Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALK THE BANK Jan20         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
2  MY INSPIRATION Jan28         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 6.00    
3  VIBE SETTER Jan28         (baker charlt)HARKIE K 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Jan20         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  LUCKY MUCHO MAN         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  WICKOSITY Jan28         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 ★    
7  BOINTHEBACK Jan20         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
8  SELL SOMETHING Jan16         (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
 
AQU-2   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATOULA Jan13         (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
1A  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jan13 Jan06       (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
2  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA         (baker cha)VARGAS A 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
3  TAPPANZEE Jan06         (schettin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 ★    
4  BETTY'S SMILE Jan22 Jan02       (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
5  THE GLENMORE Jan20         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 ★    
6  KERIK Feb04 Jan06       (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-3   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOTT ALAIA         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  SEAHORSE D'ORO Jan23         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 3.50    
3  LINNY KATE Jan16         (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 7% 13.40    
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  RAFFINITY         (giangiuli)VARGAS A 120 4.00 ★    
6  GAME THEORY Jan20         (jones ed)DAVIS A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE THERAPY Jan22         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 123 3.00 ★    
1A  CARLY HUSTLE Jan22         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  PAZZION Jan22         (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 120 10.00    
3  BIG TONY'S GIRL Jan20 Jan02       (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA Jan23         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 ★    
5  QUEENTIGUA Jan22 Jan02       (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 8% 11.40    
6  APPRECIATE Jan22         (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 ★    
7  MISSION TRAIL Jan22 Jan02       (mc allen)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
 
AQU-5   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMIT UP         (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
2  BEST IDEA         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  MODERN MIDAS         (englehart)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
4  A LISTER         (davis ro)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
5  RIA'S ANGEL Jan20         (martin f)MENA E 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Jan22 Jan09 Jan01     (jones e)GOMEZ O 120 10.00 ★    
7  CENTRAL PRIDE Jan22         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8% 11.80    
8  PEPPER KING         (davis robbie)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
9  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ)         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-6   02/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARATOGA KAREN         (keithan )DAVIS A 118 10.00    
2  LONDON GOLD Jan14         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
3  PRALINE PECAN         (kobiskie dan)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00 ★    
4  MY DELICIOUS Jan09         (sum)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUPERBLOODWOLFMOON Jan09         (metivier)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 ★    
6  SIMPLE SUGAR         (chapman jame)SAMUEL L 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  MY LITTLE LULU         (barrera osca)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
8  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Jan14         (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
AQU-7   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPLY AND DEMAND         (dutrow anthony )DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
2  SARATOGA PAL Jan08         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 ★    
3  MARKET ALERT Jan08         (ryerson j)VARGAS A 123 15.00    
4  CARROTHERS Jan08         (mott william)MORRISON AILSA 123 10.00    
5  SCOCCIATORE Jan28         (mor)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  AMERICAN MONARCH Jan08         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  TWELTH MAN Jan08         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
8  RYAN'S CAT Jan08         (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 11% 8.50    
9  RISK PROFILE Jan08         (rice linda)GOMEZ O 123 10.00 14% 6.30    
10  MEDICINE TAIL         (kobiskie dan)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 15.00    
SCR  SOMEBODY Jan14         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G MUNNING Jan09         (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00    
2  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES         (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Jan09         (atras rob)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 15.00 ★    
4  CUT THE CORD Jan09         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 20.00    
5  BARESE Jan09         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
6  GENO         (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 8.00 ★    
7  BOLD JOURNEY         (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
AQU-9   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Jan06         (gro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
2  PLAYMAGGIEFORME Jan08         (albertrani t)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 15.00    
3  TRINITY TITOLI         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  FLATTERY'S MUSIC         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 ★    
5  CHIARA (URU) Jan08         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 15.00    
6  CRICKET WEST Jan01         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
7  DOC DOC ROCK         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
8  TASTY WAVE         (levine br)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
9  BUNTY WINDERMERE         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
10  RAYMOND ROAD Jan01         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
11  COLBY GIRL         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 20.00    
12  MISS MALALA Jan16         (ferraro jame)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.