Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFO'S TREASURE Jan07         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 36% 1.80    
2  FILTHY         (perkins fra)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00    
3  HEAVENLY ARCH         (shipp mich)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00 10% 9.40    
4  RANDOM PLEASURE         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  REDHAWK Jan07         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 15.00    
6  WIN LIKE COACH P         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 25% 2.90    
7  RATIONAL Jan07         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNADEBT Jan03         (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 5.00 ★    
2  TWIRLY GIRL Jan12         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 12.00 ★    
3  IN THE WIND         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
4  WITH THATBEINGSAID         (nelson am)VALENZUELA A 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  MINE ME Jan03         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
6  DOZO Jan03         (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 122 2.00 25% 2.90    
 
TUP-5   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORATORY GLORY Jan12         (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
SCR  BONITA RAPIDS Jan05         (oberholtzer kev)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 ★    
3  JUST GRACE Jan06         (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 ★    
4  IKNOWYOURFACE         (bullene m)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  SWEET RYAN Jan05         (george cyn)ANDERSON MCKENNA 124 6.00    
SCR  ARIES Jan12         (asprino alf)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
7  SUBTLE RIDE Jan12 Jan04       (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
8  SUMMER LOVE         (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 18.60    
 
TUP-6   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORCADIAN STORM Jan03         (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00 ★    
2  MEET JOE Jan03         (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 6.00 ★    
3  GIVE EM HECK BECK Jan03         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  SKY CONFIDENTIAL Jan06         (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
5  ABI GEZUNT Jan03         (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  WHO'S CHEATIN WHO Jan10         (bullene michae)CIVACI SAHIN 122 6.00    
7  ONE KEENE KAT         (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLET TIMES Jan11         (blea j)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SCR  TORO DE TORO         (silva l)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
3  SORRISO         (hodgson bar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 54% 0.80    
4  OVER EZ Jan13         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 12.00    
SCR  RED MAMBA         (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
6  TIM'S BUDDY         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
7  MR VIEW Jan13         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 ★    
8  CONFIDENTIALLY WHO         (urias soto )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
9  AL RHYTHM Jan11         (ecoffey gil)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00    
10  VIX HERO Jan13         (christian bil)LOPEZ E 124 20.00    
11  COUNT ALEXEI         (valerio r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
12  VIDAKS BACK         (crotts ji)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   01/21/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTHELOVEOFLYDIA Jan04         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00    
2  BULLY BABY Jan06         (valerio r)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  TEQUILA MARY Jan06         (pierce micha)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  BLACK DROP         (silva l)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
5  ALLIE'S PAL         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  MULLIGAN Jan03         (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 122 4.00 ★    
7  COASTAL RUN Jan03         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
8  OUR LITTLE TIGER Jan03         (person kenneth )WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50 10% 9.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.