Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Monday - January 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-1   01/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE WEST Jan10         (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
SCR  SUPER INTENSE         (o'brien da)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 12.00    
WINNING MAGIC Jan10         (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 36% 1.70    
ROADSIDE Jan07         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
WARFRONT FIGHTER         (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
DEPUTY KNIGHT         (o'brien dann)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00    
RANCHER Jan12         (garrett j)MAWING A 124 4.00    
 
TUP-2   01/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY LOUD Jan10         (silva l)PENA BRYAN 121 8.00    
NEXT JOURNEY         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 44% 1.30    
SHADYFIED Jan09         (ev)DA FAUSTO 121 4.50    
STORMY SUMMIT         (brinson clay)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
MINNESOTA RED         (vanwinkle )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 12.00    
BLAME THE DEVIL Jan12         (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
TRAPALIS         (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
RESULTANT         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
TUP-3   01/24/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINEMANS CHECK Jan04         (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
INCLUDE HOO         (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
SCR  SHIFTY DANCER         (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
REGAL CANDY Jan12         (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
LIL LATIGO Jan11         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
ANGELINO Jan11         (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 6% 15.40    
TEN CARAT ROCK         (gangidino lisa)VERGARA P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FATS DOMINUS Jan12         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.50 50% 1.00    
WILD WILD KINGDOM Jan11         (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
10  DEMERARA         (pierce mic)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BID IN THE BACK Jan07         (chattong vi)SCRIVER L 124 10.00    
FLYING CHARLIE Jan07         (jensen kent)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
LIGHTNING STAR         (simpson sha)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
THEONETOBEAT         (gann sandi)MAWING A 124 8.00    
CHIEF GOVERNOR         (allred je)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
MISAWA         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50    
INDIAN NIGHTS         (dennison d)RODRIGUEZ H 124 8.00    
E. Z. PAPA         (allred jef)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 11% 8.10    
 
TUP-5   01/24/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECTLY PROUD         (garrett j)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00    
KEBA LUCKY DAY         (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
NIGHT MIST         (silva jose)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
FACE OF GRACE Jan07         (scott larry )SERRANO KEIVAN 121 15.00    
TWELVE STARS         (brinson cla)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
BALAS Jan12         (silva rod)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 8.00    
MIDNIGHT DARE         (mitchell chr)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROPERS N WRANGLERS Jan03         (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
KEEP IT ROLLIN Jan03         (buechler simon )WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00    
 
TUP-6   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GEM IS A GEM Jan04         (homer jason)MAWING A 124 20.00    
MARCH ON LINCH Jan04         (bozell alan)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
SPEEDING STYLE Jan07         (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 6.00    
BREXTON Jan03         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00    
SCR  STRETFORD END Jan04         (silva rodri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 48% 1.10    
MAJESTIC STREET Jan07         (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
SCR  DON WITH THE WIND Jan04         (dennison h)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
TRY TO CAPTURE Jan07         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
HERZEN Jan04         (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   01/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS PERMISSION Jan05         (belloc umb)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 6% 16.30    
COLAVITO Jan03         (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
FISHEL         (moreno jose)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 7% 13.60    
EMPIRE WICKET         (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 20.00    
ROUSING RUBBLE Jan03         (buffalo marvin)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
PREMIER LEAGUE         (madrigal elo)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 20.00    
FABULOUS FLOYD         (o'brien d)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
ACTIVE PASS Jan11         (christian bi)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00    
STANLEY RYDER         (toye joe)CIVACI SAHIN 122 10.00    
10  TOP ROCKET         (oberholtzer kevi)MAWING A 122 12.00    
11  PLANET NINE Jan11         (leon priscilla)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Jan11         (guerrero o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-8   01/24/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANAGER Jan11         (br)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
KISSABLE U Jan05         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) Jan11         (silva rodri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
THECHAMPISFLORING Jan14         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jan06         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
LA ROSA DRIVE Jan07         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
STARLIGHT TWIST         (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
RED NOVA Jan07         (george cynthia)VERGARA P 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
SHES GOT THE POWER Jan07         (bozell alan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00 6% 17.10    
10  PRINCESS SOIREE Jan07         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
SCR  CAMANO COMET         (brown jar)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 6% 16.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.