Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Sunday - January 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-3   01/30/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY WHO Jan11         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
CLUBHOUSE PARTY         (young d)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
TIZ MY HOUR Jan07         (van rober)CARRENO J 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
BOSSY BABY Jan07         (martinez dan)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 4.50    
BOTTOMSUPBELLE Jan04         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 3.50 20% 4.00    
MISS EASYGO Jan18 Jan02       (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Jan18         (gonzalez jos)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00    
 
SUN-4   01/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE FIREWATER Jan08         (rust terri)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 45% 1.20    
DIGGER'S GOLD Jan11         (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
PUB Jan25         (lambert case)FUENTES A 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
AGRONOMO Jan08         (marquez geor)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SNOW IN THE NORTH         (henry larry)GARCIA ENRIQUE 123 12.00    
ALEXANDER WHO Jan25 Jan08       (quiroz fi)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
GATLING GOLD Jan08         (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 5.00 9% 10.00    
ATTILA'S FLAG Jan11         (vega v)REYES FRANK 123 10.00    
IT'S OVER DUDE Jan25         (lambert)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
10  COMING ABSTRACTION Jan11         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 4.00    
 
SUN-5   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICA JOY         (summ)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 2.00    
FLYING BLUE         (green greg)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
EYEJUST TOOKCHARGE Jan16         (rust terri)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 12.00    
BODIE'SLITTLEGIRL         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  BODIE'S LOVE         (gherardi j)CARRENO J 124 4.50    
SCR  RACE DAY MAE         (uballe ad)RIVAS CARLOS 124 20.00    
CITYONTHENILE Jan04         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SELECTION PARK Jan16         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00    
MICHELLE WHO Jan11         (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
 
SUN-6   01/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSION BELLE         (gonzalez r)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
CAYCEE'S MARK Jan11         (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
SPECIAL PRIDE Jan11         (marr h)FUENTES A 124 8.00    
DANCINSTARDUSTLADY Jan11         (gomez-bar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
ATHENA'S STORM         (villalo)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
AUTUMN TOUCH Jan11         (chavez a)BENN J 124 12.00    
QUITE LOVELY Jan09         (gonzalez sal)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
REAPPEARING Jan02         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
ATILL I CHIME Jan11         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
10  LATENITE SLEWZY         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
SUN-7   01/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS HARD KNOCKS Jan17         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 10.00 21% 3.70    
TYLER'S DREAM Jan07         (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
ALI ALLEY Jan11         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 116 8.00 6% 16.50    
QUEEN GLADYS         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 118 6.00    
BYE BYE JILL         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 5.00    
ACTION POTENTIAL Jan11         (marlin i)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 7.00    
DYNAMIC MIMI Jan10         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
SOARING         (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 116 4.50    
 
SUN-8   01/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUCUM Jan15         (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 21% 3.90    
STORM BAYOU Jan04         (buechler j)CARRENO J 118 8.00    
EVACUEE Jan04         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.00    
JET N G Jan04         (cross gary)JUAREZ J 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
DELBERT TOO Jan25         (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 115 12.00    
IZERIGHT         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 10.00    
ON A WARPATH Jan04         (gutierrez j)PEREZ A 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
WEST DAWN Jan04         (quiroz filibe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 116 12.00    
STORMIN FAST         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 117 8.00 8% 11.90    
 
SUN-9   01/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCEPT         (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
YUKIO         (marlin i)FUENTES A 124 8.00    
BENISSIMO         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 20.00    
ROCKS A BLACK SUIT         (bolen b)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 12.00    
PEPPER SPRAY         (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
BYE BYE BOBBY         (fincher tod)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 5.00    
CREME DE LA CHROME Jan13         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
BIG SKIPPER         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 118 20.00    
CHROME KING Jan17 Jan06       (hernandez miguel )CARRENO J 118 10.00    
10  SLAATS         (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
11  CITY AT NIGHT Jan17         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.