Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - May 01, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/7/2)-(3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(3/2/5)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(1/5)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(7/3/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(7/3/5/2)-(3/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/2)-(3/5/4)-(1/2/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/2/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/2/10/6)-(8/3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/2/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/10/6)-(1/2/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/10/6)-(1/2/10/6)-(1/2/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/10/6)-(8/3/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/10/6)-(8/3/4/7)-(9/2/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7)-(8/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/7)-(9/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/1)-(9/2/5/1/8)-(9/2/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/01/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRFIELD BAY Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 May01 (fisher david)MARIN SAMUEL 125 3.00    
2  NIGHT OF MAGIC Apr17 Feb28 May03 Apr18 Apr05 (gardea abraham)HO WESLEY 123 8.00 24% 3.20    
3  WHO'S YER MAN Apr11         (vinson g)GIL CIPRIANO 116 5.00    
4  DANZING MINER Mar28 Mar04 Feb22 Jan14 Dec19 (garrett ty )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.00    
5  LUCKY TWIST Aug22 Aug08 Jul20 Jun08 Apr06 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  MY SATISFACTION Apr17 Feb22 Jan31 Dec31 Dec10 (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 123 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-2   05/01/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORE VINO ROSA Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb01 Jan07 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
2  SOMERSET MIA Apr12 Mar01 Jan02 Dec13 Nov28 (vanwi)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  PRECIOUS SIGHT Apr22 Apr12 Mar15 Feb25 Jan24 (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 118 5.00    
4  DIXI SO FAST Apr12 Mar01 Feb12 Jan23 Jan04 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  EL MA'ANY Apr12 Mar14 Jan25 Nov26 Aug18 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
6  WICKEDTHISWAYCOMES Apr04 Mar22 Feb28 Feb11 Dec12 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 2.00    
7  KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD Apr12 Mar25 Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  MY LIL FLIRT Apr12 Mar01 Jan21 Nov30 Nov07 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 118 1.00    
 
TAM-3   05/01/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SUNRISE Apr12 Mar22 Feb15 Jan30 Jan02 (lusk brian)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 109 30.00    
2  MODERN MISS Apr19 Apr01 Jan25 Jan21 Jan02 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 17% 5.00    
3  VALI VALI VAL Apr09 Mar21 Feb21 Feb08   (wilson tony)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 1.40 58% 0.70    
4  WELCOME SURPRISE Feb13 Sep27       (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00 ★    
5  IVEY MY LOVE Apr01 Mar25 Mar08 Jan24 Oct25 (dye steven)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLOUD KISSES Apr10 Mar14 Feb27     (dye steve)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
7  LIONESS LILLIAN Apr19 Apr01       (ubide max)TORRES R 119 6.00    
 
TAM-4   05/01/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS Apr19 Mar14 Feb27 Jul21 Jul04 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  SECURITYLIGHTNING Apr12 Mar11 Feb27 Jan30 Jan02 (o'connel)RODRIGUEZ O 123 1.50    
3  BELLY DANCE Mar21 Mar07 Feb08 Jan10 Dec17 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 123 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE CARLEY Apr19 Mar21 Mar06 Dec26 Apr23 (dye steven)LEON A 123 30.00    
5  J J MONET Apr19 Nov30 Nov08 Sep26 Sep05 (robinson earl)HO WESLEY 123 10.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  AIN'T NONCENTS Apr01 Jan31 Dec17 Nov28 Sep05 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 123 12.00    
7  TINKATWO Apr01 Mar14 Jan21 Jan04 Nov19 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 3.00    
 
