Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - February 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAZZARITO         (bond ja)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
WILD CARP DIEM Jan20 Jan01       (ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
RESERVATION         (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE THE GREAT Jan16         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
BADGERVILLE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
CLASH A. J. Jan22 Jan09 Jan01     (jones e)GOMEZ O 120 2.50 7% 13.40    
 
AQU-2   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYER BOOK Feb06 Jan16       (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 123 12.00    
SCR  NARMER Jan27         (maldonado jonat)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 9% 10.50    
CHARGER Jan22 Jan04       (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 1.40 37% 1.70    
GOOD CULTURE Jan16         (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.80 23% 3.40    
HOLDTHEFLIGHT         (pearce penny)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
FULL MOON FEVER         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
AQU-3   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAILIN JOSIE Jan08         (jerkens steven)MORRISON AILSA 115 10.00    
EQUAL MEASURE Jan23         (avila c)SAMUEL L 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  FOLLY         (maldonado jonat)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
CHOOSE HAPPINESS Jan20         (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
GREATEST LOVE Jan16         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
MAKINGCENTS         (englehart j)VARGAS A 120 2.50    
 
AQU-4   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MISCHIEF Jan22 Jan02       (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
DOUBLE SHOT         (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.80    
STANHOPE Feb03 Jan01       (potts wayne)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00    
DEVIOUS MO Jan22         (chichakly amira)MENA E 120 12.00    
SCR  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Feb06         (grusmark k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 17% 5.00    
CONFORMIST Jan20         (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  MERCHANTS OF COOL Jan09         (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
AQU-5   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR TROUBLE Jan14         (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
REGGAE MUSIC MAN Jan14         (reynolds patrick)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
STORM SHOOTER Jan14         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
BREW PUB Feb04 Jan14       (arenas marcelo)MENA E 123 4.50    
DEPUTY FLAG Jan09         (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.00 21% 3.70    
BIG BROWN SHOES Jan14         (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
AQU-6   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL NUMBER Jan22         (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
TALE OF MINESHAFT Feb03         (chatterpaul na)MORRISON AILSA 115 15.00    
FAMISHED Feb03 Jan20       (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50    
ROMAN EMPIRE Jan20         (giangiulio miche)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
PERUVIAN BOY         (englehart )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50 31% 2.20    
OPT Jan22         (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Jan14         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
 
AQU-7   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OK HONEY Jan02         (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
ENTER SANDWOMAN Jan23 Jan01       (jerkens james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
PENDOLINO Feb04         (jones e)GOMEZ O 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
VOICE OF SPRING Jan13         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
COLOR CHART         (bond )WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 12.00 12% 7.30    
DESTINATIONWNRSCIR Jan13         (baker charl)VARGAS A 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-8   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWILLAWAY Jan02         (friedman mitch)HARKIE K 118 20.00    
KEPT WAITING Feb06         (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 7% 13.00    
LETMETAKETHISCALL Jan23 Jan02       (ferra)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 15.00 6% 14.50    
SADIE LADY         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
TIME LIMIT Jan29 Jan01       (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
CHASING CARA         (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
BREAKFASTATBONNIES         (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 25% 3.10    
 
AQU-9   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELL BOY Jan22 Jan02       (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
BOHEMIAN RUBY Jan22 Jan02       (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
RUSH TO HONOR Jan06         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
REUNION TOUR Jan22         (ferraro james )SAMUEL L 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
PRINCE OF JOY Feb03         (legall ric)DAVIS A 122 20.00    
CROCK OF GOLD Jan02         (sciacca gary)MORRISON AILSA 117 12.00    
TUESDAY'S CHILD Jan02         (sciac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
SIR WILLIAM Jan22 Jan09       (ferraro w)MENA E 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.