Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE TOP         (buechler )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  THRILL'S LEGACY Jan03         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  PALACE STAR         (chambers mi)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  CHARMANT E Jan03         (mccartney j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 ★    
5  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jan12         (matt wendell)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 6.00    
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTASTIC DAY Jan14         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
2  MARK YE WELL         (brown jared)MAWING A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAMINO DE ESTRELLA Jan09         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
4  MR NAVIGATOR Jan13 Jan04       (silva rod)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 4.50 ★    
5  ARABIAN STORY Jan14         (ferguson chad)CORBETT W 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
6  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Jan13         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($29.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH RITHMS         (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 15.00    
2  HURRICAIN HUNTER Jan11         (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
3  LADY LANA Jan11         (vitali j)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 9% 10.10    
4  TRIBAL BID Jan06         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
5  MS SALLY Jan11         (o'brien debbie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 7% 13.60    
6  FLYING TO THE LINE Jan14         (he)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Jan18 Jan05       (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 5.00 ★    
8  DANCE SHOES         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   01/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID CAT         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  BIG CALI GIRL         (homer jaso)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00    
3  OLD WEST Jan14         (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
4  FOUR SCORE Jan13         (stubblefiel)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00 ★    
5  BODE'S BEST         (person kenn)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  MINI MAGS Jan07         (ecoffey gil)SCRIVER L 124 6.00    
7  BLAZING MISS JOJO Jan14         (schnel)FLETCHER D 124 8.00    
8  ROYAL DANIELLE         (dille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00 7% 14.20    
9  BARBARIUS Jan07         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
TUP-7   01/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHT SPOKES Jan12         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 ★    
2  SIZZLING EVENING         (garrett j)MAWING A 122 10.00    
3  LARRY'S LEGEND Jan03         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
4  HIT THE SEAM Jan13         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 122 3.50 ★    
5  GOLDENEYED Jan13         (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
6  ASCOT STORM         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00    
7  HUNTINGTONS RITHM         (gleason m)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
SCR  CIRCUS RIDE Jan18 Jan04       (gutierrez juan)TEETER NAKIA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  RICKEY B Jan12         (guerra jacq)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
10  LINCHPIN STORM Jan07         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-8   01/27/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURIOUS INJI Jan05         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  AMIKO CHOW (IRE)         (drysdale neil)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 ★    
3  JEWEL AZUL Jan05         (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  FORTHELOVEOFLYDIA Jan04         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00    
5  BIG ANDY Jan05         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
6  KARALINKA Jan06         (vanwinkle david)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
7  B J'S SPIRIT Jan04         (rarick wade)VERGARA P 122 4.50    
8  RED VENUS Jan11         (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 3.00 ★    
9  STREET SHADOW         (lucarelli )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.