Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - January 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR GS SWEETIE         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  R THING         (gutierrez qui)GARCIA F 121 10.00    
4  LA CAPRICHOSA         (silva jose)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 ★    
5  LIPSTICK LADY         (woolley ben)SCRIVER L 121 3.00 ★    
6  SOLA Jan12         (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-2   01/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARTYATTHECAPITAL         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 1.40 68% 0.50    
2  LOOKINANDCOOKIN         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 ★    
3  DR. MINISTER Jan03         (trejo amali)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 8.00    
4  SNOOZY SUZY Jan04         (bullene mi)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 5.00 ★    
5  SUGAR ON TOP Jan03         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  ROBINSON BLUE Jan06         (coughlin chris)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
7  ABIGAIL ALDEN         (lu)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BLACK STRAT         (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
2  BEL RAGAZZO         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 121 8.00    
3  D VON TAE         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 ★    
4  THIRD WHEEL         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 ★    
5  HOYA PARANOYA         (garrett ty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  THIRSTY KISS         (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
7  WIND RIVER         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 8.00    
8  CAPTAIN COOL         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 ★    
9  MR LOVE MUFFIN         (mccartney j)SCRIVER L 121 10.00    
 
TUP-4   01/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDING ELK CAMP Jan12         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 1.60 ★    
2  TRANS MISSISSIPPI Jan05         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
SCR  IZE DISCREET ROSE         (coughlin chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 24% 3.20    
4  LINDA'S BALLET Jan05         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
5  IZZY B Jan12         (leon priscilla)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  THUNDER WOMAN Jan12         (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  SUMMER LOVE         (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
8  SLEIGH RIDE         (gale bryce)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
9  MY FUNNY GAL         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
 
TUP-5   01/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF MAMA         (mcfarlane l)WADE LYNDIE 124 8.00    
2  ELDORADO DREAM         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
3  SHE'S SO BAD         (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
4  YOU NEVER CALL Jan11         (evans justin)VERGARA P 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
5  MS MICHELLE Jan04         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 9% 10.80    
6  CANDY RUNNER         (scott larry )SERRANO KEIVAN 124 20.00    
SCR  SMILING SPIRIT Jan01         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
8  LE TUB         (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
9  TRINNI SUNSET         (fearon j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   01/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.02K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVED BY ZERO Jan12         (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
2  TIZ MANNY Jan11         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
3  NEVADAN Jan12         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DYNA CAT         (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
5  PASSED BY PAUL Jan04         (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 6.00    
6  MORE HONOR Jan04         (tate mary)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
7  COUGAR COUNTRY         (martinez a)WADE LYNDIE 122 15.00 6% 17.00    
8  COASTLINE SERMON Jan04         (jimenez a)MAWING A 124 15.00    
9  UNION BROTHER Jan10         (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
10  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jan04         (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
11  CONCUR         (kubinova e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 19% 4.40    
12  FAIR CHALLENGE         (pierce micha)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAMANO COMET         (brown jar)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 11% 7.80    
2  AROUSE N GO Jan11         (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
SCR  FAT N BITTER         (wise a)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00    
4  TICK TOCK         (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  SHESAHEATWAVE Jan11         (pierce michael )CORBETT W 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  BARBELLO (NZ)         (stader suzanne)DEONAUTH P 124 30.00    
7  SUPAH SISTA         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00    
8  FICTIONAL Jan05         (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 124 12.00    
9  MONGOLIAN EMPIRE Jan04         (williams dewey)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
10  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS         (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00    
11  MCGOLDIE         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
12  TWITTERATI         (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-8   01/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISE UP MOSCOW         (gale bryce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 17% 4.70    
2  BLUES RAPPER Jan05         (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
3  BACK ALLEY CAT Jan10         (rycroft riley)CIVACI SAHIN 124 5.00 ★    
4  GIVE A LITTLE         (perren a)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 35% 1.90    
5  LUCKY CHANCE Jan11         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THOUGHTS OF GOLD Jan04         (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
SCR  INFATUATE Jan10         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.50    
8  ADD ON Jan10         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.