOSE 124 4.50    
SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 5.00    
SUPERSTASIA Feb11         (carlisle j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDING TICKET         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.