TAM-5   05/01/2026 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINTA ROJA Apr03 Mar22 Mar07 Dec28 Nov22 (varga)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
2  LADY EMBRACE Apr17 Apr03 Mar18 Feb21 Jan10 (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  DYNAMIC ACTRESS Apr19 Mar20 Feb25 Feb06 Jan17 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.40 21% 3.80    
4  CHILLING FACTOR Apr17 Mar18 Mar01 Feb12 Dec19 (ramos ben)HO WESLEY 119 8.00    
5  GRIDLOCK Apr22 Mar11 Feb14 Jan03 Dec06 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00 8% 12.10    
6  ITS SATISFACTUAL Apr16 Apr03 Mar18 Feb21 Feb12 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 12.00    
7  MRS. KATZ Apr15 Mar20 Feb21 Jan10 Jan02 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
TAM-6   05/01/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL OREJON Mar04 Feb20 Feb04 Dec19 Nov26 (klesaris steve)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
2  WINE CANDY Apr11 Mar21 Mar05 Sep06 Aug09 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 2.50    
3  BALL OF FIRE Apr11 Mar18 Feb27 Jan24 Nov08 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  MR IN PERSONAL Apr11 Mar21 Feb21 Nov02 Oct16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. HOOLIGAN Apr11 Mar11 Feb07 Jan09 Dec06 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  PERMIAN BASIN Apr04 Mar01 Feb13 Dec31 Dec06 (stewart j)LEON SONNY 113 3.50    
 
TAM-7   05/01/2026 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDINTHESKY Apr18 Jan03 Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 (torres r)SERPA ANGEL 125 3.50 56% 0.80    
2  EFFICACY Apr15 Mar11 Jan21 Dec13 Nov27 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 125 2.00 14% 5.90    
3  SILVER PUNCH Mar11 Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec03 (ramos ben)GIL CIPRIANO 123 4.00    
4  ASYMBOLUS Jun27 May02       (torres r)TORRES R 125 30.00    
SCR  BABYBACK Apr18 Apr01 Feb13 Oct18 Sep07 (acksel j)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
6  JEFFERSONIAN Apr18 Mar27 Feb28 Jan25 Jan11 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HAPPY MOMENTS Apr18 Apr03 Jan30     (manchan ber)MARTINEZ CARLOS 118 30.00    
8  GREAT HUNT Apr15 Mar28 Feb13 Jan25 Jan09 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 125 5.00    
SCR  FIFTEEN HUNDRED R Apr17 Mar28 Jan04 Dec19 Nov26 (garcia jr)LEON SONNY 116 10.00    
10  DISTINGUISHED GENT Apr01 Mar05 Jan03 Dec24 Nov02 (luces eduardo)LEON A 125 15.00 7% 14.10    
 
TAM-8   05/01/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE SLIDE PARK Apr19 Apr10 Mar21 Feb07 Jan18 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.00    
SCR  STYLE ME ROYAL Mar15 Feb01 Nov29 Sep13 Aug27 (cahill f)HESS SARA 119 3.00    
3  FORT CHARLES Apr19 Apr04 Jan28 Jan07 Dec27 (goodwin g)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
4  MIDNIGHT ONYX Apr11 Mar08 Feb04 Jan28 Jan03 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 10.00 9% 10.00    
5  SURPRISE PACKAGE Apr19 Mar28 Mar15 Feb07 Jan16 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 5.00    
6  HOLIDAY FANTASY Apr15 Mar15 Feb21 Jan21 Jan03 (padilla tim)MARTINEZ CARLOS 112 20.00    
7  COX CANYON Mar15 Feb28 Feb05 Jan21 Jan03 (wasiluk pete)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUISTMER Apr15 Feb07 Dec27 Nov29 Sep26 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  DENYING Apr24 Apr04 Mar15 Feb20 Feb08 (simone v)LEON SONNY 119 8.00    
 
TAM-9   05/01/2026 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICKY JOLENE Apr03 Mar18 Jan21 Dec26 Dec05 (aguayo ramon)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  D'ARGENTO BOLT Apr01 Mar13 Feb20 Jan16 Nov28 (ochoa gerard)CENTENO E 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  MIGHTY MADI Sep17 Sep03 Jul09 Jun14 May31 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
4  MY GAL Apr19 Apr01 Mar13 Feb18 Feb04 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 123 3.50    
5  SILENT MELODY Apr17 Nov09 Oct11 Sep14 Aug15 (moysey c)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 9% 10.10    
6  WICKED LUNA Apr03 Oct05 Aug18 Sep06 Aug02 (smith g)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
7  JESS'S BREW Apr08 Mar22 Mar06 Feb01 Jan11 (cudworth )HERRERA R 119 30.00    
8  MORGS WORLD Apr17 Apr03 Mar01 Feb12 Jan21 (goodwin nik)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 5.00 ★    
9  NAKED EYE Apr12 Mar21 Feb06 Aug08 Jul26 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.